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Développement durable et efficacité énergétique
Pour un développement durable et pour l'efficacité énergétique. «Pour ce qui est de l’avenir, il ne s’agit pas de le prévoir mais de le rendre possible. »  Antoine de Saint-Exupéry
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The Really, Really Big Picture

The Really, Really Big Picture | Développement durable et efficacité énergétique | Scoop.it

"Steadily rising energy costs and decreasing net energy yields will simply not be able to fund the future economic growth and consumptive lifestyles that developed nations are depending on (and that developing nations are aspiring to). In fact, the persistent global economic weakness we've been experiencing over the past years is an expected symptom of the throttling constraint decreasing net energy places on growth."


Via Willy De Backer
Stephane Bilodeau's insight:

"There has been a very strong and concerted public-relations effort to spin the recent shale energy plays of the U.S. as complete game-changers for the world energy outlook.  These efforts do not square up well with the data and are creating a vast misperception about the current risks and future opportunities among the general populace and energy organizations alike.  The world remains quite hopelessly addicted to petroleum, and the future will be shaped by scarcity – not abundance, as some have claimed.

 

If you care about the future of the economy, your standard of living (or that of your children), and/or your quality of life, you need to fully understand this relationship between growth and net energy. Your individual future (and our collective one) depends on it."

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Willy De Backer's curator insight, January 18, 2013 2:31 AM

Chris Martenson's excellent analysis of why there is not going to be enough net energy for the economic growth we want.

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Zero-growth is the 'new normal'

Zero-growth is the 'new normal' | Développement durable et efficacité énergétique | Scoop.it

US economic growth will be less than 1% in the next fourty years according to a new analysis by famous American investor Jeremy Grantham. The contrarian investor sees resource scarcity and higher resource prices as well as demographic factors as the main reason why our global economies will continue to struggle for new economic growth.

 

As always the gloomy predictions of Mr Grantham's piece make a lot of sense but will be neglected by the "don't worry, be happy" myopic political and economic elites.


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PwC: Supply Chains Threatened by Six-Degree Global Warming

PwC: Supply Chains Threatened by Six-Degree Global Warming | Développement durable et efficacité énergétique | Scoop.it
Some 85 percent of companies have more complex supply chains as a result of globalization, and adjusted climate forecasts mean businesses should expect climate change to have an even more destructive effect than previously assumed on supply ...

 

Two new remarkable reports by PricewaterhouseCoopers paint a scary 6-degrees climate future and economic turmoil for global business. High time one of the big consultancies goes beyond the usual "let's keep it positive" approach and starts talking reality.


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When Growth Outpaces Happiness

When Growth Outpaces Happiness | Développement durable et efficacité énergétique | Scoop.it
It is startling to find that Chinese people’s feelings of well-being have declined in a period of such momentous improvement in their economic lives.

 

Richard Easterlin in NY Times: China demonstrates that "growth alone, even at sustained, spectacular rates, has not produced the kind of life satisfaction crucial to a stable society — an experience that shows how critically important good jobs and a strong social safety net are to people’s happiness."

 

Another piece of evidence that it is time for a new economic and social development model.


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We can't grow ourselves out of debt

We can't grow ourselves out of debt | Développement durable et efficacité énergétique | Scoop.it
Charles Eisenstein: Let's replace our fixation on growth with a steady-state economy focusing on lower consumption, leisure and ecological health...

 

Very good analysis by Charles Eisenstein (author of "Sacred Economics") on the absurdity of rightist and leftist hopes to re-invent economic growth.


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Climate change, debt and inequality 'threaten financial stability'

Climate change, debt and inequality 'threaten financial stability' | Développement durable et efficacité énergétique | Scoop.it
Ahead of Davos 2013, World Economic Forum calls on policymakers to step up efforts to tackle three biggest dangers

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Stephane Bilodeau's insight:

"Continued stress on the global economic system is positioned to absorb the attention of leaders for the foreseeable future," the report said. "Meanwhile, the Earth's environmental system is simultaneously coming under increasing stress. Future simultaneous shocks to both systems could trigger the 'perfect global storm' with potentially insurmountable consequences.


"On the economic front, global resilience is being tested by bold monetary and austere fiscal policies. On the environmental front, the Earth's resilience is being tested by rising global temperatures and extreme weather events that are likely to become more frequent and severe. A sudden and massive collapse on one front is certain to doom the other's chances of developing an effective, long-term solution."

 

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Willy De Backer's curator insight, January 8, 2013 3:20 PM

Interesting report - my favorite quote from the press release: "Two storms – environmental and economic – are on a collision course"

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Could Economic Growth Kill Us?

Could Economic Growth Kill Us? | Développement durable et efficacité énergétique | Scoop.it
Now that the U.S. presidential election is over, attention has turned to the challenge of keeping the world’s largest economy growing. The underlying assumption is that growth is always the proper goal.

 


Given our current economic malaise, and the obvious needs of the poor in developing nations, growth may be the only sensible aim in the short term. But what if, in the very long term, economic growth had some natural limit, beyond which it actually became detrimental to the survival of the human race?

Good opinion piece questioning the economy growth is good paradigm, this time on Bloomberg. Another crack in the growth hegemony?



What if that assumption were wrong?
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The End of Economic Growth

Another impressive presentation by Richard Heinberg of why we have now entered the post-growth era and what will be the implications for our societies.


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Neoliberalism, Degrowth and the Fate of Health Systems

"Degrowth recognizes that humanity’s access to the earth’s resources and services of the biosphere are constraints upon socioeconomic activity. It also holds that politics and economics cannot trump thermodynamic and ecological realities. It places the limits to growth and ecological overshoot at the center of the predicaments Homo sapiens confront. It connects to culture and political/economy through this root public policy question: How to equitably distribute a shrinking economic pie?"

 



"We developed our world economy with oil as our security against future debt, always able to borrow more with the ‘certainty’ that cheap oil would provide future income to pay it off.

… This is the fundamental truth that eludes our cornucopian economists: our economy functions on energy input, not money output. Without endless cheap energy you can’t have endless employment. Our infinite demand has hit the wall of finite resources…[xxix]

Timothy Garrett, a contemporary physicist, has developed a model of economic activity as a heat engine -complete with a coefficient of output- which, expressed in lay terms means the economy is dependent for its output on the amount of energy –not capital or money or labor- flowing into it."

Must-read analysis by Dan Bednarz and Allana Beavis on what "the end of cheap energy and growth" means for Western health systems.


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Degrowth, expensive oil, and the new economics of energy

Degrowth, expensive oil, and the new economics of energy | Développement durable et efficacité énergétique | Scoop.it

"Expensive oil ... does appear to be suffocating the debt-ridden, global economy, just as it is trying to recover ...

 

Unfortunately, mainstream economists, including those in government, seem oblivious to the close relationship between energy, debt, and economy, and this means they are unable to see that expensive oil is one of the primary underlying causes of today’s economic problems. Consequently, they craft their intended solutions (e.g. stimulus packages, quantitative easing, low interest rates to encourage borrowing, etc) based on flawed, growth-based thinking, not recognising that the new economics of energy means that the growth model, which assumes cheap energy inputs, is now dangerously out-dated. When growth-based economies do not grow, household, firms, and nations struggle to repay their debts, and quickly things begin to unravel in undesirable ways."

 

Excellent analysis by Dr Samuel Alexander of the links between global energy descent, rising commodity prices, the end of growth and the Great Depression.

 


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