Gold and What Moves it.
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gold market analysis | Anna Coulling

gold market analysis | Anna Coulling | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

Anna Coulling writes:

 

"An interesting day for the gold market yesterday, as December gold futures sold off initially, only to recover later in the session to close at $1714.50, as the precious metal continues to trade in this narrow range, and holding just above the $1700 per ounce level, which was tested once again. The current price action is far from straightforward at present, driven as it is by a combination of factors including safe haven status, dollar strength, and demand for the metal which has fallen in China recently, and which was cited as a primary driver in yesterday’s market. The US dollar is also contributing to the current weakness, and with the currency of first reserve now looking to extend it’s recent bullish run higher on the dollar index, gold is likely to come under pressure once again. However, given the negative sentiment for risk assets now clearly in evidence, investors may seek the safe haven status of gold in the short term, particularly if the VIX breaks about the key 20 level on the daily chart.

 

"Moving to the daily chart for gold, the isolated pivot high posted on the 9th November is now adding pressure to the current move lower, with the market having failed to ..." Click over for the rest of her analysis and chart.

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oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: Misunderstanding Austerity, Stimulus and Demand

oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: Misunderstanding Austerity, Stimulus and Demand | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

Keynesian policy requires an expansionist Central State and Bank bent on imposing central planning on every level of the economy. Keynesians are natural partners with the neofeudal financial Aristocracy which benefits so enormously from Keynesian print-borrow-blow policies.


Here is the standard Keynesian cargo-cult analysis of our economic woes:
1. The problem is a lack of aggregate demand, i.e. people buying stuff and services.2. As a result, the economy is running below capacity, i.e. economic output is below potential.3. The solution is fiscal and monetary stimulus, i.e. the Central State borrowing and spending trillions on politically directed programs and the Federal Reserve printing and injecting trillions of "free money" dollars into the financial sector to boost borrowing and lending. The cargo-cult program has failed for a number of fundamental reasons. Let's illuminate these reasons with a few thought experiments. 1. If we borrow or print $1 trillion and bury it in the ground, how much demand does it create? Answer: none, of course; it just sits there, utterly inactive. The Fed has printed around $2 trillion and made huge sums available to the financial sector at 0% interest. Most of the funds are sitting in the Fed as reserves, doing nothing except earning interest for the banks who borrowed it at 0%. ...
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