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Customer Science in the Big Data World

Machar Smith from dunnhumby talks about customer insight analysis and the work they do for Tesco at The OR Society's Careers Open Day 2013.
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The future cities agenda

Suddenly, ‘cities’ have become the hottest topic on the planet. National research institutes and local governments as well as various global agencies are all scrambling to get a piece of the action as cities become the places where it is considered future economic prosperity firmly lies while also offering the prospect of rescuing a developed world mired in recession.

 

Batty M, 2013, "The future cities agenda" Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 40(2) 191 – 194 

http://dx.doi.org/10.1068/b4002ed


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Constructing a Continuous Futures Series From Quandl

Constructing a Continuous Futures Series From Quandl | Edgar Analytics & Complex Systems | Scoop.it
(This article was first published on Revolutions, and kindly contributed to R-bloggers)
by Ilya Kipnis
In this post, I will demonstrate how to obtain, stitch together, and clean data for backtesting using futures data from Quandl.

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Coevolution can reverse predator–prey cycles

The abundances of predators and their prey can oscillate in time. Mathematical theory of predator–prey systems predicts that in predator–prey cycles, peaks in prey abundance precede peaks in predator abundance. However, these models do not consider how the evolution of predator and prey traits related to offense and defense will affect the ordering and timing of peaks. Here we show that predator–prey coevolution can effectively reverse the ordering of peaks in predator–prey cycles, i.e., peaks in predator abundance precede peaks in prey abundance. We present examples from three distinct systems that exhibit reversed cycles, suggesting that coevolution may be an important driver of cycles in those systems.

 

http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1317693111
Coevolution can reverse predator–prey cycles

Michael H. Cortez and Joshua S. Weitz

PNAS vol. 111 no. 20, pp. 7486–7491





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Guided Self-Organization in a Dynamic Embodied System Based on Attractor Selection Mechanism

Guided self-organization can be regarded as a paradigm proposed to understand how to guide a self-organizing system towards desirable behaviors, while maintaining its non-deterministic dynamics with emergent features. It is, however, not a trivial problem to guide the self-organizing behavior of physically embodied systems like robots, as the behavioral dynamics are results of interactions among their controller, mechanical dynamics of the body, and the environment. This paper presents a guided self-organization approach for dynamic robots based on a coupling between the system mechanical dynamics with an internal control structure known as the attractor selection mechanism. The mechanism enables the robot to gracefully shift between random and deterministic behaviors, represented by a number of attractors, depending on internally generated stochastic perturbation and sensory input. The robot used in this paper is a simulated curved beam hopping robot: a system with a variety of mechanical dynamics which depends on its actuation frequencies. Despite the simplicity of the approach, it will be shown how the approach regulates the probability of the robot to reach a goal through the interplay among the sensory input, the level of inherent stochastic perturbation, i.e., noise, and the mechanical dynamics.

 

Guided Self-Organization in a Dynamic Embodied System Based on Attractor Selection Mechanism
Surya G. Nurzaman , Xiaoxiang Yu, Yongjae Kim and Fumiya Iida

Entropy 2014, 16(5), 2592-2610

http://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/16/5/2592


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Eli Levine's curator insight, May 14, 8:18 AM

This ties in with the concept of changing the software that runs on society's particular hardware.  Government is the control mechanism in a given society and it must obey the natural laws of the society in order to get the responses and effects that its members wish to have on the society.  This is similar to an airplane, in that the only way to get an airplane safely, reliably and consistently off the ground is to obey the natural laws of physics in the world that the airplane is also apart of.

 

It should be noted here that only benevolence, care, honesty, cost effectiveness and genuine action for the sake of the general public, however those are done, are the only ways for a government and its members to stay in power.  Underhanded techniques or the imposition of brute force will not work, especially in the context of an American society.  Such is how things work in our world.  And it's unfortunate that so many people who actually are holding political power in our society are so apparently clueless and unwilling to accept these principles in their daily courses of action.

 

Think about it.

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▶ Jeffrey Johnson: From networks to hypernetworks in complex systems science

Complex systems have multilevel dynamics emerging from interactions between their parts. Networks have provided deep insights into those dynamics, but only represent relations between two things while the generality is relations between many things. Hypergraphs and their related Galois connections have long been used to model such relations, but their set theoretic nature has inadequate and inappropriate structure. Simplicial complexes can better represent relations between many things but they too have limitations. Hypersimplices, which are defined as simplices in which the relational structure is explicit, overcome these limitations. Hypernetworks, which in the simplest cases are sets of hypersimplices, have a multidimensional connectivity structure which constrains those dynamics represented by patterns of numbers over the hypersimplices and their vertices. The dynamics of hypernetwork also involve the formation and disintegration of hypersimplices, which are seen as structural events related to system time. Hypernetworks provide algebraic structure able to represent multilevel systems and combine their top-down and bottom-up micro, meso and macro-dynamics. Hypernetworks naturally generalise graphs, hypergraphs and networks. These ideas will be presented in a graphical way through examples which also show the relevance of hypernetworks to policy. It will be argued that hypernetworks are necessary if not sufficient for a science of complex systems and its applications. The talk will be aimed at a general audience and no prior knowledge will be assumed.

 

10th ECCO / GBI seminar series. Spring 2014

From networks to hypernetworks in complex systems science

April 18, 2014, Brussels

Jeffrey Johnson Open University, UK

Slides, references and more: http://ecco.vub.ac.be/?q=node/231 


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Liz Rykert's curator insight, May 10, 9:32 PM

I am fascinated with the role of networks in complex systems as the scaffolds that connect and conduct.  

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Chaos Theory in Politics (by Santo Banerjee et al.)

Chaos Theory in Politics (Understanding Complex Systems)

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The present work investigates global politics and political implications of social science and management with the aid of the latest complexity and chaos theories. Until now, deterministic chaos and nonlinear analysis have not been a focal point in this area of research. This book remedies this deficiency by utilizing these methods in the analysis of the subject matter. The authors provide the reader a detailed analysis on politics and its associated applications with the help of chaos theory, in a single edited volume.


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Unconventional Computation & Natural Computation 2014

The International Conference on Unconventional Computation and Natural Computation has been a forum where scientists with different backgrounds, yet sharing a common interest in novel forms of computation, human-designed computation inspired by nature, and the computational aspects of processes taking place in nature, meet and present their latest results.

 

Unconventional Computation & Natural Computation 2014
University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada, July 14-18

http://conferences.csd.uwo.ca/ucnc2014/


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Hypernetworks in the Science of Complex Systems (by Jeffrey Johnson)

Hypernetworks in the Science of Complex Systems (Series on Complexity Science)

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The modern world is complex beyond human understanding and control. The science of complex systems aims to find new ways of thinking about the many interconnected networks of interaction that defy traditional approaches. Thus far, research into networks has largely been restricted to pairwise relationships represented by links between two nodes. This volume marks a major extension of networks to multidimensional hypernetworks for modeling multi-element relationships, such as companies making up the stock market, the neighborhoods forming a city, people making up committees, divisions making up companies, computers making up the internet, men and machines making up armies, or robots working as teams.

This volume makes an important contribution to the science of complex systems by:
(i) extending network theory to include dynamic relationships between many elements;
(ii) providing a mathematical theory able to integrate multilevel dynamics in a coherent way; (iii)
providing a new methodological approach to analyze complex systems; and
(iv) illustrating the theory with practical examples in the design, management and control of complex systems taken from many areas of application.


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june holley's curator insight, March 24, 8:36 AM

A little pricey but breakthrough stuff here...

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Swarming in Biological and Related Systems

Swarming in Biological and Related Systems | Edgar Analytics & Complex Systems | Scoop.it

In the last 15 years, the collective motion of large numbers of self-propelled objects has become an increasingly active area of research. The examples of such collective motion abound: flocks of birds, schools of fish, swarms of insects, herds of animals etc. Swarming of living creatures is believed to be critical for the population survival under harsh conditions. The ability of motile microorganisms to communicate and coordinate their motion leads to the remarkably complex self-organized structures found in bacterial biofilms. Active intracellular transport of biological molecules within the cytoskeleton has a profound effect on the cell cycle, signaling and motility. In recent years, significant progress has also been achieved in the design of synthetic self-propelled particles. Their collective motion has many advantages for performing specific robotic tasks, such as collective cargo delivery or harvesting the mechanical energy of chaotic motion.

(...)

In this focus issue we have tried to assemble papers from leading experts which we hope will provide a current snapshot of this young and rapidly expanding field of research. They cover both theoretical and experimental investigations of the dynamics of active matter on different spatial and temporal scales.

 

Focus on Swarming in Biological and Related Systems
Lev Tsimring, Hugues Chate, Igor Aronson

2014 New J. Phys. 16

http://iopscience.iop.org/1367-2630/focus/Focus%20on%20Swarming%20in%20Biological%20and%20Related%20Systems


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Swarming in Biological and Related Systems

Swarming in Biological and Related Systems | Edgar Analytics & Complex Systems | Scoop.it

In the last 15 years, the collective motion of large numbers of self-propelled objects has become an increasingly active area of research. The examples of such collective motion abound: flocks of birds, schools of fish, swarms of insects, herds of animals etc. Swarming of living creatures is believed to be critical for the population survival under harsh conditions. The ability of motile microorganisms to communicate and coordinate their motion leads to the remarkably complex self-organized structures found in bacterial biofilms. Active intracellular transport of biological molecules within the cytoskeleton has a profound effect on the cell cycle, signaling and motility. In recent years, significant progress has also been achieved in the design of synthetic self-propelled particles. Their collective motion has many advantages for performing specific robotic tasks, such as collective cargo delivery or harvesting the mechanical energy of chaotic motion.

(...)

In this focus issue we have tried to assemble papers from leading experts which we hope will provide a current snapshot of this young and rapidly expanding field of research. They cover both theoretical and experimental investigations of the dynamics of active matter on different spatial and temporal scales.

 

Focus on Swarming in Biological and Related Systems
Lev Tsimring, Hugues Chate, Igor Aronson

2014 New J. Phys. 16

http://iopscience.iop.org/1367-2630/focus/Focus%20on%20Swarming%20in%20Biological%20and%20Related%20Systems


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▶ Chaos, Complexity, and Public Policy

Irene Sanders Executive Director and Founder of the Washington Center for Complexity and Public Policy and author of "Strategic Thinking and the New Science: Planning in the Midst of Chaos, Complexity, and Change."

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KXxs-JtvkkQ


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Eli Levine's curator insight, February 11, 2:09 PM

A way cool panel discussion.  I wish I could be a full practitioner of this new, empirically based governing and political strategic thinking.

Liz Rykert's curator insight, February 12, 10:34 AM

Loving these new video resources for understanding complexity and it applications.

Luciano Lampi's curator insight, March 23, 9:16 PM

are our politicians aware of these concepts?

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iPop: How Big Data Will Transform Coaching in the NBA - Bleacher Report

iPop: How Big Data Will Transform Coaching in the NBA - Bleacher Report | Edgar Analytics & Complex Systems | Scoop.it
Bleacher Report iPop: How Big Data Will Transform Coaching in the NBA Bleacher Report And so as the game becomes more data-centric, a strange possibility is creeping into view: Like mortgage appraising, high-frequency trading and assessing credit...
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On 6 Feb @Cloudera Hosts Third Annual Federal Forum - Analyst One

On 6 Feb @Cloudera Hosts Third Annual Federal Forum - Analyst One | Edgar Analytics & Complex Systems | Scoop.it
On 6 Feb @Cloudera Hosts Third Annual Federal Forum: For the Analyst, Data Scientist, #BigData Technologist in DC ...
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Must Read Report: The Internet’s Latest Disruption – Knowledge.

Must Read Report: The Internet’s Latest Disruption – Knowledge. | Edgar Analytics & Complex Systems | Scoop.it
Know or die: risk and opportunity of Knowledge 2.0
“And the web stormed the enterprise and disrupted roles, tasks and jobs: it cast speed, openness, flexibility and efficiency throughout, sparing no business processes: manufacturing, logistic, accounting, customer relation management, lead generation…”
The digital mutation is also profoundly disrupting how knowledge is acquired, organized and shared. Knowledge is an intangible, yet strategic asset of any enterprise. With businesses becoming more virtual and dematerialized, its value is patently and rapidly growing. Continue reading →
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Saving Human Lives: What Complexity Science and Information Systems can Contribute

We discuss models and data of crowd disasters, crime, terrorism, war and disease spreading to show that conventional recipes, such as deterrence strategies, are often not effective and sufficient to contain them. Many common approaches do not provide a good picture of the actual system behavior, because they neglect feedback loops, instabilities and cascade effects. The complex and often counter-intuitive behavior of social systems and their macro-level collective dynamics can be better understood by means of complexity science. We highlight that a suitable system design and management can help to stop undesirable cascade effects and to enable favorable kinds of self-organization in the system. In such a way, complexity science can help to save human lives.

 

Saving Human Lives: What Complexity Science and Information Systems can Contribute
Dirk Helbing, Dirk Brockmann, Thomas Chadefaux, Karsten Donnay, Ulf Blanke, Olivia Woolley-Meza, Mehdi Moussaid, Anders Johansson, Jens Krause, Sebastian Schutte, Matjaž Perc

Journal of Statistical Physics
June 2014,

http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10955-014-1024-9


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A Multi-Level Geographical Study of Italian Political Elections from Twitter Data

A Multi-Level Geographical Study of Italian Political Elections from Twitter Data | Edgar Analytics & Complex Systems | Scoop.it

In this paper we present an analysis of the behavior of Italian Twitter users during national political elections. We monitor the volumes of the tweets related to the leaders of the various political parties and we compare them to the elections results. Furthermore, we study the topics that are associated with the co-occurrence of two politicians in the same tweet. We cannot conclude, from a simple statistical analysis of tweet volume and their time evolution, that it is possible to precisely predict the election outcome (or at least not in our case of study that was characterized by a “too-close-to-call” scenario). On the other hand, we found that the volume of tweets and their change in time provide a very good proxy of the final results. We present this analysis both at a national level and at smaller levels, ranging from the regions composing the country to macro-areas (North, Center, South).

 

http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0095809

Multi-Level Geographical Study of Italian Political Elections from Twitter Data

Caldarelli G, Chessa A, Pammolli F, Pompa G, Puliga M, et al.

PLoS ONE 9(5): e95809 (2014)


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Frontiers in Robotics and AI

Frontiers in Robotics and AI | Edgar Analytics & Complex Systems | Scoop.it

Frontiers in Robotics and AI is the first open-access community journal covering the fields of robotics and artificial intelligence and joins the growing “Frontiers in” journal series. Frontiers in Robotics and AI will make use of the unique Frontiers open-science platform for open-access publishing and research networking, which provides an equal opportunity to seek, share and create knowledge.

 

Current specialty sections and associated journals open for submissions to Frontiers in Robotics and AI include:

·        Biomedical Robotics (Specialty Chief Editor: Darwin Gordon Caldwell)
·        Bionics and Biomimetics (Specialty Chief Editor: Danilo Emilio De Rossi)
·        Computational Intelligence (Specialty Chief Editor: Mikhail Prokopenko)
·        Evolutionary Robotics (Specialty Chief Editor: Gusz Eiben)
·        Humanoid Robotics (Specialty Chief Editor: Giorgio Metta)
·        Multi-Robot Systems (Specialty Chief Editor: Herbert Glenn Tanner)
·        Neurorobotics (Specialty Chief Editors: Alois C Knoll and Florian Röhrbein)
·        Neuroengineering (Specialty Chief Editor: Laura Ballerini)
·        Sensor Fusion and Machine Perception (Specialty Chief Editor: Shashi Phoha)
·        Virtual Environments (Specialty Chief Editor: Mel Slater)

 

http://www.frontiersin.org/news/Frontiers_launches_a_new_open-access_journal_Frontiers_in_Robotics_and_AI/812


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What ants teach us about the brain, cancer and the Internet

What ants teach us about the brain, cancer and the Internet | Edgar Analytics & Complex Systems | Scoop.it

Ecologist Deborah Gordon studies ants wherever she can find them -- in the desert, in the tropics, in her kitchen ... In this fascinating talk, she explains her obsession with insects most of us would happily swat away without a second thought. She argues that ant life provides a useful model for learning about many other topics, including disease, technology and the human brain.


http://on.ted.com/h0Emb ;


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Unconventional Computation & Natural Computation 2014

The International Conference on Unconventional Computation and Natural Computation has been a forum where scientists with different backgrounds, yet sharing a common interest in novel forms of computation, human-designed computation inspired by nature, and the computational aspects of processes taking place in nature, meet and present their latest results.

 

Unconventional Computation & Natural Computation 2014
University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada, July 14-18

http://conferences.csd.uwo.ca/ucnc2014/


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PhD Student at ETH Zurich

preferably with a background in computer science or physics for the ambitious ERC Advanced Investigator Grant "Momentum – Modeling the Emergence of Social Complexity and Order: How Individual and Societal Complexity Co-Evolve".

The Momentum project is about creating emergent social intelligence based on computational evolution and learning. It aims to model and simulate social interactions between sophisticated agents with cognitive capabilities and the resulting complex social dynamics on the macro-level, including phenomena such as self-organization, emergence of cooperation, social norms, and culture. The successful applicant will focus on the more technical, computation-related aspects, but will actively interact with the other team members and should also acquire a high-level understanding of the topic.

 

https://pub.refline.ch//845721/2943/++publications++/1/index.html


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Signals and Boundaries: Building Blocks for Complex Adaptive Systems (by John H. Holland)

Signals and Boundaries: Building Blocks for Complex Adaptive Systems

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Complex adaptive systems (cas), including ecosystems, governments, biological cells, and markets, are characterized by intricate hierarchical arrangements of boundaries and signals. In ecosystems, for example, niches act as semi-permeable boundaries, and smells and visual patterns serve as signals; governments have departmental hierarchies with memoranda acting as signals; and so it is with other cas. Despite a wealth of data and descriptions concerning different cas, there remain many unanswered questions about "steering" these systems. In Signals and Boundaries, John Holland argues that understanding the origin of the intricate signal/border hierarchies of these systems is the key to answering such questions. He develops an overarching framework for comparing and steering cas through the mechanisms that generate their signal/boundary hierarchies.

Holland lays out a path for developing the framework that emphasizes agents, niches, theory, and mathematical models. He discusses, among other topics, theory construction; signal-processing agents; networks as representations of signal/boundary interaction; adaptation; recombination and reproduction; the use of tagged urn models (adapted from elementary probability theory) to represent boundary hierarchies; finitely generated systems as a way to tie the models examined into a single framework; the framework itself, illustrated by a simple finitely generated version of the development of a multi-celled organism; and Markov processes.


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Costas Bouyioukos's curator insight, March 18, 1:41 PM

John Holland's new book!

António F Fonseca's curator insight, March 23, 5:23 AM

Why communicate, why not, for example, just command?

june holley's curator insight, March 23, 7:43 AM

Just got this. His stuff is usually excellent so I have high hopes.

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Swarming in Biological and Related Systems

Swarming in Biological and Related Systems | Edgar Analytics & Complex Systems | Scoop.it

In the last 15 years, the collective motion of large numbers of self-propelled objects has become an increasingly active area of research. The examples of such collective motion abound: flocks of birds, schools of fish, swarms of insects, herds of animals etc. Swarming of living creatures is believed to be critical for the population survival under harsh conditions. The ability of motile microorganisms to communicate and coordinate their motion leads to the remarkably complex self-organized structures found in bacterial biofilms. Active intracellular transport of biological molecules within the cytoskeleton has a profound effect on the cell cycle, signaling and motility. In recent years, significant progress has also been achieved in the design of synthetic self-propelled particles. Their collective motion has many advantages for performing specific robotic tasks, such as collective cargo delivery or harvesting the mechanical energy of chaotic motion.

(...)

In this focus issue we have tried to assemble papers from leading experts which we hope will provide a current snapshot of this young and rapidly expanding field of research. They cover both theoretical and experimental investigations of the dynamics of active matter on different spatial and temporal scales.

 

Focus on Swarming in Biological and Related Systems
Lev Tsimring, Hugues Chate, Igor Aronson

2014 New J. Phys. 16

http://iopscience.iop.org/1367-2630/focus/Focus%20on%20Swarming%20in%20Biological%20and%20Related%20Systems


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Opening up open data: An interview with Tim O’Reilly

Opening up open data: An interview with Tim O’Reilly | Edgar Analytics & Complex Systems | Scoop.it

We’re increasingly living in a world of black boxes. We don’t understand the way things work. And open-source software, open data are critical tools. We see this in the field of computer security. People say, “Well, we have to keep this secret.” Well, it turns out that the strongest security protocols are those that are secure even when people know how they work.
Secrecy is actually, it turns out, a fairly weak way of being secure. And I think in a similar way, we have to understand who owns the rules, how are they driven, how are they guiding our behavior. And there may be cases where you say, “Well, actually it’s a reasonable trade-off to have some degree of secrecy.”
We have this with trade secrets all the time in the commercial world. But there are other areas where we should say, “No, we really need to know how this works.”

 

http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/business_technology/opening_up_open_data_an_interview_with_tim_o_reilly


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Being First Is Best: An Adventure Capitalist’s Approach to Life and Investing, A Conversation with Dean LeBaron

A self-described “adventure capitalist,”Dean LeBaron is the founder andformer chairman of BatterymarchFinancial Management, recognized as oneof the most innovative investment manage-ment firms in the industry. As an “investmentfuturist,” LeBaron was one of the first to see thepotential of quantitative investing, implement-ing computer-driven technology and modelingtechniques at Batterymarch to systematically analyze data, trade, and manage investment portfolios. Under LeBaron’s leadership, Batterymarch pioneered indexing as an investment strategy. An early adopter of a contrarian philosophy, LeBaron followed his own advice that “in the investment field, you should be where everyone else is not,” leading Batterymarch to become one of the earliest (or first) institutional investors in the emerging markets of China, India, and Latin America. His interest and work in Russia resulted from an invitation from the government of President Mikhail Gorbachev to help priva- tize the Soviet Union’s military industrial complex. With more than five decades of experience as an investment manager, LeBaron often has been the right man in the right place at the right time, following his maxim that “if the choice is limited to being best or being first, being first is often best.”http://www.imca.org/sites/default/files/current-issues/JIC/JIC142_MastersSeriesLebaron.pdf


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Complexity Digest's curator insight, February 14, 4:48 PM
Dean Le Baron conceived and sponsored Complexity Digest since 1999. http://www.deanlebaron.com
Eli Levine's curator insight, February 18, 11:51 PM

Very helpful advice.

 

It is the initial phases which begin the journey of a thousand steps in the long arc.

 

Too bad that it's so hard to change course when it was misfired in an incorrect or half-assed direction.

 

How to change that?

 

Think about it.

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With DeepMind, Google Prepares For A Future Where We See Ourselves In ... - TechCrunch

With DeepMind, Google Prepares For A Future Where We See Ourselves In ... - TechCrunch | Edgar Analytics & Complex Systems | Scoop.it
Telegraph.co.uk
With DeepMind, Google Prepares For A Future Where We See Ourselves In ...
TechCrunch
More intelligent computing means more insightful data gathering and analysis, of course.
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Announcing HP Earth Insights: Big Data analysis for the world's rainforests

HP Earth Insights is using Big Data to help scientists protect the most diverse habitats in the world. Using Vertica-powered analytics, HP is providing the f...
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