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Study: 12 million US adults are misdiagnosed each year

Study: 12 million US adults are misdiagnosed each year | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it
And about half those misdiagnoses could harm the patient.
Eli Levine's insight:

I wonder what the percentage this is of total diagnoses.  But, just like in policy making, misdiagnoses are going to happen with the society and they could be potentially deadly to the patient, on the collective level.

 

Does this mean that we give up on doctors?  Does this mean that we do not work to make our diagnostic capabilities more effective and correct as many mistakes as we can correct?  Does this mean that we diminish or deny doctors their effective role in our lives and continue to hold them account for their incorrect actions?  If you answered "no" to these questions, then why would you deny these things to our political leaders?

 

Not that they're doing a good job now, given the condition and mood of our global and domestic societies.

 

It's just something to think about, especially for those anti-government Libertarians and conservatives out there.

 

Enjoy your day.

 

Think about it.

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The retail market as a complex system

Aim of this paper is to introduce the complex system perspective into retail market analysis. Currently, to understand the retail market means to search for local patterns at the micro level, involving the segmentation, separation and profiling of diverse groups of consumers. In other contexts, however, markets are modelled as complex systems. Such strategy is able to uncover emerging regularities and patterns that make markets more predictable, e.g. enabling to predict how much a country’s GDP will grow. Rather than isolate actors in homogeneous groups, this strategy requires to consider the system as a whole, as the emerging pattern can be detected only as a result of the interaction between its self-organizing parts. This assumption holds also in the retail market: each customer can be seen as an independent unit maximizing its own utility function. As a consequence, the global behaviour of the retail market naturally emerges, enabling a novel description of its properties, complementary to the local pattern approach. Such task demands for a data-driven empirical framework. In this paper, we analyse a unique transaction database, recording the micro-purchases of a million customers observed for several years in the stores of a national supermarket chain. We show the emergence of the fundamental pattern of this complex system, connecting the products’ volumes of sales with the customers’ volumes of purchases. This pattern has a number of applications. We provide three of them. By enabling us to evaluate the sophistication of needs that a customer has and a product satisfies, this pattern has been applied to the task of uncovering the hierarchy of needs of the customers, providing a hint about what is the next product a customer could be interested in buying and predicting in which shop she is likely to go to buy it.

 

The retail market as a complex system
Pennacchioli D, Coscia M, Rinzivillo S, Giannotti F, Pedreschi D
EPJ Data Science 2014, 3 :33 (11 December 2014)

http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-014-0033-x ;


Via Complexity Digest
Eli Levine's insight:

With this knowledge and insight into the world that's dawning.  One world must be destroyed in order for the new world to come forth; one segment of society must give way to the new in order to facilitate and ease this transition.

 

The top of society is where and what determines the ease or the possibility of this transition.  That is the point that needs to be altered in order to bring about this new dawn.  

 

Unfortunately, it is the point in society that is least willing, although most capable of change.  They'll cling to illusions and delusions of relative power over people and unsustainable material wealth than allow for everyone, including themselves, to realize something that could truly be wonderful for our lives, our well-being, and our health as living organisms.  This is before we talk about the bottom-up resistance that will be experienced as well, especially if the transition is done badly by the people who are at the top of the given social unit.  A shame that something so relatively simple can be so completely complicated and complex to carry out.

 

Silly world.

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Reflections on an Enlightened Society

The Signs of an Enlightened Society:

1. The leadership will voluntary stand aside or devolve their powers to others when it is actually realized that their power or their chosen uses of power prove to be practically or morally incorrect.

2. Any given leadership of any given society is primarily focused on the well-being of the general public, not on the well-being of themselves as a separate entity from the public.

3.The leadership uses the scientific method to understand and comprehend the society and their social, environmental, and ecological condition accurately and to make good policy choices for the social unit(s) based on that scientific inquiry in terms of economic, social, and environmental well-being.

4. The general public is legally and practically able and willing to naturally correct the actions of the governing members such that they get their needs and wants fulfilled by the governing members.

5. The government's members will naturally and peaceably yield to the needs of the people while taking the opposite stance when the people want that which is unreasoned, unreasonable, unfeasible, or unhealthy in spite of losing power and authority to those who are less concerned with the well-being of the people.  It is from these moments of darkness that the general public can learn the benefits of having the specific leadership who governs on their empirical behalf.  Therefore, the Enlightened Society lets the sub-par leadership take over, and naturally resumes governing when it is shown that the sub-par leadership is sub-par.  If the new leadership is not sub-par, and is superior to the old leadership, then all gain in the society as a result of the presence of superior leadership in the society, including for the old leadership who still resides within that given society.  All benefit from superior leadership; none benefit from inferior leadership

The nature of an Enlightened Society is one of constant dialogue and feedback between the governed and the governing, with information being transmitted accurately and effectively to the appropriate nodes in order to maximize the well-being of the entire social unity (government included).  There is no such thing as a fully Enlightened Society, especially now at the present time, and the wealth and military power of a given society are not measures of the degree of Enlightenment that the society has achieved.

To hurt an Enlightened Society, or a society that is striving towards Enlightenment, or to harm those who are trying to get a society onto the Path of Enlightenment, is to harm one's own self, because for every instance and degree of damage that is done to the aspiring society or people is yet another obstacle for them to overcome, thus limiting that society's ability to help other society's achieve Enlightenment.  The more crap you give the aspirant society or people, the more harm that is done to your own self.  Therefore, do not hinder or harm those who are traveling along the Enlightened Path towards realizing perpetual Realization and Enlightenment, for you will suffer if they fail on top of the increased likelihood that you're going to do something unwise due to your already corrupted way of thinking, feeling, and perceiving the world.

 

For your own sake, do not hinder or limit those seeking Enlightenment or spiritual/ethical perfection.

 

Thank you.

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$6.9 Billion to be Spent on Civic Tech in 2015, Report Says

$6.9 Billion to be Spent on Civic Tech in 2015, Report Says | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it
New analysis says the rise of the civic tech market has grown roots, and its growth with be 14 times faster than traditional government IT spending at the state and local levels.
Eli Levine's insight:

A new frontier is emerging in governance, government, accountability, and relations between the government at any level and the citizens of the given social unit.  Members of the government can either use this technology, get a better understanding of social needs as they evolve and fluctuate.  Or they can continue with the paternalistic "father knows best" bs, and continue to do whatever they, the members of the government want over the needs of the population.  One way will lead to a sympatico relationship between government and governed, the other will provoke the governed into a war against the government and all who support the status quo.

 

What's it going to be, America?  World?

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Government: the Initiator

It is the government which initiates changes within itself first, in terms of attitude and chosen actions and perspectives. The society simply follows suit and responds to the changes in government. You can't change society until you change your outlook, attitude, perspective, policies, and actions as a governor. You can't cause an object to fly until you have an understanding, comprehension, and respect of nature, natural law, and physics. Even then, the flying machine must be designed and built just so in order to actually do anything useful. You must have a respect for nature, natural law, social and economic physics, and human dignity and well-being first in order to govern effectively. Then you must design your own policies and programs just so in order to get the desired effects in the society. Again, government initiates action, and society responds to it. This should create a feedback loop of information and action. When the society does well, the governing groups can do well. When society does poorly, the governing groups do poorly. Thus is how it's likely always been with some variation across time, geography, and culture. Ignore these laws at your own peril.

 

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HOW SOCIETY WORKS: Social order by self-organization

The invention of laws and regulations is celebrated as great success principle of societies and they are, of course, important. However, a major part of social order is based on self-organization, which builds on simple social mechanism. These mechanisms have evolved over historical times and are the basis of the success or failure of civilizations. Currently, many people oppose globalization, because traditional social mechanisms fail to create cooperation and social order under globalized conditions that are increasingly characterized by homogeneous or random interactions. However, I will show that there are other social mechanisms such as reputation systems, which will work in a globalized world, too.

 

http://futurict.blogspot.nl/2014/11/how-society-workssocial-order-by-self.html


Via Complexity Digest
Eli Levine's insight:

We could be approaching something fantastically cool, if we don't destroy ourselves in the meantime.

 

Enjoy!

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=akek6cFRZfY

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How to Govern: Power Relations and Future Prospects for American Society

What do the American people consistently seem to want?

They seem to want fair pay for fair work, a clean, safe, and sustainable work environment, operational, effective, and functional schools, healthcare available for the general public, and to be safe in their homes from terrorists and other threats at home and abroad.

That's what has to be provided first, in essence, through policy from the government, if you want people to continue playing the game. None of these things are possible without the intervention of and presence of the government to say "no" to the private interests who would destroy these things in the name of personal profit. Otherwise, people tune out, turn off, and get angry enough that they value what they're fighting for more than their lives (because, let's face it, without these things, they have no life anyway).

Yet what do the conservatives do, from both sides of the aisle? The Republicans try to play Clint Eastwood or John Wayne, when they're really Major Frank Burns. The Democrats of today are nothing but a pedantic group of lawyers who know how to mitigate, yet do not know how to campaign or govern a country. They have abandoned the ethic that was established by Franklin and originally manifest in Teddy Roosevelt and, indeed, all of our truly great and effective statespeople who knew how to care for this society. The ethic is the seed, the science is what follows from it. Neither side of our political system seems to know, care, or work with the truth beyond what it can do to immediately put them into positions of power and consequence they do not know or care to know how to handle. They have forgotten that power in any human dynamic is a relationship that requires much care, long term preparation, planning, and well conceived execution in order to pull off. It is not "get me into office now", which is little more than what boys do when they're trying to get into some poor woman's bed. It is a build up of trust. It is about admitting to mistakes and accepting the consequences of them. It's about forgiveness as well, since none of us are going to be perfect at governing, even with the best data and best analytical methods we can muster (especially while we're still learning about what does what and what is actually present in a constantly changing world).

If the Progressives were intelligent, they would let the conservatives take the entire country. They will not relent until they have taken, eaten, and destroyed everything that we actually hold dear in the name of that which they only think they need. Hell, they actually believe that money is a real thing that we need for survival! They're willing to sacrifice our world, our planet, our home, for the sake of having larger piles of this worthless cloth rag or metal disks! They want power and positions which they cannot and will not handle well for their own sakes, relative to the people in our society, or to all other peoples living in the world. America would become even more of a pariah state than before; countries will go to China, Russia, Brazil, India, etc for aid, shelter, and assistance, not to the US. The United States would rot under their anti-environmental, anti-education, anti-citizen, corporatocracy, regardless of whether it is the Democratic Party or the Republican Party who governs. I say "disengage", and let the American people learn on their own what it means to have a negligent, ineffective, or outright hostile and anti-social government (complete with negligent, ineffective, and outright hostile and anti-social government members).

Let the corporate barons win. They didn't learn after the Franklin Roosevelt, they won't learn until they're dead or being locked up by the mob into mental institutions. There's something seriously wrong with the people who are currently leading our society. And it all starts in their neurology, somewhere, somehow.

To all of you who didn't vote or act in some way, shape, or form on Election Day: you deserve what you're going to get. I wish I didn't have to suffer with you all because of your mistakes. But, such is how things work, I guess. Enjoy!


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(Hopefully) Parting Words for My Homeland and Countryfolk

We have a true perfect storm brewing in our nation's finances. If we continue spending at the levels that we're doing without raising taxes, we will not be able to afford to pay our interest rates, and the nation will effectively go bankrupt due to the amount of debt that we've piled on without having revenues to back it up. We can experiment, if the conservatives and Libertarians insist, with going back to the way things were before the costs of Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, and National Defense became such an integral part of our nation's budget.  That would likely cause a period of mass death and poverty due to peoples' inability to pay bills or receive money that they were counting on for living requirements.  Or we can simply raise taxes on those who can afford to pay it and remove their ability to vote, contribute to elections, and receive all other benefits of being a US citizen, plus tack on a substantial jail period for high income tax evaders, if they so choose to move out of country and not pay the taxes that they owe.  We could also raise wages in our society to beyond just living standard wages, such that people can afford to pay more taxes in from a broader base, or a combination of the two revenue raising methods.  But the path, I think, is clear.  We need to raise revenue for the Federal government and preserve spending on state and local government to keep our debts manageable or non-existent, depending upon the legal requirements that are present in the non-Federal entities. 

 

Now, part of the Medicare bubble is because the population is getting older.  That will subside as time goes on and the Baby Boomers die off.  We also need to be investing in our infrastructure, such that we can still maintain economic, military, and social fitness within our home territory, plus create new levels of fitness to protect us against outside threats from manipulating, destroying, and affecting our infrastructure from within.  Who knows, we may even be able to invest a little into education, improving healthcare access, and ensuring environmental health on top of it all, at least once we settle the political questions surrounding taxes.  I know that somebody in this conflict is going to blink and I'm willing to bet that it will be the "Progressives", who will one way or another, consign our future to the conservatives and Libertarians.  In fact, it may be in the Progressives interests to do just this, because it will ultimately could lead to the destruction and discretization of the conservative and Libertarian attitude, viewpoint, and brain state within the world of government.  Anarchy is all that Libertarians really have to offer, and conservatism is nothing more than the dictatorship of the wealthy elite.  Neither are things that the American public has seemed to truly want in the past and neither are things that I think we really value in the United States of America.

 

However, if we're going to move past the stupid world of government by argument, opinion, belief, and ideology to realize government through science, evidence, and responsibility, we may very well have to go through a period of dark years, decades, centuries, or millennia, before we finally get our rears in gear to play catch up with the rest of the world (who will leave us behind and "play" with us in the meantime).  The choice is up to you to prevent this from happening, American citizens.  All of you, even you who are reading this right now.  But, I know that you're not going to do anything about it until it is glaringly obvious that you're not going to get what you all want by working for and supporting the Libertarian and conservative caucuses.  It's truly a sad day when the people who can legally do the most amount of potential good for themselves won't.  And you all will have no one to blame but yourselves, really.

 

Have fun governing, ye Tea Party, Libertarian, and conservative whackos.  I know you will fail in the long term because you will not comprehend or accept facts that stare you in the face from common reality.  Hell, I don't even think you all believe in common reality to begin with, or acknowledge the supremacy of natural laws, as discovered by science, over your petty little rules, desires, hopes, tastes, and opinions.  Please enjoy this victory for it will likely be one of your last.  Enjoy!  And, best of luck.

 

I hereby cede the entire country of the United States over to the conservatives, Libertarians, Tea Party members, and pseudo-Liberals.  Please, do with it as you'd like. 

 

Enjoy!

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A Treatise on International Diplomacy

A Treatise on International Diplomacy | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it
America’s high-tech P-8 surveillance jet, a modified Boeing 737, is part of its strategy of deploying more resources to Asia in response to China’s growing firepower and assertiveness.
Eli Levine's insight:

If China wants to play global hegemon, let them.  So long as we're able to defend our homeland and make actual friendships with other countries, I don't see the Chinese hegemon as being all that threatening.  The trouble comes when we continue to meddle in places where it isn't our concern to meddle and insist on cultural conformity amongst the nations that not even we are 100% good at following.  The US has to be the weaker power to stand against the stronger Chinese power, allied by friends from across the world, in order to be successful in this, the dawning of the Chinese era.  Outdated colonial notions of force, coercion, and deception have to be abandoned if we're going to be successful as a nation to counter the Chinese rise.  We have to make alliances with peoples, not just governments, form connections on the sub-state level, not just rely on illegitimate and dictatorial governments to do our dirty work.

 

In all honesty, I don't think that the Americans will listen to what I've got to say or pay attention to their eroding influence in the world.  I think people will band against us instead of the Chinese if we continue to flex our power undemocratically and without care or concern for the general publics of the world.  You cannot fly by defying the natural laws of the universe.  You must follow and obey them, setting the example yourself, and being accepting of those who don't.  It takes genuine compassion, concern, care, and love to make an empire that's lasting, powerful, and able to weather storms as they arise.  I don't think that the Chinese government will follow this logic or line of reasoning.  But, at the same time, I don't see the United States' government or people following this line of reasoning either.  That is our primary weakness, I think, relative to everyone else. 

 

Our government members don't seem to care about others in ways that are appropriate or functional.  We just want to perpetuate our own cultural template on top of everyone elses' culture, history, logic, and ways of conducting business while not following that logic with our own people. 

 

The politics of force is an inherently weaker form of systematic control than the politics of compassion, love, and appropriate care.  We lack the knowledge and awareness of nuanced dialogue and negotiation.  The difference between what I'm talking about is that we must first recognize what the other is genuinely working towards, and then deciding whether or not that is something that is on the whole, reasoned, reasonable, and achievable.  You don't appease people like Adolph Hitler, because what his actual goals were, were unacceptable, unreasoned, and unreasonable.  But most leaders aren't Adolph Hitler, no matter how we may portray or hallucinate about them.  Most leaders can be worked with and basically are wanting things that most reasoned, reasonable, and healthy people would be wanting as well.  When these people can't be worked with, you can defer to their peoples' wishes and wants and needs, which may be different and much more realistic than the leadership.  When in doubt, go with the people and not the leadership.  The public is the guide that determines the leadership.  You can upset a leadership in their home territory by deferring to the people and their peoples' needs.

 

Such is how I view international diplomacy.  It is not the same as our present day methods, since we work exclusively with leaders and not with people.  We in the United States seek to impose rather than work in collaboration with.  We think that our way is the best and only way while neglecting that other people have their own ways which may actually be better for them than our ways.  If we do not change our methodology for operating diplomacy, we will lose allies and friends to the Chinese, and we will be the hegemon without a hegemony.  It is through our ability to ally and connect with peoples that we gain our true strength.  The military is just the tip of the iceberg when it comes to creating a real power dynamic amongst nations and people.  It is through the acceptance and acknowledgement of equality amongst the peoples of the planet and universe that we can gain the most, not through the assertion of military force.   And it's a royal shame that we are so immature as a governing body or as a people to accept, acknowledge, and appreciate these facts about human life and, indeed, I think all sentient life in the universe.

 

To wrap up, you cannot build a successful airplane that flies by ignoring the natural laws and limitations of the universe.  You must, instead, follow, obey, and discover the natural laws that are present in the universe and leave your beliefs, opinions, and desires behind.  As it is with physical laws, so as it is with social and economic laws.  A shame that the American government and people are so tone deaf to these nuances.

 

Enjoy! :)

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Mike Huckabee joins push demanding Houston officials ignore their own election laws

Mike Huckabee joins push demanding Houston officials ignore their own election laws | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it
Eli Levine's insight:

And I'm the one called "arrogant".

 

They will more likely be strangled by their own attempts to strangle the public.  And, yes, I mean "strangled" literally (since that would save on bullets).

 

My solution at present is to leave the country and the American society to its chosen fate.  Until the general public is willing to make their voices heard and actually do something to save themselves, it's not worth my time or effort to make this place be better against the tide of public opinion and apathy.

 

You were beautiful, America; the Homecoming Queen of Nations in your youth.  But you are not a young country anymore; your looks are beginning to fade under the blight of your chosen leaders' choices.  Your actions have consequences, which you are perpetually going to be bound by, contrary to your ideology of unlimited potential, freedom, and baseless optimism.  Not all opinions are equal; not all beliefs are true, not all preferences are healthy and should be supported.  You won't get these concepts until it is too late, America, if you get them at all.  The Homecoming Queen is getting older, and her looks are fading.  Easy wealth.  Easy luxury.  No sense.  All wasted.

 

Enjoy your bed, Americans.  You made it.  Now sleep in it.

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The Asymmetry of Values and Priorities

Not all values have equal weight relative to producing the best possible results within a society.  Some priorities and desires are more detrimental to the individual, collective, and individual through the collective than beneficial, just as different food and exercise preferences have different effects on the individual's health.  The United States has an unhealthy sentiment within its society that all values and preferences have equal grounding in reality or, worse still, that there is no such thing as a common reality that reacts to our actions, producing the positive and negative effects that we experience depending upon our choices.  Some people seem to have a better grasp of reality than others, and common reality, not a researcher or group of scientists, determines which person/group does a better job in the absolute sense and relative to others.

 

The universe is a dictatorship.  The natural laws are there and we are subject to them.  Even if we find ways around them, we are only either following other natural laws, had a misconception of what were/are natural laws to begin with, and/or, will be subject to the consequences of "breaking" or "changing" those natural laws.  Americans won't like that vision of the universe, no matter how much they run up against the facts and natural laws of our universe.  To want it to be otherwise is to want 2+2 to equal any number other than 4: impossible to accomplish and really pointless.

 

For all of our ability to imagine things and to make things more chaotic than it needs to be for our health and well-being, we will still be held to account for our actions and choices, not by police officers or an authority figure, but through the natural actions of cause and effect; the base laws of our universe.

 

Like it?  Lump it?  It doesn't matter.

 

Enjoy your world, humans, especially you America.  You will die for freedom and liberty, and the rest of the world will pass you by while you wallow in your own sad, excessively chaotic filth.

 

I'm sorry I couldn't help.

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Growing Pains in Economics, Societies, and Environmental Consciousness

What's good for a company isn't actually what's necessarily going to be good for a society.  Companies are just concerned with the production of profits; societies have to be concerned with living, surviving, and potentially being able to thrive.  Capitalism is going to exploit and squeeze out the value of the public's labors for the sake of these profits without necessarily being or feeling obligated to return the favor for the work that is done.  The government of the society will either sit back and accept or encourage this exploitation, or it will protect the environment and the society through law and law enforcement to ensure a healthy, functional, and sustainable social-environmental world in which we can all potentially thrive as living organisms (not money eating machines).  The choice is in the policies and programs that the government produces.  Its own quality of life and ability to survive is at stake when it ignores the well-being of the society in which it operates and the economy from which it draws on its resources to fund and finance the society's development, growth, sustainability, and survival.  That's what history has shown.  We can either ignore it and repeat the lessons again, to our own expense and detriment, or we can advance beyond them to take on new challenges, new problems, and new ways of dealing with the old, always present problems that we've experienced before in the past.

 

Grow up humanity!  It's time.

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The Supreme (Natural) Law of the Cosmos

Societies are, indeed, governed by people and not by laws.  People can make or unmake written laws, just as easily as societies can make or unmake people who make laws.

 

However, we are, in fact, governed by Natural Law, the laws of nature, society, the environment, the universe around us.  We are it and it is us.  We discover it, we do not actually make it.

 

The faith in written law of our society, the Constitution, has been violated by those who have no respect for written or natural law.  To this end, we fall back on Natural Law, as discovered by the scientific method and revealed to us over time through experimentation, observation, and accident, to correct these mistake people who currently sit in places of high power, consequence, and authority, and yet do not seem to understand how to operate and work for their own actual benefit within the confines of these discovered and unwritten laws.

 

The Law is indeed supreme.  No one made them though.  They're just the rules that have existed, as far as we can tell, since beyond the beginning of time and forward to the end of time and beyond.  To change and alter them here is to subject yourself to the consequences of changing those Laws which are apart of nature and the universe that is us.  They simply are, and we are always going to be bound by the consequences of them, no matter how hard we may try to make it be otherwise.  Those who do not get it and work with the world in this basic fashion are likely those who are least capable of governing and effectively managing a world.  They do not see the walls which naturally exist.  They will not understand how to use those Laws for your own sake and benefit within the context of those laws.  They will rebel against those discovered Laws, because their brains are not accurately reading or working with reality that is them.

 

They are sick people.

 

And they need to be removed from office permanently, as a personality/brain type, so that they may never again make our society a perverse corner of the universe.  They are like animals who do not get the basic concept of not pissing or pooping in a distinct corner, for the sake of their health and well-being relative to all other lifeforms in this universe.  They seem to feel as though they can (and should be allowed to) go wherever they please, regardless of the consequences that are exacted upon themselves and on others whom they depend on.  There is, I think, no freedom in this universe.  There is only Law, and those who won't get or accept it.  Even when you "break" free, you are still bound by the discovered Natural Laws.  You can either live with, accept, and maximize your utility based on those Laws.  Or, you can fight them, resist them, and make life for yourself and your friends, family, and companions worse.  It all depends on how your brains work, as to whether you go one way or another.  Those who follow Laws, tend to be more able to pass on their genes and memes in the long term, than those who don't.  Even if the breakers of Law kill off all Law abiders, they will be more likely to kill themselves off as a result of their negligence, stupidity, and ignorance of themselves and the world that is them.

 

Obey the Law.

 

Or suffer the consequences that you yourself bring on.

 

Enjoy your nights.

 

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The Ghost of Karl Marx

The free market, when it is truly allowed to be 100% free of regulation or tracking (not controlling) leads to its own demise, either through the destruction of the environment or through a revolution within the society. If you start out as having more of an opportunity or some kind of advantage over another, you tend to increase your wealth faster than others. That, in and of itself, is not a problem when taken in moderate doses. However, as time goes on, the wealth for those individuals tends to grow exponentially over time in a non-linear fashion, leading to the extra growth of the pie being consumed by a few individuals while everyone else has less and less and less of a stake within the system. Capitalism becomes an exclusive system, rather than an inclusive one. The governments of the world are replaced by businesses groups and special interests who have wealth at their disposal, which decreasingly reflects the needs and characteristics of the general population. The interests dig in, rather than shift and adapt to the changing and increasingly negative dynamic between themselves and the general public. Conservatism and rigidity in thinking and behaving sets in, especially as the governing members age, and the system becomes increasingly vulnerable to attack and/or rot. External powers may also play a role in the destruction of the current government members, either in the form of other societies or environmental factors.

 

This is the ghost of Karl Marx haunting the Capitalists long after the fall of the major "Communist" powers. The pigs will consume themselves and their precious system. The more they brutalize and take, the more likely they'll be removed, and the more likely the rest of society will treat them poorly when they are removed.

 

There is a cost to deception.  There is a cost to taking and receiving.  The market system works great, when it is moderated in order to protect the environment and the employed classes.  Labor is not the same as a regular commodity; there is no comparative advantage to not having domestic manufacturing and actually producing innovative goods and services that people will want to buy.  We're going to die for the sake of an idealized system, perpetuated by foolish academics and business leaders who see only cash and not value as an organism.  The time is coming for us to pick a side between those who already have and are going to consume everything, and those who have nothing and have the greatest potential to rebuild and survive, even if the business leaders and politicians are shot (and they will be more likely shot if they continue to ignore and brutalize the public).

 

It can happen here.  America is not an exception to the natural laws of societies and human behavior, nor are we not subject to the conditions and social/ecological factors that exist outside of our society.  The time is coming for absolution.  This is the end of Capitalism in its present form and the birth of a new system of market economic logic, study, and management.  Otherwise, the species is going to suffer significant losses and the boss pigs will be dead. 

 

What's it going to be, America?

 

What's it going to be world?

 

Think about it.

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China Trade, Outsourcing and Jobs: Growing U.S. trade deficit with China cost 3.2 million jobs between 2001 and 2013, with job losses in every state

China Trade, Outsourcing and Jobs: Growing U.S. trade deficit with China cost 3.2 million jobs between 2001 and 2013, with job losses in every state | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it
Since China entered the World Trade Organization in 2001, the massive growth of trade between China and the United States has had a dramatic and negative effect on U.S. workers and the domestic economy.
Eli Levine's insight:

What's good for individual businesses in the financial short run is terrible for them, the economy, and the society in the holistic long run. Just because it's more profitable doesn't mean it's actually going to be good for people, the environment, it the economy outside of business profits.  It's not rocket science. 

 

Silly society. 

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On Civic Tech and Participation

If you want political participation by the public, the transaction cost of participation in democracy has to be lowered in order to accommodate peoples' needs, wishes, and tastes.  Conservatives and ideologues from either side will not want this to happen, nor will the Established Left be all too happy about it (because then they might actually be held accountable to their actions, for a change).  A good legislator, public executive, or administrator should be able to work well under the potential threat of being removed from office due to poor performance.  It is both in the interests of the governed and the governing to preserve this confidence, trust, and legitimacy.  Without it, the whole social system will break down, something no one who has actually lived through would ever want.  Anarchy and Libertarianism are nice in theory, but terrible in practice, just as a centrally planned Socialist economy is, likewise, a bad idea in actual practice.

Therefore, I encourage all governments to adopt technology to enable non-violent and relatively energy cheap feedback from the general public, in order to see what's needed, what's working well, and what's working poorly.  The data should be readily available for researchers and the public alike.  It's true that filtering methods will have to be installed in order to weed out the nonsense that people will give.  But in general, a functional society will have a government whose services are easy to access, enables substantive feedback from the general public, and holds officials accountable for their actions and choices while in office.  Without that, the social order will break down, and only the Anarchists and Libertarians will be temporarily happy (until they realize how necessary the social order is for their own individual well-being and health).

 

It is time that we give up on the childish ideological beliefs and preferences and focus on what it is that we actually need and could want, as human beings, and how to best accomplish those needs and wants without doing ourselves harm in the short or long term.  It is time that we adopt science at the core of our governing philosophy.  Without it, governing officials will not understand their interests and roles as governing officials, and will more likely make costly mistake choices that will harm themselves and the public alike.  We seriously can do better as a society and as a species.  I know it.

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The Cost-Effective Evolution

Believe it or not, I do not think that the current turbulence that is gripping America over police brutality and racism will be the straw that breaks the camel's back.  Change will only come in America with an organized, deliberate, and highly motivated crowd of people, not with just a bunch of citizens in the streets.  We have two options: we can either organize for votes and take a non-violent approach, or we can organize for war against the existing government.  Personally, I would recommend the former rather than the latter, mainly because I see the system as being ok, just really really really badly and incompetently operated by amateurs in power.  The other way would throw the baby out with the bath water, and leave us with the long and incredibly difficult and uncertain path of creating new institutions that no one is going to agree upon, resulting in civil war and conflict for an undefined period of time, with no guarantees that we'll get anything good from it in the end after fighting, bloodshed, and war.

The beauty about this whole situation is that it can go down with no one losing their lives, no one losing their dignity and, conceivably, very very few people losing their jobs as a result of the transition towards a new LOGIC of government and a more accurately defined set of SELF-interests for the governing parties in question.  The United States has never really had a purpose defined for its government clearly, and quite honestly, there are a lot of people who, unfortunately, reach back at the past to inform their present rather than looking to the actual present and possible future implications of that present.  I propose that it is in the self-interests of the governing to maintain, preserve, work with, and adapt to the changing needs and wishes of the public itself outside of government.  It doesn't matter what ideological bent you have, because all ideologies are irrelevant unless they are backed up by scientific facts and truths about our common reality, derived from the systematic and rigorous study of our common reality (not from the mandates or dictates of the researchers).  To ignore common reality or to not believe in common reality is to live in a fantasy world where you will not see or realize the walls that are around you and the consequences of your actions before it is too late.  To persistently ignore or not believe in common reality is to be mentally ill, as it poses a danger to yourself and a danger to others for you to be allowed into places of power, consequence, authority, and responsibility.  Things either are, aren't, or are something different than what we think.  There are no four ways about it.  Period.

In short, we will not topple the system as it stands this time, I don't think.  The most that will happen will be that a lot of people will get arrested, hurt, or killed in the confrontations between police and citizens until the municipal governments and municipal police authorities, in coordination with the state and federal governments intervenes on the side of the citizenry.  If the governments fail to deal with this problem, it will only deepen the mistrust and add credence to the notion that our political leaders are impotent, uncaring, incompetent, genuinely clueless, and/or genuinely unfit for power, consequence, and authority and only serve to justify and give credence to those who wish to violently overthrow the government, its members, and destroy the institutions which really could help rather than hurt us.  The TRUTH of the matter, is that governing institutions are only as good and effective as the people you staff them with.  Unfortunately, the American public has dropped the ball on picking good leadership cadres through poor voting choices or not voting for good ones.  The ideological differences that divide us are irrelevant, for there is only one common reality and only one set of complex, convoluted, and hidden truths to this universe that, eventually, boils down to change, and nothing else.  We should work to discover the truths of our society, our economy, and our ecosystems, such that we don't do harm to ourselves through doing harm to these aspects of our universe and, perhaps, even discover how to do sustainable good for ourselves.  If you want to live and get rid of the ne'er-do-wells, get organized, start moving in the streets, and start voting and running for office separate from the PACs and super PACs.  Get reasoned and reasonable people who live in the real world to be in office; people who understand the limitations of knowing the real world and who actively search for those truths in order to actually help people. That's called being apart of the solution.  To join with violence, to join with the Libertarian or conservative causes, to join with ideologues and vapid progressives; the people who are in the system itself now, is to be apart of the problem.  What are you going to do, Americans?  Be apart of the solution and change the mother-effing system with the tools that you all have, or remain incoherent and incompetent, or beholden to your abusers or go rouge against that which you actually need and benefit from as an individual?  It's your choice, as it's always been.  It wouldn't have gotten this bad if you all had made better choices.

Silly country.  Silly people.

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Urban planners in America are increasingly thinking small scale to solve big problems

Urban planners in America are increasingly thinking small scale to solve big problems | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it
urban planners in America are increasingly thinking small scale to solve big problems

Via Manu Fernandez
Eli Levine's insight:

Practical, adaptive, inventive, appropriately sized, and effective.  Start on the small level, with top-down collaboration, comprehension, and understanding and you've got yourself a formula for revitalization, development, growth, and, potentially, sustainability.

 

Enjoy!

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Direct human influence on atmospheric CO2 seasonality from increased cropland productivity : Nature : Nature Publishing Group

Direct human influence on atmospheric CO2 seasonality from increased cropland productivity : Nature : Nature Publishing Group | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it
Ground- and aircraft-based measurements show that the seasonal amplitude of Northern Hemisphere atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations has increased by as much as 50 per cent over the past 50 years. This increase has been linked to changes in temperate, boreal and arctic ecosystem properties and processes such as enhanced photosynthesis, increased heterotrophic respiration, and expansion of woody vegetation. However, the precise causal mechanisms behind the observed changes in atmospheric CO2 seasonality remain unclear. Here we use production statistics and a carbon accounting model to show that increases in agricultural productivity, which have been largely overlooked in previous investigations, explain as much as a quarter of the observed changes in atmospheric CO2 seasonality. Specifically, Northern Hemisphere extratropical maize, wheat, rice, and soybean production grew by 240 per cent between 1961 and 2008, thereby increasing the amount of net carbon uptake by croplands during the Northern Hemisphere growing season by 0.33 petagrams. Maize alone accounts for two-thirds of this change, owing mostly to agricultural intensification within concentrated production zones in the midwestern United States and northern China. Maize, wheat, rice, and soybeans account for about 68 per cent of extratropical dry biomass production, so it is likely that the total impact of increased agricultural production exceeds the amount quantified here.

Via Niklaus Grunwald
Eli Levine's insight:

The smoking gun.

 

But will the science deniers, clinging to some ideology or belief or self-destructive interest admit to it?

 

Leave this strain of the species behind.

 

Let them be ignored and allowed to die off, on their own.

 

I'm tired of tacitly protecting them.

 

Aren't you?

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A Sad Fate for a Sad People

Consistency, or the lack thereof, is probably one of the greatest shortcomings of American political culture and American behavior in general. Our government says do one thing while meaning something completely different. "Be a democracy, but don't choose those people we don't like", it's ridiculous! Until our leadership cadre can actually stand for something, either by acting as a dictatorial power over the world, or by acknowledging people's right to choose their leaderships and respecting those choices, we will always be at loggerheads with all sensible and relatively sane cultures and societies. We weep over the poor, the sick, the hungry, the repressed in other countries where we have no legal, moral, or practical reason to be involved, yet we ignore our people here at home whom we do have legal, moral, and practical abilities to help. We've got our international relations logic and ethic ass-backwards. Better to help your own people and then help other people when you can genuinely respect, appreciate, and accept them for who and what they are, rather than forcing them to be something or someone different.

 

The world has enough difficulty sorting through their own bullshit without us adding our often inaccurate and poorly conceived two-cents into their mix.  I'm constantly amazed by the callousness and dual-nature of the United States, the American government, and the American people at handling the world.  I think that we, as a nation, will eventually pay for our meddling and inappropriate and unwanted touching of other societies.  A sad fate, for a sad people.

 

Enjoy.

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The Infrastructure of America is Crumbling

The infrastructure of this country is crumbling.  I'm not just talking about our physical infrastructure of bridges, roads, rails, ports, airports, electricity, Internet, water and sewage, etc (although these are also in disrepair as I am writing this).  I'm also talking about our social infrastructure; the glue that binds a nation together and keeps it strong in the face of adversity.  The legitimacy of the governments is in question; rule of law is slowly eroding, partially due to the inability or unwillingness of the governing people to follow and be cognizant of the natural laws that govern societies, partially because of the poor state that the public still is in in spite of the rosy stock market prices that Obama likes to point out (which no one is invested in anyway because they're too expensive to afford for most people).  We're arguing about things that are, in my view, more or less intuitive and self evident, namely, that we need to have wages go along with profits that are realized, that we need to have police, laws, law-makers, and administrators who respect and are aware of the tangible needs and wants of the public as they evolve and shift and the condition of the environment in which we're living, that we need a government which is pro-active with its administration yet respectful enough to have a dialogue and follow what the public needs rather than what the officials believe ought to be done.  We have people in places of power, consequence, and authority who take their positions for granted, who inherited them rather than earning them, who are so warped in their abilities to work with reality that they can't even tell which way is up while the deaf, dumb, and stupid sharks of business logic eat their entire food supply in one gulp while polluting the world in which they swim and live at the same time.  We live in a world where competition is king, but competition only yields those who are good at competition; which is not the same as being the best.

 

My prognosis of the United States is an empire in decline for no reason other than the stupidity and ignorance of its public and political people.  We are losing the respect of the international community; they see our internal problems while they are subjected to our over-extended ape-like military behavior abroad.  The board of popular legitimacy will most likely be reshuffled to China, so long as they maintain a healthy awareness of the limitations of power and the dependence that all hegemons have on the well-being of the smaller societies.  The Age of America has passed and the worst part about it is, is that Americans are more likely to go into denial about this rather than fix the causes that are creating the problems.  I have outlined repeatedly concrete steps that we, as a nation and a government, can take to remedy the situation.  None of them have been picked up upon by members of the American public, as evidenced by the election results, and none of them will likely be listened to by members of the American government who can actually do something with them.  My solution, therefore, is to seek another country to help, and to cut my losses with this one.  If I can protect one people from going under and set them on the path to being a thriving cultural, economic, scientific, and diplomatic power, I will be happy.  I will be even happier if my ideas spread even further than that, to influence the very foundations of human governing and diplomatic logic and, indeed, the governing and diplomatic logic of all sentient life in the cosmos.  But, that is so far in the future, and I am only able to definitively commit the present moment to spreading the message that I've got.

 

Therefore, I am always open to help America when and if its people get their acts together, on high and down below.  I know that the demand from the bottom is there for something different.  However, I don't think it's been articulated very well on the conscious level of the public, and the society will more than likely have to experiment with some crazy ideologies and ideologues before they get it back to being better.  Welcome to a new age.

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Engineering Policy

The greatest trouble that I see for Americans (and, indeed, any human society) is to not appreciate or understand the processes and limitations that are present when making and executing policy decisions in order to achieve fantastic things.

 

Do you honestly believe that the engineers and scientists who sent humans to the moon actually just "imagined' that they could do it and did only what "felt" right?  No!  They worked their butts off to discover the natural laws and limitations that were needed in order to accomplish that objective (if it was going to be feasible anyway).  The social scientists have to work 10 times harder than the physical scientists because our subjects of study (people) are highly variable, highly influenced by the external world around them, highly influential over the external world around them, and will change behavior if they know what's going on, and may not want to be studied in the first place (which creates a selection bias).  What on Earth or any other planet makes anyone in this country think they can "feel" their way towards a solution to a problem?  What makes anyone here think and feel that all opinions are equally valid when it comes to answering complex questions, such as "how to maximize the effectiveness of an economy?" and "what constitutes an effective economy in the first place?"  There are better and worse answers to these questions; ones that are more or less effective than others. 

 

Therefore, policy makers are not really "free" to do whatever they want with the world, because there are distinct consequences to any action that they may take towards the other in the social-environmental complex.  There are distinct problems that have to be solved and a ton of unknown natural laws that have to be followed if we're going to be a society of consequence anymore.  Our position is not guaranteed; we are not entitled to greatness just because some yutzes "feel" that this should be.  It takes work.  It takes combinations of specific policies and programs that change overtime to meet the needs of a changing society and environment.  At the root of it MUST be appropriate love, care, compassion, and concern for the other.  It MUST be tampered with wisdom and awareness of natural laws and limitations.  If you think and actually feel that you can do whatever you want, whenever you want, and work in the field of making policy, you're more likely to crash and burn yourself and all those who are with you, just as the capricious and greedy dictators do and have done every single time they arise.

 

Is this what we want, America?  Is this actually how you feel?  Unwilling and unable to do the grunt work to make things actually happen, unwilling and unable to figure out what is, isn't and how things actually work, rather than how you want them to work?  I, for one, would like to think that Americans are better than that.  But if this is how you honestly feel, then there is no point in my continuing to try to help you, as a society, a people, and a country.  You can either accept the work that is needed to make things happen and acknowledge the facts and hard, unpopular truths of the world, or you can keep dreaming and run right into that mountain that's lurking in the cloud bank you're living in.  It's your "choice".  Enjoy.

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Paul Krugman: "A Country is Not a Company"

Eli Levine's insight:

You can read the whole article by clicking on the link.  Honestly, the idea of a business is to collect as much wealth as is humanly possible.  A government's job is to make sure that that wealth gets distributed across the population in such a way that markets, innovation, and incentive still exist. 

 

Industry is something that has to be somehow protected (or, at the very least, not proactively shipped overseas by government policy).  Wages are what produces consumers, who then fuel employment of people, who then compose more consumers, etc. 

 

Eventually, the markets will hit growth apexes and cease to grow at the marginal rate unless technological changes and innovation happens.  You can only have so many goods and services before you run out of space, time, and ability to enjoy it (not to mention the large amount of waste that gets produced by such systems, which then has to be dealt with somehow).

 

We've seen what happens when business people make economic policy.  We see them get fantastically wealthy while the rest of us get drained of jobs and wealth.  What is the point to listening to these people with non-skeptical ears and great efforts to verify their claims (since, after all, they have a tremendous incentive to lie and ignore social, ecological, health, and well-being questions for the sake of their personal gain)?  What is the point of consulting with the anti-social gurus of business when there is plenty of logic, history, and data to support the progressives' claim that a social economy with reasoned government intervention, policy, and enforcement, is actually a good thing for the general public and the well-being of society as a whole?  The business people will likely consume themselves when given the chance to do so, and the politicians and the people will each and all pay for the environmental and social damage that is done for the sake of the business person's personal financial profit.  That's what Marx called those few centuries ago.  That's the fault in the Capitalist system if it does not adopt a social logic and submit to natural law and public oversight through evidence-based government policy.

 

That's the way things work in this universe and amongst this species.  Like it or lump it, it doesn't matter how you feel about these things.  The effects will be had.  Sooner or later, something's going to give in the system, and the whole thing is going to cave in on itself.

 

Silly people.

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Happier workers, higher profits? | National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Happier workers, higher profits? | National Institute of Economic and Social Research | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it
Citizens' wellbeing is rising to the top of the political agenda in Britain.  Just yesterday the government and its partners announced a What Works Centre for Wellbeing which initially has over £3.5 million over three years to investigate the d

Via britishroses
Eli Levine's insight:

Not too light that the work becomes unproductive, yet not too hard that it takes away from productivity. Pay decent wages with profits, even for low skilled employment, and don't sweat the short term profits so much. That's sanity and sustainability. Anything else is abuse or unsustainable. 

 

Enjoy. 

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The Great Connection

The Great Connection | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it

I hypothesize that a first step to understanding how a government is working with its society is to map it out as a network relative to society. The object is to know how a government is directly and indirectly affecting a society in its present condition. From there, you can do research on how the government is affecting the parts of society it is reaching, which parts of society it is not reaching, and how it is not reaching those parts. From there, you can run computer experiments to see whether there is anything a government can do to change its structure, content, and/or behavior relative to a society and environment, thus enabling the search for optimal positions and policies that the government can take. If you can evaluate and track indicators within a society, you can effectively work to discover the society's "vital" measures, know how those are impacted by government, the environment, or the society's agents themselves.

It should be noted that economic indicators are lumped into the social indicators automatically and are considered a measure of the society's vitality, potential, sustainability, and survivability. Economies are networks as well and can be integrated into the larger social network graph as a "layer" that can be added to the overall graph. This can hypothetically be an integrated "overview" layer of the social world, kind of like how we can map out the networks of police, fire protection, healthcare, sewage, electricity, Internet, education, water, food, finance, taxation, goods, and service coverage that exists within and composes a society and it's economy independent of each other, with other parts, or all together, to get a comprehensive view of the social organism and the governmental organ relative and within the social organism.

In the end, it's all networks, overlapping, connecting, binding, flexing, and adapting to changing environmental, geological, geographical, political, social, and economic factors. The first step is to map it all out. The next step is to learn how parts affect other parts. The final step is to understand how to make those key decisions and choices within these networks such that you do the least amount of actual harm while doing the most amount of actual good. Reality is the judge; no human has that ability. The policies and actions will either work, not work, or work differently than was anticipated. Once we figure out how to map these networks and interconnected "small world" networks, we can begin to make more informed choices from government with regards to the policies we pursue, the laws and programs we draft to accomplish these policy aims, and how we enact and execute the laws and programs to maximize utility for the SOCIETY, which in turn, maximizes utility for the government and its members.

You want to govern forever?

I know that that is generally feasible, provided you've got a good heart, a good brain, a Hell of a sense of self interest, a genuine empathetic sense towards others' feelings and needs, the ability to admit mistakes and make real changes within yourself and within organizations' policies and procedures, and to communicate effectively with the lay public, such that you listen for what they need, and they actually comprehend what you're doing, why you're doing it to get those needs satisfied.

This is a BASIC model of how to develop and operate a government based on my comprehension of things as of 10/28/2014 CE. It is what will, I think, most likely stand the test of time in principle, if not entirely in practice throughout the changing conditions of humanity, its environment, and the universe as a whole.  It will need to first, be accepted by the individual societies of the world before it can worked into the individual societies and cultures according to their own networked organizations and own processes of operating the network.  This is not a one-size fits all solution by any stretch of the imagination.  It is just a hypothesis for how to begin producing a government that operates in line with natural laws rather than on only the beliefs, sentiments, biases, opinions, and ignorance of individual human beings.  Its aim is to honestly help the public in a self-interested fashion, from the perspective of the policy-maker and for the public that is served by the given government. 

 

Map first.  Study second.  Experiment third.  Execute fourth.  Hold off all changes and experiments in practice until the first three stages are completed first.

 

May this benefit all living beings, on Earth, and beyond, from now, until the end of time, and beyond.

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Ideas, Experts and Data

Ideas, Experts and Data | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it
Here are some observations and insights that were shared on social media this past fortnight. I call these Friday’s Finds.

“We don’t see something until we have the right metaphor to let us perceive it.” – Thomas Kuhn – via @tobiasmeyer

“Humans require the difficult and messy social routing protocol of trust.” – Valdis Krebs @orgnet – via @voinonen

“What if sucessful projects having a plan is just survivior bias?” – @drunkcod

Half-baked ideas – by @kmpinner #PKMastery

Via Edumorfosis, june holley, Liz Rykert
Eli Levine's insight:

Way cool network science.

 

This is a way of modeling and making sense of our world, even if it's not a perfectly accurate way of constructing our social and environmental worlds.  Now, to put these techniques into practice and study, to see if we can govern and manage our world more effectively with this metaphor.

 

Enjoy!

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june holley's curator insight, October 23, 8:04 AM

Love these visuals!

Zenergy Unlimited's curator insight, October 24, 6:01 PM

Which one are you?  Superconnector, Team Player, Gatekeeper, or???

Liz Rykert's curator insight, October 25, 9:19 PM

Great visuals as June Holley noted - it makes me think about all the people in a network and ideas for how to shift things even slightly to get a much more generative network going.