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China Commentary
Tracking Military, Geopolitical & Strategic trends to determine China's impact Regionally Globally and Domestically
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Why China Is Finally Abandoning Its One Child Policy

Why China Is Finally Abandoning Its One Child Policy | China Commentary | Scoop.it
One of the first announcements by the new administration taking charge in China this month may lead to the phasing out of the one child policy, which has been in effect since 1979.

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Update: This article was modified to reflect that China’s one child policy has not been officially ended, although some say a phase out may be imminent.

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One of the first announcements by the new administration taking charge in China this month may lead to the phasing out of the one child policy, which has been in effect since 1979. The end of this most repulsive of social policies would be good news for human rights in China, but the proposal seems to be motivated not on humanitarian grounds, but rather, because the policy has saddled China with unintended consequences that will weigh heavily on that nation for decades.

DOSID's insight:

China’s future is still bright, but the newly installed government faces some huge problems that will not be remedied with a centralized, command and control form of government. The main question will be, how tumultuous will things have to get before the leadership decentralizes the decision making process and liberates the political process.

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China's biggest problem? Too many men

China's biggest problem? Too many men | China Commentary | Scoop.it

Editor's note: Rob Brooks is Professor of Evolution and Director of the Evolution & Ecology Research Centre at the University of New South Wales in Sydney, Australia. He studies the evolution of sexual behavior in humans and other animals. His first book, Sex, Genes & Rock 'n' Roll: How Evolution has Shaped the Modern World recently won the Queensland Literary Award for Science Writing.

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In the mid-19th Century, two devastating floods of the Yellow River, and the famine that followed, ravaged northeastern China.

 

Outlaw bands, known as nien, attracted young men in unprecedented numbers, aggregating into militias that wrought chaos on the troops and infrastructure of the ruling Qing. Although this Nien Rebellion and the larger Taiping rebellion in the South were eventually crushed, they devastated the Chinese economy and contributed to the ending of the Qing dynasty.

 

According to political scientists Valerie Hudson and Andrea den Boer, widespread female infanticide during the famine meant that as many as one quarter of young men in the region were "bare branches" -- as the Chinese expression goes -- unlikely ever to bear fruit. The Nien rebellion, they argued, was propelled by these surplus young men who had so few other prospects.


This story of the Nien Rebellion foreshadows one of the biggest issues that China will face in coming decades: the dramatic excess of young men.


A long history of son preference, particularly among the Han majority, has led to female infanticide and the neglect of daughters in some parts of China. But in recent decades, the spread of cheap ultrasound (enabling sex-determination in early-mid pregnancy) and easy access to abortion courtesy of the government's one-child policy, has led to the widespread abortion of female fetuses.

 

As a result, approximately 30 million more men than women will reach adulthood and enter China's mating market by 2020.



DOSID's insight:

Read: Could China's one-child policy change?

 

http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2012/07/09/could-chinas-one-child-policy-change/?iref=allsearch

 

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Those millions of disaffected young men will not only present a danger to themselves, but those living alongside them. And, as Hudson and den Boer have been arguing for some time, the bare branches will also make perfect fodder for political agitation, fundamentalism and possibly terrorism.

 

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