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'Unskewed Polls' Founder: 'I Was Only Wrong' Because I Didn't Consider Voter Fraud

'Unskewed Polls' Founder: 'I Was Only Wrong' Because I Didn't Consider Voter Fraud | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
The conservative activist who gained a following during last year's campaign for his efforts to "unskew" polls has a theory on why his predictions for the election were so wildly off the mark, writing late last month that his analysis was incomplete...
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

Close call as to who is more delusional: Mitt or this guy.

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Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People
American elections feature an epic struggle between actual people trying to express their views in the face of fictional "people" (i.e., Corporations) trying to buy influence. I want to highlight topics such as corrupt money in politics, campaign lies and dishonesty, voter suppression.
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Here are 5 infuriating examples of facts making people dumber

Here are 5 infuriating examples of facts making people dumber | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
The notorious "backfire effect" has now been captured in multiple studies.
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

This is depressing.  Presenting conservatives with facts can make them even more committed to their erroneously held positions.  I suppose this is related to some conservatives' tendency to reject science.

 

Two questions:

(1) to avoid this backfire effect, what strategies can be employed to try to shift opinions?

(2) are there similar studies showing this backfire effect and/or systematic ignoring of facts by progressives?

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Sometimes, 'What Would Reagan Do?' is the wrong question

Sometimes, 'What Would Reagan Do?' is the wrong question | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
The right doesn't seem to remember what Reagan did after a Russian fighter jet shot down Korean Air Lines Flight 007 in 1983.
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

I know it is not exactly surprising that Fox News got it wrong again.  Still, the comparisons noted in this piece are stark and somewhat amusing.

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Analysis: Over Half of All Statements Made on Fox News Are False

Analysis: Over Half of All Statements Made on Fox News Are False | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
A new analysis by PunditFact found that of every statement made by a Fox News host or guest, over half of them were flat-out false. What's more, only a measly 8% could be considered completely "tru...
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

no surprise here.

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Fox News buries the jobs numbers, again

Fox News buries the jobs numbers, again | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
We won't do the screen shots this time, but per usual FoxNews.com is the one major news site downplaying Thursday's positive employment report. CNN, MSNBC, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal and The Washington Post are all leading their sites with the news (in large fonts, no less). Fox News has it buried in fine print on a sidebar....
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

Pathetic.

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When Fox becomes Conspiracy Theory Central

When Fox becomes Conspiracy Theory Central | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
BuzzFeed asked, "Is This The Craziest Rant A Fox News Host Has Ever Done?" The answer is, quite possibly.
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

The crazy is strong with this one.

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Voter Fraud Is Rare, but Myth Is Widespread

Voter Fraud Is Rare, but Myth Is Widespread | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
Many people believe voter impersonation and other kinds of election fraud are much more widespread than they really are.
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

Republicans doing all they can to stoke fears about a virtually nonexistent practice.

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Adventures in Fox News polling, Part VI

Adventures in Fox News polling, Part VI | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
It's possible -- just possible -- Fox is less concerned about accurately reflecting public attitudes, and more interested in advancing an agenda.
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Exclusive: Ohio GOP’s secret voting scheme deliberations

Exclusive: Ohio GOP’s secret voting scheme deliberations | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
When Ohio's secretary of state cut early voting, it sparked an outrage. Here's how political the process really was
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

When you can't even bother to pretend to care about the disproportionate impact on minority groups of cutting back early voting, when you deliberately exclude information on the new voting rules and hours from Democrats and minority groups and consciously and affirmatively reach out to Tea Party and Second Amendment groups, what can you call that other than flat-out cheating?

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Ugly GOP scheme squashed! Arkansas judge says no way to disenfranchising minorities, poor

Ugly GOP scheme squashed! Arkansas judge says no way to disenfranchising minorities, poor | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
A "photo ID" voting restriction goes down hard in Arkansas as a massive violation of the state's constitution
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

Yet another win against the forces of immorality.

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The right’s new racial math: How its view of nonwhite voters got so demented

The right’s new racial math: How its view of nonwhite voters got so demented | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
Seemingly every time they talk about the Obama coalition, conservative dolts reveal a disturbing bias. Here's why
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New Rule Prohibits Voters In Miami-Dade County From Using The Restroom, No Matter How Long The Line

New Rule Prohibits Voters In Miami-Dade County From Using The Restroom, No Matter How Long The Line | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
During the 2012 presidential election, voters reportedly waited on line for upwards of six hours. In Miami-Dade County, they'll also have to wait to use the bathroom.
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

Uh, ever hear of human dignity?

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The Supreme Court gutted the Voting Rights Act. What happened next in these 8 states will not shock you.

The Supreme Court gutted the Voting Rights Act. What happened next in these 8 states will not shock you. | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
When his court weakened the civil-rights-era law last year, Chief Justice Roberts wrote that "our country has changed." We crunched the numbers. He was wrong.
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

Roberts cannot be shocked either.  The GOP is proceeding just as he knew it would -- to make it harder for disfavored groups to exercise their most fundamental right. 

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Wisconsin Republican Legislator Tears Into His Own Party For Voter Suppression

Wisconsin Republican Legislator Tears Into His Own Party For Voter Suppression | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
Asked why his party pushed another bill to make it harder to vote in Wisconsin, State Sen. Dale Schultz (R) responded, "I am not willing to defend them anymore. I’m just not and I’m embarrassed by this.”
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

Hoorah for truth!  <<But that fact is, it ought to be abundantly clear to everybody in this state that there is no massive voter fraud. The only thing that we do have in this state is we have long lines of people who want to vote. And it seems to me that we should be doing everything we can to make it easier, to help these people get their votes counted. And that we should be pitching as political parties our ideas for improving things in the future, rather than mucking around in the mechanics and making it more confrontational at the voting sites and trying to suppress the vote>>

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Adventures in Fox News polling, Part VII

Adventures in Fox News polling, Part VII | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
The only reason for a purported news organization to word polling questions this way is to generate a result that reinforces a preconceived narrative.
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

Absolutely pathetic.

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Texas GOP’s secret anti-Hispanic plot: Smoking gun emails revealed

Texas GOP’s secret anti-Hispanic plot: Smoking gun emails revealed | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
Rick Perry and GOP state leaders go on trial today -- and the verdict could mean big things for Voting Rights Act
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

keeping my fingers crossed.

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College Students Claim Voter ID Laws Discriminate Based on Age

College Students Claim Voter ID Laws Discriminate Based on Age | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
College students have joined a legal challenge in North Carolina, claiming that the state’s requirements discriminate based on age.
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

Brilliant strategy backed up by undeniable factual basis for the argument that GOP-led state legislatures are discriminating against students because they tend to vote Democratic.

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GOP’s voter fraud humiliation: Turns out Wisconsin’s worst case is a Republican

GOP’s voter fraud humiliation: Turns out Wisconsin’s worst case is a Republican | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
Maybe the real reason Scott Walker and Reince Preibus think their state needs tougher laws is a guilty conscience
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

Actual voter fraud by a Republican voter for Scott Walker.  But he used absentee ballots  -- and voter ID laws would not have prevented this fraud.  GOP obviously not actually concerned about voter fraud.  They just want to suppress votes of people likely to vote against them.

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Missouri GOP: If polls are open too long, voters will regret their votes or commit fraud

Missouri GOP: If polls are open too long, voters will regret their votes or commit fraud | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
The state's Republicans are advancing a measure to expand early voting, but Democrats say that's not the whole story.
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

More immorality from the GOP.

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92-year old Texas woman denied Photo ID to vote: “Not to be able to vote breaks my heart”

92-year old Texas woman denied Photo ID to vote: “Not to be able to vote breaks my heart” | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
Want another reason to abhor idiotic voter ID laws? Texas A.G. Greg Abbott just gave you one
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

You simply cannot maintain you love your country if you actively deny people like this from voting.

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GOP vote scheme finally imploding: Why the end may be here

GOP vote scheme finally imploding: Why the end may be here | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
From landmark ruling in Wisconsin, to new signs from top Republicans in other states, a shameful ploy may unravel
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

Oh, how i hope this is so.  But I'm still concerned that Republicans know the only way they can win is to cheat, and they will do whatever they can to win.

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Fox News used footage of random sad Asians instead of actual Koreans mourning the ferry

Fox News used footage of random sad Asians instead of actual Koreans mourning the ferry | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
Nope, not The Onion.
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

Really, Fox News?

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A federal judge just struck down Wisconsin's Voter ID law. Read the decision.

A federal judge just struck down Wisconsin's Voter ID law. Read the decision. | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
"The reason blacks and Latinos are disproportionately likely to live in poverty, and therefore to lack a qualifying ID, is because they have suffered from, and continue to suffer from, the effects of discrimination."
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

This is an important ruling based on the remaining section 2 of the Voting Rights Act.  It may be a precursor to similar rulings across the country.

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Is There a Fox Effect?

Continuing our 'Hard to Handle' series, TPM Reader RL talks about the acculturating effects of two very different institutions: the US military and Fox News ...

I'm sure you've heard many stories from your readers about kindly relatives who were racists. Mine go back a couple of generations. I was raised in a military family and despite the conservatism inherent in the military, socially (at least as far as race goes) it has always been reasonably progressive. By the time I was growing up in the 60's it was fully integrated and my parents racial views more or less followed the military lead.
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Voter ID laws in action: "Looks like I don't get to vote today"

Voter ID laws in action: "Looks like I don't get to vote today" | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
Thwarted voters take to Twitter to describe how the new laws hampered voting, confused poll workers, and inspired some to just stay home.
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New G.O.P. Bid to Limit Voting in Swing States

New G.O.P. Bid to Limit Voting in Swing States | Election by Actual (Not Fictional) People | Scoop.it
Already, nine states, under Republican control, have passed measures making it harder to vote since the beginning of 2013.
Daniel Mayeda's insight:

Yes, it is true that Democrats are trying to make it easier to register and to preserve the ability to vote early and on weekends.  Yes, it is true that these efforts to expand the electorate tend to favor Democrats.

 

But the two parties are not taking equivalent positions. Preventing the people from having full access to their franchise is morally indefensible.

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