Systems and Modeling in Everyday Life
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Modeling and Simulation Agent-based of Natural Disaster Complex Systems

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Building a Better Delivery System: A New Engineering/Health Care Partnership

Building a Better Delivery System:  A New Engineering/Health Care Partnership | Systems and Modeling in Everyday Life | Scoop.it
In a joint effort between the National Academy of Engineering and the Institute of Medicine, this books attempts to bridge the knowledge/awareness divide separating health care professionals from their potential partners in systems engineering and...
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Scientists nearing forecasts of long-lived wildfires' paths | Science Codex

Scientists nearing forecasts of long-lived wildfires' paths | Science Codex | Systems and Modeling in Everyday Life | Scoop.it
Scientists have developed a new computer modeling technique that for the first time offers the promise of continually-updated daylong predictions of wildfire growth through the lifetimes of long-lived blazes.

Via Dayna Downing, MBA
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Why IT failures at big companies are unlikely to go away - BBC News

Why IT failures at big companies are unlikely to go away - BBC News | Systems and Modeling in Everyday Life | Scoop.it
BBC News Why IT failures at big companies are unlikely to go away BBC News Business deals that have to be aborted, staff who don't receive their wages, invoices that don't get paid on time - companies can face potentially catastrophic disruption...
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Is Predictive Modeling the Future of Decision Making?

Is Predictive Modeling the Future of Decision Making? | Systems and Modeling in Everyday Life | Scoop.it
Predictive modeling may be the future of decision-making, but it doesn’t come without risks. Read this post that outlines some tough points for discussion.
Healthcare Systems Modeling and Simulation's insight:

For those of us who might look at this from the administrative side...

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Phoenix, AZ in the Climate Cross Hairs | Truthdig

Phoenix, AZ in the Climate Cross Hairs | Truthdig | Systems and Modeling in Everyday Life | Scoop.it

Of course, it’s an easy city to pick on. The nation’s 13th largest metropolitan area (nudging out Detroit) crams 4.3 million people into a low bowl in a hot desert, where horrific heat waves and windstorms visit it regularly. It snuggles next to the nation’s largest nuclear plant and, having exhausted local sources, it depends on an improbable infrastructure to suck water from the distant (and dwindling) Colorado River.

 

In Phoenix, you don’t ask: What could go wrong? You ask: What couldn’t?

 

And that’s the point, really. Phoenix’s multiple vulnerabilities, which are plenty daunting taken one by one, have the capacity to magnify one another, like compounding illnesses. In this regard, it’s a quintessentially modern city, a pyramid of complexities requiring large energy inputs to keep the whole apparatus humming. The urban disasters of our time—New Orleans hit by Katrina, New York City swamped by Sandy—may arise from single storms, but the damage they do is the result of a chain reaction of failures—grids going down, levees failing, back-up systems not backing up. As you might expect, academics have come up with a name for such breakdowns: infrastructure failure interdependencies. You wouldn’t want to use it in a poem, but it does catch an emerging theme of our time.

 

Phoenix’s pyramid of complexities looks shakier than most because it stands squarely in the crosshairs of climate change. The area, like much of the rest of the American Southwest, is already hot and dry; it’s getting ever hotter and drier, and is increasingly battered by powerful storms. Sandy and Katrina previewed how coastal cities can expect to fare as seas rise and storms strengthen. Phoenix pulls back the curtain on the future of inland empires. If you want a taste of the brutal new climate to come, the place to look is where that climate is already harsh, and growing more so—the aptly named Valley of the Sun.

 

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Via Chuck Sherwood, Senior Associate, TeleDimensions, Inc
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'Normal accidents' pose real problem in complex world

'Normal accidents' pose real problem in complex world | Systems and Modeling in Everyday Life | Scoop.it
To hear Wall Streeters tell it, a lot of traders already have forgotten Thursday's computer glitch on the Nasdaq Stock Market. Maybe so. But it would be good to keep an eye on such 'freak' occurrences.
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