Gold and Silver Markets
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Never Been a Better Time to be Bullish in Silver and Gold

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
There are more than enough reasons to suggest that the sell-off in silver and gold is overblown and that the recent dip in precious metal prices could actually be an interesting entry point. A death cross for silver and gold mining ETFs is not a death knell. With uncertainty all around, the fall in precious metals and silver and gold mining ETFs means it’s a great time to be bullish.
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Gold Treads Danger Zone – Yet Why Do Some Feel Optimistic?

Gold Treads Danger Zone – Yet Why Do Some Feel Optimistic? | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Higher interest rates are bad for gold, as is a stronger USD. China's announcement of tightening gold imports to curb dollar outflows also suppress demand.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
The presence of considerable global economic, political, market risks and considering that the longer end of the yield curve and the sky-high USD have already tightened conditions, the Fed is likely to deliver a dovish hike later in December. This could mean the dollar & rates along the curve may slide lower & prompt technical traders to send gold back into $1,200-plus territory.
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Opportunistic Investors’ 9 Reasons for Having No Fear of Falling Silver Prices

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Precious metal mining stocks had been the shining stars of Wall Street in 2016. This recent swoon in silver prices isn’t a time to panic. Instead, it could be time to go shopping. There are, in fact, numerous fundamental and psychological reasons to believe that silver prices could soon find a floor and resume their bull market run.
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Gold Investment Amid Fears of Govt. Crackdown & Weakening Prices

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CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Domestic gold prices are expected to remain range bound with a weaker bias in the next quarter because the dollar is strengthening against the Indian rupee. Local gold demand has come down drastically after demonetisation. Gold sales from wholesalers to retail jewellers have come down by around 90%. The situation is expected to remain like this till 31 December.
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India to Step up Measures to Control It’s Gigantic Physical Gold Demand

India to Step up Measures to Control It’s Gigantic Physical Gold Demand | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
The government wants to wean away people from physical gold and has already implemented liberal gold monetisation scheme and sovereign gold bond scheme.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
India’s physical gold hoard is estimated to be 20,000 tonnes and at current market price, this works out to be a massive Rs 60 lakh crore – 4 times the total value of the withdrawn Rs 500 & Rs 1,000 notes. The government’s focus will be on a permanent reduction in domestic gold demand & not just on import of gold. Be ready for more restrictive measures in coming days.
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Fearful Capital Turns to Gold and Silver – the Ultimate Financial Insurance

Fearful Capital Turns to Gold and Silver – the Ultimate Financial Insurance | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Gold and silver bullion are the ultimate form of financial insurance & in these uncertain times all investors should allocate them a portion of their funds.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
One can easily foresee the financial and political turmoil looming large just ahead. And, there is lots of that coming our way. Now is the time to be proactive in case the situation escalates, which seems to be unavoidable. Gold and silver have been acquired for centuries as a form of wealth preservation, as a long-term store of value and as safe-haven assets in such times.
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Gold Prices & it’s Relationship with the Expansion of Fiat Money

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Not only is Fiat Money Quantity, continuing to grow above its long-term trend, but it appears to be accelerating. The inflationary implications are obvious. Gold is already under-priced to a substantial degree. Further expansion of FMQ will eventually lead to a complete reassessment of the price relationship between fiat dollars and physical gold, to gold’s benefit and the dollar’s detriment.
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Not 1, But 50 Amazing Proofs – The Secular Bull Market in Gold Will Continue

Not 1, But 50 Amazing Proofs – The Secular Bull Market in Gold Will Continue | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Experiencing the downfall of markets and devaluation of currencies, it is expected that gold is still in a secular bull market.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Gold’s bull market started in the year 2001, and after 4 years of correction from 2011 to 2015, the secular bull market is still intact. As the world is experiencing the burden of debt & sub mortgage crisis, which has the made the market illiquid & the bearish sentiment for gold is on extreme low. Gold on rise can be termed as the biggest surprise of 2016. Need Proof? Here are 50 of them.
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The Major Catalysts That Influence Gold Prices

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Physical gold had its best quarterly gain in 30 years during the first quarter, and year-to-date, even with its recent swoon, physical gold is higher by roughly $200 an ounce. Gold has firmly reestablished itself as being in a bull market. The factors that move gold prices are largely unknown or overlooked. Let’s have a look at the seven most common factors that influence physical gold prices.
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Gold – the only Safe Hideout from the Ongoing Political & Economic Turbulence

Gold – the only Safe Hideout from the Ongoing Political & Economic Turbulence | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Gold is one safe places to ride out the ongoing market turbulence. It is the one future play that provides some economic certainty in the days ahead.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
The looming national bankruptcy coincides with this year’s extraordinarily divisive election. As the trust and prestige of our Federal government fades, the potential for social unrest and even wrenching change in governance and policy is on the rise. If crisis is coming in the next presidential term, the people holding physical gold / silver will almost certainly be glad they did.
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Gold Price Structure: Gold isn’t Measured by Currency Values, Gold Measures Currency Values

Gold Price Structure: Gold isn’t Measured by Currency Values, Gold Measures Currency Values | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Few people realize the structure that lies behind the gold price. This article looks at factors that will affect gold and silver prices as we go forward.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Some factors that will affect the gold price as we go forward. We see the fundamentals taking the gold price back higher and much higher over time. Indeed we do see it rising through its all time peak in the next year and beyond. We also highlight the fact herein that such a rise will occur in all currencies as they weaken against the gold price.
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Rate Hike Largely Priced into Gold and Silver – What about Rationality in Sell-off?

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Could the FED finally raise rates before 2016 draws to a close? That sounds plausible in theory, but there are a number of factors that do not support a rate hike in the near term. But even if they do hike rates, this move is already largely priced into gold and silver. We should question the rationality of this sell off. After all, the gold price often moves higher along with interest rates.
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Gold may Spring a Surprise on Rising Uncertainty & a Slowing Global Economy

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Over the long term, people have realised the benefit of portfolio diversification. Holdings in gold-backed ETFs were 2,051 metric tons by Oct. 14, the highest level since June 2013. In the latest gold and silver COT report, paper players made big strides in bringing the market back into balance & setting the stage for an eventual rebound. The gold market may surprise us again.
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Metals Zoom On Projected Massive Infrastructure Spending – How Long Before Silver Takes-Off?

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Metals are surging due to projected industrial expansion. To argue that a massive infrastructure spending program will be beneficial for lead, zinc & copper prices, but immaterial for silver prices, is as ridiculous as claiming that overvalued stock prices can continue to surge amidst the “gigantic pink elephant” that is surging global interest rates and plunging worldwide currencies.
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Time For Gold To Really Shine! Should You Dare Catch The Falling Knife?

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
The bullish case for gold does not just rest on the direction of the dollar. Gold is also an, “investment in monetary policy failure,” or at least a hedge against it. Technicals & sentiment have again aligned to create a terrific opportunity to take advantage of what could be early stages of a major shift in long-term trend of outperformance by financial assets over real assets.
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Indian Investors Stampede into Gold and Silver Bullion

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CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
For the previous year or two the Indian government had been trying to encourage citizens to decrease their demand for physical gold and silver. Because of the ability to convert the notes at banks on a delayed basis, jewelry stores in India were quickly besieged since Nov. 8th, with customers seeking to spend the banned notes buying physical gold and silver.
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Physical Gold and Silver V/s Paper Gold and Silver

Physical Gold and Silver V/s Paper Gold and Silver | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
While each of the investment vehicles has advantages, only buying physical gold and silver provides you with direct access and ownership of the metals.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
When people decide to invest in precious metals, they have many options. They can chose gold and silver exchange traded funds (ETFs), precious metals mining shares, gold or silver futures contracts, unallocated gold and silver pools or derivatives. Or, they can buy the real thing – As only physical gold and silver provides you with direct access & ownership.
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Renewed Buying in Gold Futures & GLD Shares Fuelling Gold’s Next Upleg

Renewed Buying in Gold Futures & GLD Shares Fuelling Gold’s Next Upleg | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Gold futures speculators control gold’s short-term behaviour while the investors buying & selling shares in GLD Shares have commanded it's longer-term moves
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
With gold futures speculators’ collective bets no longer excessively bullish and holding back gold, that paves the way for major investment buying to resume. Meanwhile American stock investors have resumed heavy buying of GLD shares again, fueling this ETF’s big early-quarter holdings build equalling Q1’16’s massive jump that ignited gold’s young new bull.
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Is Gold and Silver Bull Market Intact or will US Dollar Strength Crush it?

Is Gold and Silver Bull Market Intact or will US Dollar Strength Crush it? | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Gold and gold stocks have stabilized after forming a short-term low and even held up well while the US$ index pushed to an 8-month high.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Conventional wisdom would tell us with the US$ index nearing a major breakout, gold and silver would be vulnerable to further losses. Ultimately, as long as Gold and silver’s fundamental driver – declining or negative real interest rates remain in place, then the fledgling bull market will remain on track. With inflation poised to rise, real rates are likely to decline further in 2017.
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It’s Time for Gold and Silver Equities to Rally Again

It’s Time for Gold and Silver Equities to Rally Again | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
The gold and silver miners predictably made the turn to the upside around the 11th of October when they began to miraculously outperform gold and silver.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
A move through $1,400 gold will once-and-for-all dispel any belief that 2016’s gold and silver rallies were nothing but “bear market rallies.” A weekly close above that level will not only set up a test of the 2011 peak north of $1,900, it will finally silence the fools calling for $850 gold. Meanwhile, the predictive power of the gold and silver miners has once again prevailed.
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Gold Jewelry Buying to be Exceptionally Strong in India this Diwali

Gold Jewelry Buying to be Exceptionally Strong in India this Diwali | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Many analysts in India and around the world are anticipating the strongest gold & gold jewelry buying in four years during this year’s festival season.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Plentiful monsoon rains in India tend to drive up demand for gold & gold jewelry among rural, income-flush farmers, who make up a third of the country’s consumption of the yellow metal. Gold jewelry sales in India are expected to surge as much as 60% over last year, during this year’s festival season thanks to the fortuitously timed sharp drop in gold prices.
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Silver Prices to Increase Exponentially in the Long Term

Silver Prices to Increase Exponentially in the Long Term | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
Silver prices are currently low compared to the S&P 500 based on 30+ years. In the long term silver prices increase exponentially, along with other prices.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Silver prices, relative to the S&P 500 Index, are currently quite low. Central banks have levitated stock prices and “discouraged” silver prices since 2011. What if the S&P continues its exponential increases and the ratio reverts back toward the high end of its range? The silver to S&P ratio could be around 3.0, and the annual average price for silver could be roughly $100 – $150.
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Gold Bull Market Intact Regardless of Short Term Price Gyrations

Gold Bull Market Intact Regardless of Short Term Price Gyrations | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
From a technical perspective, a pullback to the 200-day moving average in both gold and gold stocks shouldn’t be regarded as anything but a normal.
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
Gold remains the asset Wall Street loves to hate. Currently the fundamental drivers of gold are mixed, which makes a sideways move the most likely prospect, barring new developments. We remain convinced that the monetary experiments of recent years will end quite badly, and that the long term case for gold remains intact regardless of short term price gyrations.
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Price of Gold Could Rise a Lot Higher – In Fact Double

CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
There’s a difference between the narrative, which is what you’re being told, versus the reality of the economic data. It’s in no one’s interest ahead of the election to say the U.S. economy is a mess. If the flood of bad economic data continues, the Fed will almost certainly print more money or cut interest rates. And that could easily send the price of gold through the roof.
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Gold Prices will Rise Once the Rate-Hike Obsessed Sellers are Out of the Way

Gold Prices will Rise Once the Rate-Hike Obsessed Sellers are Out of the Way | Gold and Silver Markets | Scoop.it
When it comes to long term prospects, all isnt lost. Even mainstream analysts are preparing for a bounce in gold prices once Dec rate hike is out of the way
CommodityTradeMantra's insight:
After a rip-roaring first half, gold prices are plunging as we enter the home stretch of 2016. Gold futures are sitting near breakeven as we begin the new trading week. But when it comes to gold’s longer-term prospects, all is not lost. Even mainstream analysts are preparing for a bounce in gold prices once the highly-anticipated December rate hike is out of the way.
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