I’ve never really been interested in predicting the future in science fiction, and haven’t found a compelling need for it in future-based SF; taking this approach, I nevertheless found myself feeling nervous when I wrote my second novel because of this very issue regarding prediction. Throughout, I never thought that the novel was about prediction, but I thought that there would be readers who would want it to be … and worse, be in accordance with their ideas about plausible futures in order for them to suspend disbelief and allow themselves to arrive at and have a chance of accepting the actual narrative themes explored.
I read an interview with William Gibson in an article on Wired recently, in which he mentioned this problem:
"There’s really a lot of that in the futurology game, and everybody who markets any kind of futurological product — be it some kind of corporate advising or a given science fiction writer, has a real vested interest in making their product seem prescient. If I were a total cynical bullshitter, I’d go around trying to make everybody think that I knew what the future was going to be too. But I’ve never really seen the predictive part as being what I really do."