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Gold and What Moves it.
Tracking all things that relate to and affect the price of gold.
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A High Frequency Attack on Gold | Dimitri Speck | Safehaven.com

A High Frequency Attack on Gold | Dimitri Speck | Safehaven.com | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it
On June 7th, 2012, the price of gold dropped by $22 in less than a second, guided by a computer algorithm during late trading. Sharp price drops in gold, for example $10 within a few minutes, can be observed frequently.

 

Interesting piece by Dimitri Speck.

 

Here's a snippet:

 

"... High frequency programs which now account for a significant share of trading activity have rightly fallen into disrepute in recent times. They might be useful in some cases such as avoiding market impact while placing large orders. However, unequal access to the market is questionable as are highly technical efforts which are ultimately done only to pull money out of the pockets of slower market participants. At the very latest, limits of legality are touched when high frequency programs are used for front running or to manipulate prices. Such a price manipulation took place on June 7, 2012, at 9:21 PM and 20 seconds in form of a high frequency attack on gold. One second was enough to manipulate the price of gold down by more than one per cent for the duration of several hours. ..."

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Man Sentenced to 30 Days for Catching Rain Water on Own Property Enters Jail | CNSNews.com

Man Sentenced to 30 Days for Catching Rain Water on Own Property Enters Jail | CNSNews.com | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

CNSNews.com: "Gary Harrington, the Oregon man convicted of collecting rainwater and snow runoff on his rural property surrendered Wednesday morning to begin serving his 30-day, jail sentence in Medford, Ore.


“I’m sacrificing my liberty so we can stand up as a country and stand for our liberty,” Harrington told a small crowd of people gathered outside of the Jackson County (Ore.) Jail.

 

"Several people held signs that showed support for Harrington as he was taken inside the jail. ..."

 

[Does this bother anyone else, besides me? Goodness. What we are becoming.]

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Importance of holding physical #gold as part of portfolio: Hathaway

Importance of holding physical #gold as part of portfolio: Hathaway | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

by JT Long:

 

The Gold Report: "... When we spoke at the Casey Conference, you bemoaned the fact that even gold-producing companies were trading at a discount compared to the commodity price itself. What will change that trend?

 

"John Hathaway: A higher gold price. You need a change in the perception of what gold is doing. You only buy a gold stock if you are bullish on gold prices.

 

"Since there has not been that kind of encouragement from the bullion market, I am not surprised that the stocks are dogging it. You need a lot of patience and tolerance to go through a period like this.

 

"Everything else you hear about-the arguments about political risk, cost pressures and the competition from the exchange-traded funds-goes away pretty quickly once the perception of the gold market turns and gold starts advancing, as I am certain it will.

 

"TGR: You also said that physical precious metals have a place in a diversified portfolio. What percentage do you usually recommend?

 

"JH: In today's world, I think 5% to 10%. By physical, I do not mean an exchange-traded fund (ETF) or commodity contracts, which are really paper gold, but actual physical gold that you can touch-gold that is outside of the banking system, that you know where it is stored and what your bar numbers are

 

"TGR: Are more institutional and individual investors including physical metal in their portfolios?

 

"JH: More and more people are thinking strategically about gold. Owning physical gold should not be viewed as a way to make money. Rather, it is way of saving capital that creates optionality for future spending power and investment resources.


"The impetus to get into gold is not because someone like me says the next step is $2,000/oz. The real reason is safety of capital. ..."

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Millionaires On US Unemployment? Yes, And That's Perfectly Legal (For Now)

Millionaires On US Unemployment? Yes, And That's Perfectly Legal (For Now) | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

Alberto Riva writes:

 

"During the Great Recession that ended in 2009, the longest since the 1930s, images of workers lining up at state Labor Department offices throughout the United States to apply for unemployment subsidies rivaled the grainy black-and-white footage of men waiting in line at soup kitchens during the Great Depression. But not all of the people applying for unemployment benefits were desperate for a lifeline to keep food on the table, or avoid foreclosure on their homes. Some of them were millionaires, but they weren't rich people gaming the system to the detriment of those who really needed the money. Under current law, they had every right to get unemployment benefits -- and according to IRS data compiled by the Congressional Research Service, thousands of people with annual incomes of more than $1 million did. ..."

 

The system is corrupt and broken, it would seem.

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Gold edges up boosted by stimulus speculation

Gold edges up boosted by stimulus speculation | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

by Jan Harvey:

 

"... Spot gold was up 0.1 percent at $1,613.19 an ounce at 0954 GMT, while U.S. gold futures for December delivery were up 40 cents an ounce at $1,616.60. The precious metal has kept to a narrow $16 range so far this week.

 

"European shares were up 0.3 percent after soft Chinese inflation data raised talk of further central bank policy easing to tackle declining global growth. A fall in consumer inflation to a 30-month low in July suggested the country's central bank could follow up rate cuts in June and July to boost the economy.


"Gold seems to have gotten a foothold above the $1,600 level and seems to be relatively stable," Societe Generale analyst Robin Bhar said. "It's still showing this correlation to riskier assets. We've seen a bit of a rally in the oil market and equities, and gold has kept a par with those moves. ..."

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Ed Steer on Gold's recent action

Ed Steer on Gold's recent action | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

Ed Steer writes:

 

"... As I've mentioned on several occasions over the summer, we seem to be in a holding pattern of sorts...losing ground in the London market...and then gaining it all back in New York, or vice versa. Sort of two steps back and then two steps forward...and any semi-serious gains are conveniently sold off after the high tick of the day is in, in New York. I wouldn't have to use more than half the fingers on one hand [not including my thumb] to count the number of times that either gold or silver have closed on their high tick of the day in the New York Access Market this year, as it just ain't allowed to happen. ..."

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Schiff - Gold & The Perfect Storm That Will Lead To Collapse

Schiff - Gold & The Perfect Storm That Will Lead To Collapse | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

Peter Schiff tells King World News:

 

"... The perfect storm is the real fiscal cliff that we’re going to go over. The real fiscal cliff is when we can’t borrow any more money because our creditors wake up to the fact that we’re no good for the debt and interest rates start to rise.

 

"They (interest rates) rise sharply and then we have to choose between default and collapse, or runaway inflation. That’s really the perfect storm and unfortunately we are sailing right in to it. ..."

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A look at the gold world should Greece exit the EU

A look at the gold world should Greece exit the EU | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

by Julian Phillips:

 

"It's becoming clearer and clearer that there is a large blind spot in the minds of financial people regarding this probability. Only financial men who have been in the markets for 40+ years understand what can happen. Since then and until 2007, financial men in general have lived in a growing, constructive world that has bred a comfort zone that's still the norm for them. But we've entered a decaying zone, one replete with disappointing financial news and sagging structures that repeatedly fail to meet expectations.

 

"Consequently, there is an inability to really understand what happens in such a climate and how human endeavour can react in both a positive and negative manner. Are you ready, informed and clear on what lies ahead and what you will do? It's growing more apparent by the day that the decay will continue. We say this because like the ice cap in Greenland, what was taken to be normal suddenly disappears and a new paradigm begins.


"The difference from today onwards is that the exit of Greece from the Eurozone and Spain asking for a bailout, is likely to happen, unless some remarkable, very different and unlikely event happens to turn the Eurozone economy around to one of vibrant growth. When that happens expect to see a squadron of pigs flying around the E.C.B. in Brussels in perfect formation.


"What Happens to Italy and Spain, etc.? ..."

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Knight Capital: Just a Warm-Up For the Big One? | ZeroHedge

Knight Capital: Just a Warm-Up For the Big One? | ZeroHedge | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

by Rick Ackerman:

 

"Anyone betting that the global financial system will continue to muddle along indefinitely deserves to reap the whirlwind that’s coming. As the rest of us well know, the international banking system is being kept afloat solely by political lies, stupidity, corruption, greed and, most of all, egregiously misplaced confidence. It would seem to be only a matter of time before the rotted timbers of this belief system give way. But what will be the catalyst? The possibility or even likelihood that the financial system will be toppled by some event no one was expecting was an implicit theme of Nassim Taleb’s widely read 2004 book, Fooled by Randomness. In the New York Times, Taleb asserted the following: What we call here a Black Swan (and capitalize it) is an event with the following three attributes. First, it is an outlier, as it lies outside the realm of regular expectations, because nothing in the past can convincingly point to its possibility. Second, it carries an extreme impact. Third, in spite of its outlier status, human nature makes us concoct explanations for its occurrence after the fact, making it explainable and predictable."

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#Gold Update from Peter @Grandich

The kernel of what Grandich had to say on gold is this:

 

"Despite the bear boat being loaded to the gills and the bull camp nearly deserted, yours truly has stood tall in his belief the “mother” of all gold bull markets remains intact."

 

You'll have to click through to his website for the rest of the commentary on gold and other market areas like Stocks, Dollar, and Bonds.

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We’re Headed Into Massive Inflation & A Major Gold Spike

We’re Headed Into Massive Inflation & A Major Gold Spike | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

Today acclaimed money manager Stephen Leeb told King World News that we are headed into massive inflation and a major spike in the gold price. Leeb, who is Chairman of Leeb Capital Management, also said that “Fortunes will be made by savvy investors in this sector.” Leeb stated, “We saw a mania in the gold shares at the end of the 70s and we are going to see one again this time around.”

 

Here is what Leeb had to say: “The economy is going to get worse. The price of resources has jumped over time and that has acted as a huge tax on consumers. But we are going to see another huge uptick in inflation going forward. This time the rise in prices will not be stopped by the Federal Reserve.

 

"“In fact, the inflation may even be fostered by the Fed. Brent crude is trading over $112 again, and gas at the pump is already rising. Bernanke today, I’m quoting a headline, ‘Bernanke says economic data may mask suffering of individuals.’ I agree with that, but I’m still surprised to hear a Fed Chairman saying that.

 

"Another individual on the Fed Open Market Committee said, ‘Open-ended easing is needed for jobs.’ This is the type of commentary we are seeing, even with commodity prices starting to rise...."

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Range-bound gold lacks momentum

Range-bound gold lacks momentum | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

Ben Traynor reports:

 

"... The gold price has been range trading for the past couple of months," says Commerzbank senior technical analyst Axel Rudolph, noting that the upper end of the range "is seen at the June $1641 peak".

 

"There is a lack of momentum in the market," adds one dealer in Hong Kong.


"Prices are unlikely to break above $1620 but falling below $1570 is also difficult. Many traders are more interested in watching the Olympics than trading. ..."

 

[LOL Oh, so that's what's been going on. Watching the Olympians presented with gold metals which aren't much gold at all.]

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GATA's Chris Powell on the Silver Manipulation Probe & the Fed Gold Audit!

Follow us @ http://twitter.com/laurenlyster http://twitter.com/coveringdelta Welcome to Capital Account. JP Morgan said in a court filing that PFG's subpoena...

Via Tom Luongo
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Richard Russell - Has A Massive & Historic Bubble Popped?

Richard Russell - Has A Massive & Historic Bubble Popped? | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

Richard Russell tells King World News:

 

"... The yield on the bellwether ten year note gapped up on the chart, and I'm thinking that the massive rally in bonds may be over. If so, this could mean the beginning of higher rates all around. In other words, has the great bond bubble popped? ..."

 

In regard to Gold he says:

 

"... Gold broke out at the apex of this triangle; it fell back into the triangle, and then as the chart shows, gold rallied to a high for the formation -- and cleanly above the descending trendline. Gold's next upside target should be to close at 1700 which would take it above the preceding peak. ..."

 

You should click through and read the full piece.

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Have You Seen These Absolutely Shocking Charts Of Inflation

Have You Seen These Absolutely Shocking Charts Of Inflation | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

"With global leaders today expressing tremendous fear and concern about one of the worst droughts in history, the world is holding its breath and expecting a massive spike in inflation. The problem is the inflation spike is not isolated to food. Here are a plethora of charts and text that will shock KWN readers around the world."

 

click over to King World News post by Tom Fitzpatrick and check out all the charts.

 

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2012/8/8_Have_You_Seen_These_Absolutely_Shocking_Charts_Of_Inflation.html

 

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The CFTC Silver Investigation | SilverSeek.com

The CFTC Silver Investigation | SilverSeek.com | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

Ted Butler writes:

 

"... The truth is that the silver investigation was a ruse from the start in that the CFTC could never have moved against JPMorgan or the CME in any circumstance. The proof of that is evident in the many other specific instances of price manipulation in silver that have occurred after the soon to be dropped investigation began. The most obvious instances were the two separate 30% and 35% price smashes in a matter of days that occurred in silver in 2011. There never were such blatant price declines in such a short time in any world commodity in history, to say nothing about there being no obvious supply/demand changes to account for the declines.

 

"In other words, the CFTC started their third silver investigation four years ago as a way of avoiding having to explain how JPMorgan could be allowed to hold a clearly manipulative concentrated short position and then ignored the two greatest manipulative price events in commodity market history while the phony silver investigation was under way. Think of how devious and dishonest the CFTC has been; it announces a formal silver investigation to avoid having to answer bedrock regulatory questions, then ignores the two most manipulative prices events in history claiming it can’t comment on them because there is an active investigation under way. If government officials could ever be horse-whipped for malfeasance and for failing to protect the public interest, surely the CFTC’s performance in silver would permit it. ..."

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Gradual gold remonetization driving investment decisions: Auerback

Gradual gold remonetization driving investment decisions: Auerback | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

by Brian Sylvester:

 

The Gold Report: "... Are you willing to speculate about which central banks are shorting gold?"


Marshall Auerback: "From what I have heard, it would not surprise me if the International Monetary Fund and the Bank of Italy have done it. The Bank of Spain and the Bank of Portugal have sold a lot of their gold and may be lending the rest; also the Bundesbank.

 

"A lot of these sales took place many years ago when the price of gold was $500-1,000/oz. My point is that the actual holdings these banks retain are much smaller than what appears on their balance sheets. Of course, they would want to get that gold back to spare the embarrassment if the euro blows up. This is why I have suggested that even if there is one more selloff in gold, the declines will be cushioned because the central banks will be bidding to buy back what they sold forward.

 

"TGR: Could this information create a spike in the gold price?

 

"MA: Many thoughtful people would see the demise of the euro as very bullish for gold, along with the possibility of higher inflation in China and all of the qualitative easing introduced by the Federal Reserve lately. Yet, gold has gone nowhere.

 

"If one measures the position of traders reports on the Comex and then factor in that the Over the Counter market (OTC) is about 5-10 times the size, the net long position of speculative interest in gold is huge.

 

"That said, net positions have been reduced substantially in the past several months-several hundred tonnes would be my guess-and yet the price hasn't declined that much, which suggests that there is a bid in the market. The official sector, perhaps?

 

"I would say there could be another 400-500 tons liquidated, which would easily be absorbed by the central banks. Ultimately, this slow, ticking time bomb will resolve itself with a much higher gold price. ..."
 

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France heading back towards recession

France heading back towards recession | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it
The Banque de France warned Wednesday that it expects France's GDP to contract by 0.1 percent in the third quarter, following a similar fall in the second quarter. If confirmed, it would officially bring the country into recession.

 

"AFP - France is headed back into recession for the second time in three years, its central bank warned Wednesday in a setback for the recovery prospects of the stricken eurozone.

 

"In a downbeat survey of the outlook for Europe's second biggest economy, the Bank of France predicted a 0.1 percent contraction in gross domestic product (GDP) for the third quarter of this year.

 

"If that outcome is confirmed it would follow a similar fall in output for the three months to June and zero growth in the first quarter of 2012.

 

"France is also grappling with a trade deficit running at close to record highs, despite shrinking in the first half of the year.

 

"Imports outstripped exports by 34.9 billion euros ($43.2 billion) in the first half of the year, down from 38.2 billion in the first six months of 2011. ..."

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High Frequency Traders Are “Parasites” That Erode Investor Confidence: Polcari

by Matt Nesto:

 

"It was inevitable. No sooner had word gotten out that Knight Capital (KCG) had managed to find a way to survive, and the focus of debate has changed to something more sinister. As stupid or careless as Knight's admitted software glitch or mistake was, it would never have happened had it not been for the legion of computer-assisted, high-speed traders who prowl the markets in search of opportunities exactly like this - then pounce. Knight's blunder was their bounty.

 

"Whether you call them high frequency traders, H-F-T's or algos (shorthand for algorithmic or computerized trading programs), by any name they are "parasites" says Kenny Polcari, Managing Director at ICAP.

 

"When you sit down and look at really what is the role that high frequency traders play, it's frustrating," Polcari says in the attached video. "What are they really here for? They're buying and selling 100 share lots, up and down for pennies all day long."


"It's certainly not the first time a floor broker has complained about ..."

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Rising fuel prices got you down? Blame Twitter

Rising fuel prices got you down? Blame Twitter | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

The power of twitter:

 

by George Kennedy:

 

"The power of social media has revealed itself today in the form of fluctuation in fuel prices based on a false tweet.

 

"According to The Wall Street Journal, a Twitter account claiming to be Russian Interior Minister Vladamir Kolokoltsv tweeted that Syrian president Bashar al-Assad had been injured or killed. That tweet which occurred at 9:59 AM EST, was followed by two more tweets alleging the confirmation of al-Assad's death.

 

"In the hour following that tweet, light, sweet crude prices rose from $90.82 to $91.99, and the jump took place in between 10:15 and 10:45. According to the Reuters report, the Russian ministry denies firing off the tweets and denies any connection to the account. ..."

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Indian buyers going for smaller gold items

Indian buyers going for smaller gold items | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

Shivom Seth:

 

"Gold has climbed above the psychological $542.94 (Rs 30,000) mark in India, but with the festive season starting and the marriage season set to kick off later this month, Indian consumers continue to buy gold despite the high price.

 

"Retailers say some consumers are buying smaller items of jewellery and smaller gold rings, as an investment option with the fear that prices will go up further. ''People do make their annual jewellery purchases at this time. There is an innate tendency among many investors to secure investment in times of uncertainty, especially with the stock markets tanking and unnattractive interest rates,'' said Madhukar Jha, precious metal and diamond retailer.

 

"Most buyers fear that prices will go up in the short term and are making small purchases as a hedge at this point. Marriage season will soon be here and the high gold price will not stop purchases,'' said Jha, whose retail outlet has floated a new scheme for equated installments. ..."

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Does Easy Monetary Policy Enrich The Financial Sector? | ZeroHedge

Does Easy Monetary Policy Enrich The Financial Sector? | ZeroHedge | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

John Aziz writes:

 

"Yesterday, I strongly insinuated that easy monetary policy enriches the financial sector at the expense of the wider society. I realise that I need to illustrate this more fully than just to say that when the central bank engages in monetary policy, the financial sector gets the new money first and so receives an ex nihilo transfer of purchasing power (the Cantillon Effect).

 

"The first inkling I had that this could be the case was looking at the effects of quantitative easing (monetary base expansion) on equities (S&P500 Index), corporate profits and employment.

 

"While quantitative easing has dramatically reinflated corporate profits, and equities, it has not had a similar effect on employment (nor wages).

 

"However there are lots other factors involved (including government layoffs), and employment (and wages) is much stickier than either corporate profits or equities. It will be hard to fully assess the effects of quantitative easing on employment outcomes without more hindsight (but the last four years does not look good). ..." click through for the rest.

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Eveillard - Gold & The Brutal Reality Of The Current Cycle

Eveillard - Gold & The Brutal Reality Of The Current Cycle | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

Jean-Marie Eveillard tells King World News:

 

"... Now we see the economic power heading East once again, this time to India and China. Those two countries have much less debt, and they have tens of millions of citizens moving to middle-class status. So they are the future. This is not all that shocking from a historical perspective because it happens every few generations.

 

This does not mean, Eric, that there will be no investment opportunities in the US, Europe or Japan. There will continue to be some, but one will have to keep in mind that the future is elsewhere. ..."

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The Fiat Currency Bubble seals the euro’s fate

The euro's fate is sealed...

 

by James Turk:

 

"August 7, 2012 – Money should always be separated from politics. Germany learned this lesson the hard way, and the Allies wanted to make sure for everyone’s sake that history didn’t repeat.

 

"So when the Allies established in March 1948 the predecessor to the Bundesbank, the Bank deutscher Länder, it was completely independent of all German political bodies and influence. As Wikipedia makes clear: “After the negative experience with a central bank subject to government orders, the principle of an independent central bank was established.” A central bank should be attuned to markets, not government dictates.

 

"The Bank deutscher Länder introduced the Deutsche Mark in June 1948, and so began Germany’s economic miracle. Following the sound money policies of its predecessor, the Bundesbank after its creation in 1957 made the Deutsche Mark one of the world’s most valued currencies. As a result of this achievement, the Bundesbank became the most respected central bank through the end the 20th century. Importantly, the principle aim of the Allies was achieved; politics and money were kept separate.

 

"Circumstances, however, began to change in 2001 when Germany ceded control of its currency to the European Central Bank. ...

 

"... When the “primacy of politics” prevails, the ECB cannot possibly be independent. It is taking orders from EU governments who assert the “primacy of politics” over markets, the principles of the Bundesbank and even the rule of law. After all, it is impossible to count the number of times Maastricht Treaty obligations and EU rules for budget deficits and debt limits have been broken. So the euro is destined to end badly, as I explain in a recent interview on King World News.

 

"I mention in that KWN interview that we are in a Fiat Currency Bubble. The world is using currency backed by nothing but government promises, but is it a bubble? ..."

 

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If The World Is Ending, Here Is What Smart Money Is Doing

If The World Is Ending, Here Is What Smart Money Is Doing | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

Robert Fitzwilson tells King World News:

 

"... The point of this and the wise advice relayed by Mr. Cashin is that the world never ends. What happens is a massive transfer of wealth from those who panicked and lacked courage to those that stepped forward with the conviction of experience and history.

 

"Great fortunes are lost and made at these turning points. Spanning my career, I have endured many of these “end of the world” moments. It never happens. The smart money simply loads up on what everyone else is foolishly throwing away.

 

"It is conventional wisdom that properly functioning markets anticipate change. What we are sensing in the last week is that the markets are sending a message. The message is that change is in the wind. Positive change. There remain massive structural, economic and political problems. We all know that. What the markets could be telling us is that the process of reform, repair and renewal might be in our future.

 

"Other than the looming resource scarcity, the remainder of our problems are not in the physical world. Massive printing, unfunded promises, a broken education system are human creations. Given only unpleasant options, humans have a way of working things out. The markets could be sending that message. ..."

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