I started Futurecast that evolved into the Future Chronicles back in 1996:
To provide an ongoing, world-wide-web based chronicle of the study of the future and the current trends that will affect the actual definitive future...that fleeting intangible event that eventually makes tomorrow, today
H Lee Siddons, Jr is a ilay futurist and the first futurecaster that predicted the success of Compact Discs (CDs), Microsoft Windows, the WWW, HDTV and DVDs
Artificial intelligence poses an "extinction risk" to human civilisation, an Oxford University professor has said. Almost everything about the development of genuine AI is uncertain, Stuart Armstrong at the Future of Humanity Institute said in an interview with The Next Web.
The future is certainly not what it used to be. We can no longer plan, we can only prepare. We don’t walk around in silver suits, travel to colonies on Mars or drive in flying cars. Instead, we dress casual, take selfies and communicate in 140 characters.
Published on Mar 7, 2014 - Socrates of Singularity 1 on 1 sits down with William Hertling to talk about the technological singularity and AI. William Hertling is a rather recent science fiction discovery of mine and the author of award-winning novels Avogadro Corp: The Singularity Is Closer Than It Appears, A.I. Apocalypse, and The Last Firewall. William has written several plausible scenarios for the technological singularity that were so engaging and compelling that, as soon as I finished his first book, I could not help it but go ahead and read the next one too. And so I was very happy to get an opportunity and interview Hertling on my Singularity 1 on 1 podcast.
This morning, Bill and Melinda Gates published their foundation's annual letter, which attempts to debunk commonly held beliefs in development economics. Quartz caught up with Mr. Gates to talk about the letter, how he's juggling his work at the Gates Foundation with his work at Microsoft, and what else is going on in his life....
In the field of robotics, opportunity is endless and discovery is ongoing. Our robotic innovations could represent the answer to any number of challenges -- from disaster response to deep space exploration.
It's time for another installment of "This Week In Apple Rumors," where we bring you the latest speculation and gossip about the machinations and iWidgets coming out of the notoriously secretive company in Cupertino, Calif. In this edition, we bring you rumors about Apple's move into the medical sensor field, the "iPhone 6," and more. iMedicine
Google, Amazon, and Samsung have all picked Seattle-based NBBJ as the architecture firm of choice for tech companies who want data on how people work best to drive the design decisions behind their most important buildings.
Species long extinct may one day be revived. Doctors will detect signs of brain disorder many years before symptoms emerge. And consumers will give up owning stuff. These are just a few of the most thought-provoking possibilities and ideas found in the World Future Society's 2014 Outlook report.
We're seeing the biggest change in how we interact with computers in years. And it'll mean much less input from you. Apps like Google Now, Tempo AI, and others represent the first wave of “predictive technology.” These are apps and services that are smart enough to fetch information for you — before you realize you even need it.
Traditional grocery store chains are facing challenges not only from large discounters and warehouse stores such as Wal-mart and Costco, but also from natural grocers and specialty stores like Whole Foods and Trader Joe's
NEW YORK (AP) — Philanthropists Bill and Melinda Gates pitched an optimistic future for the world's poor and sick in their annual letter Tuesday, arguing passionately against three myths they say hurt efforts to bring people out of poverty, save lives and improve living conditions. In their sixth yearly letter, which in the past has focused exclusively on the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation's annual activities, the co-chairmen of the world's largest charitable foundation seek to dispel notions that poor countries are doomed to stay poor, that foreign aid is wasteful and that saving lives will cause overpopulation. "All three reflect a dim view of the future, one that says the world isn't improving but staying poor and sick, and getting overcrowded," Bill Gates writes in the 16-page letter. "We're going to make the opposite case, that the world is getting better, and that in two decades it will be better still." Gates says GDP per capita figures, adjusted for inflation to 2005 dollars, show that many countries such as China, India, Brazil and even Botswana that were once considered poor now have growing economies. And in Africa, a place the Microsoft co-founder says is all too often dismissed as hopeless, life expectancy has risen since the 1960s despite the HIV epidemic.
Bill Gates is an optimistic philanthropist. He has predicted that almost no country will be in poverty by 2035, and has issued high praise to the vaccine world's unsung heroes -- Indian, Brazilian and Chinese pharmaceutical companies that are continuing to innovate and challenge traditional players in the sector
As energy demands increase, the world is driven to create sustainable energy solutions. Incredibly innovative and more importantly, sustainable solutions may be all around us --from the ocean, wind and even trash. .
Humanity will change more in the next 20 years than in all of human history.
By 2030 the average person in the U.S. will have 4.5 packages a week delivered with flying drones. They will travel 40% of the time in a driverless car, use a 3D printer to print hyper-individualized meals, and will spend most of their leisure time on an activity that hasn’t been invented yet.
The world will have seen over 2 billion jobs disappear, with most coming back in different forms in different industries, with over 50% structured as freelance projects rather than full-time jobs.
Over 50% of today’s Fortune 500 companies will have disappeared, over 50% of traditional colleges will have collapsed, and India will have overtaken China as the most populous country in the world.
Most people will have stopped taking pills in favor of a new device that causes the body to manufacture it’s own cures.
Space colonies, personal privacy, and flying cars will all be hot topics of discussion, but not a reality yet.
Most of today’s top causes, including climate change, gay liberation, and abortion, will all be relegated to little more than footnotes in Wikipedia, and Wikipedia itself will have lost the encyclopedia wars to an upstart company all because Jimmy Wales was taken hostage and beheaded by warring factions in the Middle East over a controversial entry belittling micro religions.
Our ability to predict the future is an inexact science. The most accurate predictions generally come from well-informed industry insiders about very near term events.
Much like predicting the weather, the farther we move into the future, the less accurate our predictions become.
So why do we make them?
Thomas Frey.futurist looks into his crystal ball...