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GE wants to use artificial intelligence to predict the future of health care innovations

GE wants to use artificial intelligence to predict the future of health care innovations | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
GE Healthcare is pushing a system called Corvix for doing agent-based simulations on complex problems. In India, the technology simulated a population of 80 million people in order to determine the best places to build medical facilities.

 

Around the world, the health care system is rife with inefficiencies, and General Electric thinks it can help solve the problem using data. Only it’s not talking about bureaucrats looking at reports: GE has built an artificial intelligence system called Corvix that uses historical data to predict the future, including everything from how diseases will spread to the cities where hospitals will be needed the most.

 

It might sound futuristic, but the techniques behind Corvix have actually been around for a while. The platform uses agent-based modeling to build, essentially, a reasonable facsimile of some sort of complex system and then simulate its evolution over time. The “agents” represent the atomic units of those systems, such as individual people in the case of human populations or perhaps cells in the case of a biological simulation. They act according to a set of rules in any given situation, which is how the models are able to keep the simulations progressing.

 

However, thanks to the advent of big data, GE Healthcare Chief Economist Mitch Higashi thinks the time is right for a platform like Corvix to provide some real value to real-world decisions. There’s enough raw computing power, machine intelligence and data-modeling expertise to start doing fast, accurate simulations over very large and complicated datasets. Also, advances in user-interface design have made these types of models more consumable: GE’s Corvix uses a game-like UI “that any 10-year-old can figure out how to use in 10 minutes,” Higashi said.

 

The first live run for Corvix happened in the state of Andhra Pradesh in India, where the system simulated a population of 80 million people in order to figure out where to build hospitals and medical training centers over the coming years. The GE team used two census datasets and one health care survey in order to build what Higashi calls “a reasonable representation of 80 million people,” as well as a map of India’s existing hospital and energy grid. Health care analysts studying the problem of where to build can drag a new hospital over an area on the map and see how the situation plays out, Higashi explained.

 

The original plan, said Chaitanya Sarawate, GE’s head of health economics and reimbursement for India, was for the Public Health Foundation of India to invest $2 billion building training institutions in different cities over the next five years. Corvix suggested some possible changes in location of those institutions, including placing two institutions in the country’s most-populous state, Uttar Pradesh, instead of just one as was originally planned. The advice is part of a report from the foundation to India’s Minstry of Health, which will make the ultimate decision.

 

Developing countries such as India are great places to use this type of technology, Higashi explained, because they are doing greenfield investing in areas such as health infrastructure and a lot of good can happen if they get it right off the bat. The problem, Sarawate noted, is that they often lack detailed data that can help governments make objective comparisons — that’s the kind of stuff a company like GE, in this case, can track down and try to feed into a model that takes into account its relative importance.


Via Dr. Stefan Gruenwald
Mr. Crawford's insight:

In this article, an artificial intelliegnce named Corvix uses historical data to predict the future. It figures out how diseases will spread to the citites and where hospitals are needed the most. It's a great article to read because it explains how the Corvix impacts the world and how valuebale it is to populated areas.

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4 big myths of Book of Revelation

4 big myths of Book of Revelation | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
By John Blake, CNN


(CNN) -- The anti-Christ. The Battle of Armageddon. The dreaded Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse.

You don’t have to be a student of religion to recognize references from the Book of Revelation.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

I liked this articel because it disproved some common misconceptions about the book of revelations. I liked how it actually looked at the book of reveation and looked at what it really said. I also liked that it pretty much disproves all that it said of revelation.

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Is the cosmos telling us the end is near?

Is the cosmos telling us the end is near? | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
Does God use the sun, moon, and stars to communicate with the faithful?
Mr. Crawford's insight:

I liked this article because it shows that the apocalypse might be happening, a totally different view than what I have seen on news sights so far. In typical Fox News fashion this article is heavily biased towards a christian perspective. This article claims that a "blood moon" falling on holy days is predicting the end of the world.

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Apocalypse believers shocked after appointed hour passes - USATODAY.com

Apocalypse believers shocked after appointed hour passes - USATODAY.com | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
They spent months warning the world of the apocalypse, some giving away earthly belongings or draining their savings accounts. And so they waited, eagerly or anxiously, on Saturday for the appointed hour to arrive.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

This article outlines that there will always be crazy people thumping bibles and saying that the rapture is coming. It talked about the reactions of people who thought the world was going to end. I liked that this article kind of made fun of the people beleiving that that rapture was coming.

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Dan Martin on Our Odds for an Apocalypse

Dan Martin on Our Odds for an Apocalypse | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
The chances you will die from disaster, as told by the expert on such things
Mr. Crawford's insight:

I like this article because it showed ways in which the world could end. It outlines that if we dont do something to stop these trends, really bad things will happen. I liked this article because it serves as a kind of warning.

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The man who may have saved the world

The man who may have saved the world | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
Stanislav Petrov tells the BBC how a decision he made 30 years ago may have prevented a nuclear war.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

I liked this article because it really shows how close we came to a nuclear apocalypse. It tells the story of Stanislav Petrov, a soviet officer who prevented nuclear war. He prevented it by rightfully beleiving that the nuclear missile launch that his computer was showing was a malfunction and the U.S. had not launched missiles.

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5 Actual Apocalyptic Scenarios

5 Actual Apocalyptic Scenarios | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
It's pretty clear that the world will not end on December 21, 2012. At least not based on so-called Mayan prophecies.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

I liked this article because it outlines ways that the world could end. I think that this article does a good job of detailing the varius methods that the apocalypse could happen. I also liked that this article uses ways that science agrees with, not just wyas that religion has come up with.

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Apocalypse Later: So when will the world end now?

Apocalypse Later: So when will the world end now? | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
Other occasions the world might end.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

This is sarcastic article discussing the event dates scheduled to end the world. How  many of them are labled to be a threat but really arn't. I thought this quote was kind of funny "An Asteroid is scheuled to dance with us in 2036 But it looks like it won’t even hit us" 

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Muslim views of the Apocalypse - Religion News Service

(RNS) Muslim and Christian views of the Apocalypse are remarkably similar, albeit with a different ending.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

This article discusses the striking simlaraties and diffrences in Islam and Christianity. the occurance of world warfare and the return of Jesus Christ as the " hero". Interesting how monethstic religions can differ when it comes to this topic.

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The Rapture, apocalypse possibilities

The Rapture, apocalypse possibilities | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
The Rapture

Disclaimer: We’re not endorsing any major world religion with this one. However, enough people believe that something supernatural is going to flip the light switch on humanity that it deserves a mention.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

These are 10 realistic apocalypse possibilities that are scintifically proven. It goes from the idea of a nuclear war to the collapse of the ecosystem. I included this article because it imposed new ideas that I wasn't familiar to.

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'Golden age' of antibiotics 'set to end'

'Golden age' of antibiotics 'set to end' | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
The 'golden age' of antibiotics could come to an end unless urgent action is taken. That is the warning from Prof Jeremy Farrar, the new head of Britain's biggest medical research charity the Wellcome Trust, who said it was a "truly global issue".
Mr. Crawford's insight:

This article talks about the danger of the end of antibiotics and how an affirmative action must be taken. Study shows that there are fewer companies developing new antibiotics . Diseases are  an apocalyptic threat human becoming less immune.

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Forget the Mayan Apocalypse: 6 Real Threats Facing the US

Forget the Mayan Apocalypse: 6 Real Threats Facing the US | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
Here are six real and sometimes unpredictable threats that Americans should be prepared for.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

This  article talks about the  climate related  disasters  America is facing. It includes Earthquake erruptions, hurricanes, solar storms etc It provides an new prospective to how much threat they appose. 

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Life of the Sun

Life of the Sun | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
The Sun is a perfectly normal example of a star, formed from the solar nebula 4.6 billion years ago. The Birth of the Sun The Sun (and all the planets) started their lives in a giant cloud of cold molecular gas and dust.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

Takes a scientific look at the timeline of our sun leading up to it's unavoidable death. Interesting to know our end wouldn't be from it burning out but a few stages before that, when the sun becomes brighter and we lose our water and the earth is effectively scorched. This is expected in about 1.1 billion years.

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End of the golden age of antibiotics, which has become a 'truly global issue'

End of the golden age of antibiotics, which has become a 'truly global issue' | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
The growing threat of antibiotic resistant organisms is once again in the spotlight. Prof Jeremy Farrar, the new head of Britain's biggest medical research charity the Wellcome Trust said it was a “truly global issue”.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

We're running out of antibiotics that work against infections because we're becoming immune to their charms. My opinion is that there's going to be a super virus that we aren't prepared to combat and it's going to affect most of the population. Only the strong (and vegetarian) will survive. If this only spreads in America we'll become very vulnerable to other countries; if it becomes a global pandemic the Earth's population could take a serious hit, possibly leading to a mass extinction.

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'Mayan 2012 apocalypse theory' not true, Nasa says - Telegraph

'Mayan 2012 apocalypse theory' not true, Nasa says  - Telegraph | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
The world is not coming to an end on December 21, 2012, Nasa insisted on Monday in a rare campaign to dispel rumours fueled by the internet and a new Hollywood movie.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

I liked this article because it disproves the mayan apocalypse. I liked that this article uses science to come to this conclusion. I also liked how well this article was written.

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The truth behind the 'Maya apocalypse'

The truth behind the 'Maya apocalypse' | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
Fact, in this case, is more interesting than fiction.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

This article talks about how the whole idea of the mayan apocalypse was really blown out of proportion and that the calendar was not saying that the world would end. I liked this article becasue it looked closely at the mayan apocalypse and determined it to be a sham. I also liked that the article totally disproved the mayan apocalypse.

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NASA - Beyond 2012: Why the World Didn't End

NASA - Beyond 2012: Why the World Didn't End | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
Dec. 21, 2012, wasn't the end of the world, and here's why.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

Watch as NASA desperately tries to convince the general public that there was no scientific evidence behind the 2012 prediction. They go over a lot of questions people had regarding myth and legend in regards to actualy astronomy and explain with Real Science as to why the Mayans were wrong. I like to imagine the  helpdesk at NASA ran by a single sweaty bald guy who just wants everyone to calm down and gets exasperated by the very mention of supernatural deities, and has lots of charts and things to convince them everything is going to be alright.

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Our never ending obsession with the apocalypse

Our never ending obsession with the apocalypse | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
Fears that the world will end on 21 December are rife, despite there being no evidence. So, why are we so fixated with end of the world theories?
Mr. Crawford's insight:

I liked this article because it really downplays our fears of the apocalypse. It says that the world will eventually end, but not anytime soon. It basically downplays all of the recent apocalypse predictions.

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Apocalypse Not: Here's Why You Shouldn't Worry About End Times - Wired Science

Apocalypse Not: Here's Why You Shouldn't Worry About End Times - Wired Science | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
Mr. Crawford's insight:

Kind of a longer article but really interesting and worth the read. It outlines the history of apocalyptic scares in America over time and how they were usually just flares of uneducated panic. Quotes some media figures over time who over-hyped and now sound a bit silly, like Ophra saying that 1 in 5 heterosexuals would have AIDS by 1990 which obviously is inaccurate, or president Jimmy Carter saying we'd be out of oil by 1987 (also inaccurate). Serves as a reminder why we should take these predictions with a grain of salt.

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Apocalypse prediction could spark mass suicide, French agency warns

Apocalypse prediction could spark mass suicide, French agency warns | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
The specter of a mass suicide tied to the widely predicted end of the world in December 2012 has prompted a warning from a government official in France, where people are already gathering at a place believers predict may provide the only escape...
Mr. Crawford's insight:

The article outlines that the threat of an apocalypse spawns cults and that people in these cults sometimes kill themselves prior to their forcasted apocalypse. This article really outlines the negatives to predicting the apocalypse. Through this article I was able to see some of the unforseen consequences of apocalypse predictions.

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Opinion | A Buddhist perspective on the apocalypse

Opinion | A Buddhist perspective on the apocalypse | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
The Buddhist Channel (BC) is a global news platform that provides non-sectarian news and features on Buddhism.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

This article goes through the prospective of the apocalypse coming from a Buddist. He says that there is no such things as "signs of the apocalypse" and there were only given to get people a sense of urgency. He concludes that we've got limited time and we must get our spirtual lives together. 

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410-meter asteroid ‘may collide’ with Earth in 2032

410-meter asteroid ‘may collide’ with Earth in 2032 | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it

 A potentially catastrophic asteroid has been discovered by astronomers, who say there’s a slim chance that the 410-meter-wide minor planet will crash into Earth in 2032, creating a blast 50 times greater than the biggest nuclear bomb.

Mr. Crawford's insight:

This article disscusses the possbility of an asteroid not far from earth hitting earth within the year of 2032. Scientist will be able to determin the potential impact on earth as soon as 2028. This is considered an apocalyptic threat and it's posibility of occuring is rising

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Apocalypse: Threat of massive grid shutdown increasing in face of terrorism, natural disasters

Apocalypse: Threat of massive grid shutdown increasing in face of terrorism, natural disasters | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it

. The nation's aging, vulnerable power grid and the threat of natural disasters and terrorist activity make a long-term collapse that could leave millions of Americans in the dark a growing likelihood. - To experts, it's not if, it's when.

Mr. Crawford's insight:

This article goes on about potential causes of the apocalypse. Natural disasters. It also goes on to discuss what people should do to prevent some of them. As well as suggest ideas for people to take their precautions

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Ten Notable Apocalypses That (Obviously) Didn’t Happen

Apocalyptic predictions are nothing new—they have been around for millennia
Mr. Crawford's insight:

This article discusses predicted the top 10  major events in history that could have been potenital signs of the Apocalypses. However they just never occurred. Out of all of the signs men tioned the most relavent til this day that may occur is a comet hitting the earth. 

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Antibiotic-resistant diseases pose 'apocalyptic' threat, top expert says

Antibiotic-resistant diseases pose 'apocalyptic' threat, top expert says | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
Chief medical officer Dame Sally Davies tells MPs issue should be added to national risk register of civil emergencies
Mr. Crawford's insight:

This article talks about the increase in antibiotic resistant diseases and how humans over reliance on antibiotics can get them in trouble. As well as the introduction of new antibiotics has been steadly declining. This can soon lead to a global catastrophy of terrorism.

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HowStuffWorks "What would nuclear winter be like?"

HowStuffWorks "What would nuclear winter be like?" | Futurism Mankato East | Scoop.it
Nuclear winter occurs after the detonation of nuclear weapons -- it's a grim scenario. Learn about the nuclear winter forecast and predictions it'll happen.
Mr. Crawford's insight:

End of the world scenario where it's All Our Fault. Looks at what would happen in the case of a mass nuclear detonation because we can't all get along. If we get into a nuclear war it will have extreme effects on our climate and ecosystem. The global will drop several degress possibly triggering a manmade ice age (similar to the effects of a super volcano). Radioactive material will be released into our environment poisoning our water supply and agricultural sectors.  

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