BMI View: USA IT spending is forecast to reach US$559bn in 2012, up 5.5% year-on-year. This leaves our 2012-2016 forecast largely unchanged this quarter, despite a further contraction in PC sales in H112. Meanwhile, public IT procurements remained constrained due to the budget constraints faced by many government entities. Overall moderate growth in budgets is expected, but much depends on the economic situation. Despite a drive to cut expenses across government, many public sector organizations have appeared willing to continue spending on IT; however, the government hopes to make savings in its US$80bn IT budget. US businesses remain cautious, but there is pent-up demand from projects delayed as a result of the economic situation and cloud computing is expected to be increasingly important.
United States Information Technology Headline Expenditure Projections
Computer Hardware Sales: US$141.5bn in 2011 to US$146.8bn in 2012, +3.6% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms unchanged from Q312, but Ultrabook failed to provide the hoped-for support to PC sales in H112.
Software Sales: US$153.0bn in 2011 to US$163.0bn in 2012, +6.4% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms unchanged from Q312, but more investment is expected in utility software and services orientated architectures rather than traditionally packaged PC software.
IT Services Sales: US$234.9bn in 2011 to US$249.3bn in 2012, +6.0% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms unchanged from Q312, with an increasing share of IT budgets being earmarked for newer solutions such as virtualisation and cloud computing.
Risk/Reward Ratings: The USA scores 76.3 out of 100.0 for Q412. The USA ranks first in our latest Americas risk/reward ratings (RRRs) table, ahead of Canada, as well as Latin American giants Brazil and Mexico. The country ranking was secured by its global highest industry rewards score of 82.5, while its rating was also boosted a relatively high country rewards score of 90.0.
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