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Google's Problem By Tim O'Reilly, Google's Solution By ScentTrail

Google's Problem By Tim O'Reilly, Google's Solution By ScentTrail | "#Google+, +1, Facebook, Twitter, Scoop, Foursquare, Empire Avenue, Klout and more" | Scoop.it
Over the last year Google have been trying very hard to move in to the social space but well know Web personality Tim O'Reilly has hit the nail on the...

...

 

***** I agree and disagree with Tim O'Reilly, the person who coined the term "Web 2.0", about Google. Agree that Google is casting about like a dateless person on Saturday night, but I disagree with everything else (lol).

What does social search look like? Here is how Google is changing what "search" means:

 

* Floating the index so there are no absolute references anymore. What you and I see on the same keyword is different.

* Building social signals into the result set. What your friends think about things is now built into the result set you see.

* Once the index floats it can be manipulated since it has no editorial state of grace any longer. Once the index can be manipulated it can be sold and so the introduction of something Google used to decry as prostitution (Pay Per Inclusion PPI).

* Once the index can be sold it makes sense to understand HOW to sell it, thus the need for Google+.

 

Viewing G+ in a more restricted way, as a way to understand how to package and sell result sets, helps break the incorrect comparison to Facebook. Without Google+ the result set is too subject to social signals NOT created by Google and NOT directly accessible by Google (since neither Twitter or Facebook gives Google a priori access).

I don't see G+ as anything other than a logical extension of floating the index. Once the float is on who is Google to depend on to understand how to organize the float? Facebook? Twitter? Overwhelmed by social signals, as Eric Schmidt famously noted at the Techonomy Conference in 2010 when he noted we create as much information every 2 days as from the dawn of man until 2003, Google had to enter the social network game if only so their float wasn't wholly dependent on OPD (Other People’s Data).

 

What does social search look like? No one knows yet, but to the victor will go the spoils. Who will rule the world of social search and so social commerce is unclear. Facebook seems too social, so social it is hard to make money. Google is making it harder to make money, granted, but countering with moves such as PPI to assure advertisers of their ROAS (Return On Ad Spend). If I were a betting man, and by nature of my chosen profession Internet marketing I am, I would bet on Google or some garage band no one knows yet but whose tool will seamless knit right brain creative and content to left brain engineering and commerce.

I'm not saying O'Reilly has it wrong as much as the view from the cheap seats says he is missing the point. G+ is one possible future and Google had no choice if they were going to be anything other than a subsidiary of Facebook. I never see Google being so slave to someone else's master. Does Google have it right yet? Not nearly, but neither does anyone else.

Stay tuned.

Marty

 


Via Martin (Marty) Smith
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Gerd Leonhard Future Teller - People to Watch

Gerd Leonhard  Future Teller - People to Watch | "#Google+, +1, Facebook, Twitter, Scoop, Foursquare, Empire Avenue, Klout and more" | Scoop.it

Everyone has their trusted sources, Gerd Leonhard is one of mine. Gerd's brilliant insights and forecasts continue to be invaluable to me in my work. 

 

About Gerd Leonhard:

 

In going from jazz guitarist to media futurist, Gerd Leonhard hasn’t quite had a conventional career path.

 

****Since the mid-2000s, Leonhard has been considered an expert in forecasting the futures of the music, social media, leadership and entrepreneurship industries and identifying new growth opportunities.

 

Over time, his expertise has branched into education, travel and the meeting industry.

 

“[A futurist] is not a person who predicts or knows anything that hasn’t happened yet, but one who can develop foresights,” Leonhard explains.

 

As CEO of Basel-based The Futures Agency, Leonhard works with organizations such as Google, Nokia, Sony Music and the European Commission, and also speaks at more than 100 conferences and events each year. A fellow of the U.K.’s Royal Society for the Arts, Leonhard has written several books, including The Future of Music: Manifesto for the Digital Music Revolution, which launched his career as a futurist in 2005.

 

Although he started off in the music industry, Leonhard is continually broadening his portfolio to encompass additional areas.

 

****He collects data from all manner of sources

 

****talks to as many experts as possible

 

****understands the whole context of what is happening in a given field and

 

****then articulates how trends will most probably move over the next three to five years.

 

****He says his ideas are often things people are already aware of but they either haven’t had the chance to crystallize the new focus in their own heads or haven’t taken appropriate action in their operations.

 

Selected by: Jan Gordon covering "People to Watch"

 

Read more here: [http://www.mpiweb.org/Portal/Business/20111208/Future_Teller


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