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Gold and What Moves it.
Tracking all things that relate to and affect the price of gold.
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Breaking Open the Piggy Bank | Michael Ashton | Safehaven.com

Breaking Open the Piggy Bank | Michael Ashton | Safehaven.com | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

by Michael Ashton We have one month in the books in 2013 already; my, how time flies when you're having fun! But the fun may not last much longer.

 

I have spent lots of time, over the last year, answering the question "why hasn't inflation responded to QE?" My response has been that it has: core inflation rose from 0.6% to 2.3% from October 2010 to January 2012, rising for a record-tying fifteen consecutive months - a feat that last happened in 1973-74, as official prices adjusted to catch up for being frozen during wage and price controls. By a bunch of measures, that was an acceleration of core inflation that was unprecedented in modern U.S. economic history. As I wrote at the time (in "Inflation: As 'Contained' As An Arrow From A Bow"), the only reason to defer panic was that Housing inflation was overdue to level out and decelerate. Fortunately, it did.

 

But, as I've written extensively recently, that blessing has been rescinded and the question of "why hasn't inflation responded to QE" will shortly be moot. In the next couple of months, core inflation will begin to re-accelerate, driven by the pass-through of rising home prices into rents. In our view, the best we can hope for is that core inflation only reaches 2.6% this year. Absent a change from the historical relationship between home prices and rents, some 40% of the core consumption basket is going to be rising at 3.5% or better by late this year.

So, when will markets get a whiff of this?

 

We are primarily motivated by valuations, and we are patient investors ...

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Politicians Already Committed to Inflation-Catherine Austin Fitts

http://usawatchdog.com/guns-protect-honest-people-catherine-austin-fitts/ ;


Catherine Austin Fitts of Solari.com says the real fight over the fiscal cliff is how we are going to pay for the mess. Fitts thinks, "Politicians have already committed to inflation." Fitts predicts, "The chances of another financial collapse are very small because every time we come up to a moment where a financial collapse starts to be a real risk, what happens? We get war." Join Greg Hunter of USAWatchdog.com as he goes One-on-One with financial expert Catherine Austin Fitts.

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Why Owning Gold is Absolutely Essential - Charles Ponzi Meets Cassandra | GE Christenson | Safehaven.com

Why Owning Gold is Absolutely Essential - Charles Ponzi Meets Cassandra | GE Christenson | Safehaven.com | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

"I willingly accept Cassandra's fate
To speak the truth, although believed too late."

~ Anne Killigrew

One fine day on the streets of Washington D.C. the ghost of Charles Ponzi struck up a conversation with the ghost of Cassandra. He was a charming devil and assumed she would find him irresistible so he began with "It is ironic, I think, that I am a thief, while you see and speak the truth, but the people believe me and scorn you."

 

Cassandra was not impressed and replied, "It is true. Most people would prefer a charming falsehood to the severity of truth. Since no one believes me anyway, you might as well tell me what scam you are currently promoting. I am truly interested. Please, do tell."

 

Never one to miss an opportunity, Senator Ponzi replied, "I am finding great success with central banking, paper money, and ever-increasing debt. Frankly, they are an easy sell, and people come to me begging to be part of the scam. It has been quite profitable so far and looks to be good for a long time." ...

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Inflation Propaganda Exposed | Peter Schiff | Safehaven.com

Inflation Propaganda Exposed | Peter Schiff | Safehaven.com | Gold and What Moves it. | Scoop.it

Economists who hold the popular view that expanding the money supply will provide the best medicine for our ailing economy dismiss the inflationary concerns of monetary hawks, like me, by pointing to the supposedly low inflation that has occurred during the current period of rampant Fed activism. In a recent blog post aimed specifically at me, Paul Krugman noted that the sub 2.5% increases in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the past few years are all that is needed to prove me wrong. In fact, Krugman and others have even suggested that the CPI itself overstates inflation and that the Fed would be better able to help the economy if less strict methodologies were used. However, there is plenty of evidence to suggest that the CPI is essentially meaningless as it woefully under reports rising prices.

 

Magazines and newspapers provide a good case in point. The truth has not been exposed through the economic reporting that these outlets provide, but in the prices that are permanently fixed to their covers. For instance, from 1999 to 2002 the Bureau of Labor Statistic's (BLS) "Newspaper and Magazine Index" (a component of the CPI) increased by 37.1%. But a perusal of the cover prices of the 10 most popular newspapers and magazines (WSJ, Washington Post, Time, Sports Illustrated, U.S. News & World Report, Newsweek, People, NY Times, USA Today, and the LA Times) over the same time frame showed an average cover price increase of 131.5% (3.5 times faster than the BLS' stats). This is not even in the same ballpark.

 

Some defenders of the BLS may conclude that prices were held down by the availability of free online news content or the convenience of digital delivery. But that is beside the point. Prior to the digital age, the BLS could have claimed that newspaper costs were held down by public libraries that provided free access. It's also true that online publications deliver less value on some fronts. Not only do many people enjoy the tactile process of reading physical newspapers or magazines, but they offer the secondary value in helping to kindle fires, housebreak puppies, pack dishes, and line birdcages. ...

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