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Rescooped by Eli Levine from Complex systems and projects
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How can governments deal with complexity? The kryptonite of strategic thinking

How can governments deal with complexity?  The kryptonite of strategic thinking | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it

The more complex a problem, the more difficult it is to come up with a long-term plan, Insead professor Yves Doz says. 

"We are looking at the way in which national governments can become more integrated, can become more strategic, can take a longer-term perspective, [rather] than just be hostage to the political agendas and the political time frames, and that is obviously quite challenging.

We have been finding two or three interesting things."


Via Philippe Vallat
Eli Levine's insight:

Four words: brain implants and computers.

 

We need to learn about the social, economic and environmental physics and how our individual, organizational and collective actions impact everyone and everthing else on this planet.  Then we can develop increasingly accurate models for mapping out what is the optimal state or what is the optimal path to get to that optimal state and then let the programs run their course.

 

Most likely we won't get to that point, owing to one potential calamity or another that could ruin the research.  However, the technology is advancing and the perspective of the universe is being reached.  No more can we afford to live in a world of our own brain's creation.  It's time to embrace the reality that is us and around us for what it is and accept it/work with it as such.  For our own sakes, as much as for everyone elses' sake.

 

Think about it.

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Philippe Vallat's curator insight, May 13, 11:05 AM

Worth reading. I like especially:

"We should be aware that beyond a certain point, the complexity is going to defeat attempts at being rational."

Rescooped by Eli Levine from Complexity - Complex Systems Theory
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Flow, Conflux | Smart Cities

Flow, Conflux | Smart Cities | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it

“The city is not only a community, it is a conflux. ….The real city, as a center of industry, is a conflux of streams of traffic; as a center of culture, it is conflux of streams of thought.” So wrote Benton MacKaye in 1928 in his book The New Exploration: A Philosophy of Regional Planning. When I sent a copy of my own recent book The New Science of Cities to my erstwhile colleague and old friend Lionel March, he quickly scowered it and said: “I see in your Preamble that you cite Castells’ ‘space of flows’ and that your approach makes much of flows and networks. I immediately turned to your bibliography to search for the name Benton MacKaye. It is not there! The author of The New Exploration (1928) is my hero of metropolitan/regional development. I’m sure you know of him”.


Via Bernard Ryefield
Eli Levine's insight:

Location, location, location.

 

The natural geography has to fit with the demands of the population and the society.  It's not something that someone on high chooses, but rather one where things grow up naturally according to the relative advantages and disadvantages of the area.  Then you build and with building in these geographically advantageous (or, sometimes, just convenient) areas you reinforce their advantages as centers of commerce, trade and "flows" as Batty would put it.

 

It makes sense to have it be on the regional, national and/or international scale, such that we, as humans, take advantage of the most strategic places and the most strategic resources that are available.  With this comes the flourishing of new life, happiness and possible/hopefully sustainable prosperity for the present and for the future well being of our civilizations.

 

The climate is changing and that's going to force a lot of changes on our part.  If we can survive the environmental tumult, and the economic and social tumult that it is going to cause, we could potentially, get off on a better footing than before, in spite of the losses which we incur as a result of the present silliness of our political, social and economic "leadership".

 

Good stuff!

 

Think about it.

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Rescooped by Eli Levine from Philosophy and Complexity
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Common scaling laws for city highway systems and the mammalian neocortex - Changizi - 2009 - Complexity - Wiley Online Library

Common scaling laws for city highway systems and the mammalian neocortex - Changizi - 2009 - Complexity - Wiley Online Library | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it

Changizi, M. A. and Destefano, M. (2010), Common scaling laws for city highway systems and the mammalian neocortex. Complexity, 15: 11–18. doi: 10.1002/cplx.20288


Via Bernard Ryefield, John Symons
Eli Levine's insight:

Could you imagine if we're able to mimic our social/constructed systems upon our natural/organic systems?  Imagine if we could discover the natural laws that shape our world and then make our world be in conformity with these natural, discovered laws (as opposed to our abstracted, imaginatively created laws.

 

Think about it!

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Rescooped by Eli Levine from Complex systems and projects
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The Downsides of Avoiding Complexity

The Downsides of Avoiding Complexity | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it
By embracing the complexity of today’s intricate systems that knit together the programmatic audience buying landscape, we arm ourselves with more tools.

Via Philippe Vallat
Eli Levine's insight:

You gotta take the whole that is present, and make intutive sense of it in order to make anything valuable out of "big data".

 

The human brain can only process so much information.  Most likely we will have to use computers to translate the big data into the relevant chunks that we need in order to understand a given situation and to then make choices based on those decisions relative to all sorts of policy and programatic situations, in business and in society.

 

You can't simplify things and just take things at face value anymore.  It didn't really work then, and it certainly should not be used now that we ought to know better.

 

It's amazing to me how human beings fail to register these things!

 

Think about it.

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Philippe Vallat's curator insight, April 24, 9:57 AM

I like that one: "The course of history has shown that irrationality is one of our specialties, which means there’s no one better than a human to think like a human."

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Project Management Strategies for Complex Projects: Case Study Report

Project Management Strategies for Complex Projects: Case Study Report | It Comes Undone-Think About It | Scoop.it
TRB’s second Strategic Highway Research Program (SHRP 2) Renewal Project R10 has released a non-edited version of a report titled Project Management Strategies for Complex Projects: Case Study Report that describes fifteen U.S.

Via Christophe Bredillet, Philippe Vallat
Eli Levine's insight:

It's a lengthy read.

 

But this is the wave of the future.

 

Back to biology!

 

Think about it.

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Christophe Bredillet's curator insight, April 6, 5:30 PM

Worthwhile reading the 3 reports.