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The Physics of Wall Street: A Brief History of Predicting the Unpredictable (by James Owen Weatherall)

The Physics of Wall Street: A Brief History of Predicting the Unpredictable

~ James Owen Weatherall (author) More about this product
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After the economic meltdown of 2008, Warren Buffett famously warned, “beware of geeks bearing formulas.” But as James Weatherall demonstrates, not all geeks are created equal. While many of the mathematicians and software engineers on Wall Street failed when their abstractions turned ugly in practice, a special breed of physicists has a much deeper history of revolutionizing finance. Taking us from fin-de-siècle Paris to Rat Pack-era Las Vegas, from wartime government labs to Yippie communes on the Pacific coast, Weatherall shows how physicists successfully brought their science to bear on some of the thorniest problems in economics, from options pricing to bubbles.

The crisis was partly a failure of mathematical modeling. But even more, it was a failure of some very sophisticated financial institutions to think like physicists. Models—whether in science or finance—have limitations; they break down under certain conditions. And in 2008, sophisticated models fell into the hands of people who didn’t understand their purpose, and didn’t care. It was a catastrophic misuse of science.

The solution, however, is not to give up on models; it's to make them better. Weatherall reveals the people and ideas on the cusp of a new era in finance. We see a geophysicist use a model designed for earthquakes to predict a massive stock market crash. We discover a physicist-run hedge fund that earned 2,478.6% over the course of the 1990s. And we see how an obscure idea from quantum theory might soon be used to create a far more accurate Consumer Price Index.

 

 

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Future Money: Breakdown or Breakthrough?

Future Money: Breakdown or Breakthrough? | CxBooks | Scoop.it

James Robertson has been described as the ‘grandfather of green economics’; he might equally be called the father of Renegade Economics: over the last three decades nobody has been more eloquent or straightforward in their advocacy of a new economic order.

 

Robertson's main focus has been the money system. Many years ago he identified the means by which money is created as the principal culprit in our failure to create a more just and sustainable society. In his new book, Future Money: Breakdown or Breakthrough? he summarises the problems with current monetary arrangements and offers an alternative which could set civilization on a much happier, healthier and long-lived course.


Via David Hodgson, Elle D'Coda, ddrrnt
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