Chaos and Uncertainty
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Chaos and Uncertainty
News, tips and tools to help you cope with the future
Curated by Zan Chandler
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If the world lived in a single city

If the world lived in a single city | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
Zan Chandler's insight:

Fascinating to view the world's population (estimated at just under 7 billion people) based on urban densities similar to several of the world's cities. I had no idea that Paris was so much more densely packed than my hometown, London.

 

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Texting Isn't Writing, It's Fingered Speech, John McWhorter @TED2013.

Texting Isn't Writing, It's Fingered Speech, John McWhorter @TED2013. | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
All the handwringing by 7th-grade English teachers and parents over the tens of millions of grammatically challenged texts sent every day misses the point of what texting is: it's speech.
Zan Chandler's insight:

This reminds of how much I loved studying linguistics.

 

“It’s easy to think it represents some sort of decline,” McWhorter says. “We think something has gone wrong, but what is going on is a kind of emergent complexity.”

 

So ha! to all of you who've been complaining about the decline of written language, apparently folks have been whinging about it since the Roman empire.

 

Languages change. They become no better, no worse. They change to support the needs of the time.

 

 

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How 'Minority Report' Trapped Us In A World Of Bad Interfaces

How 'Minority Report' Trapped Us In A World Of Bad Interfaces | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it

"Human hands and fingers are good at feeling texture and detail, and good at gripping things—neither of which touch interfaces take advantage of."

Zan Chandler's insight:

In the case of computers, the movies have envisioned the future in a way that looks good for the camera but doesn't really take advantage of the natural use of our limbs.

 

The author goes on to say "The real future of interfaces will take advantage of our natural abilities to tell the difference between textures, to use our hands to do things without looking at them—they’ll involve haptic feedback and interfaces that don’t even exist, so your phone shows you information you might want without you even needing to unlock and interact with it. But these ideas are elegant, understated, and impossible to understand when shown on camera."

 

 

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Trends & Technologies for the World in 2020 | What's Next: Top Trends

Trends & Technologies for the World in 2020 | What's Next: Top Trends | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
Zan Chandler's insight:

I love that these trends have been presented in the form of the periodic table.

 

While many traditional foresight projects use the STEEP categories (society, technology, environment, economy and politics) this trend round-up has also added employment, population and identity.

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Andy Hines at TEDxHouston 2012 RESONATE

Andy Hines had us at hello. Hello future that is. Andy's career has lead to him helping organizations integrate future thinking into their business processes...
Zan Chandler's insight:

Futurist Andy Hines laments that most people don't like thinking about the future, because it involves change. And most people are really comfortable with change.

 

Andy's TEDtalk will give you and idea of what foresight or futures work is and why it's useful.

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How to Unlock Your Creativity with Visual Thinking | Lateral Action

How to Unlock Your Creativity with Visual Thinking | Lateral Action | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
Zan Chandler's insight:

Some useful resources to help you deal with chaoe and uncertainty. Thinking visually can help you to figure out how to generate and evaluate ideas, get the the root of a problem, explore possible future scenarios and take action.

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Peer Power: Q&A with venture capitalist, Chris Fralic | JWT Intelligence

Zan Chandler's insight:

The power of peer-to-peer is becoming visible in additional areas and industries:

- taking advantage of unoccupied apartments, spare rooms

- limos sitting idle between bookings

- extra seets on private jets

- lending and borrowing

- outsourcing task you can't or don't want to do

- last minute hotel rooms

 

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Sight

A short futuristic film by Eran May-raz and Daniel Lazo. This is our graduation project from Bezaleal academy of arts. Please share if you enjoyed it! Contact:…
Zan Chandler's insight:

Design Fictions - This brings my interests in film and futures together.

 

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Futures Thinking: The Basics

Futures Thinking: The Basics | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it

"Futurism as it's practiced today doesn't try to predict the future, but rather to illuminate unexpected implications of present-day issues; the emphasis isn't on what will happen, but on what could happen, given various observed drivers. It's a way of getting new perspectives and context for present-day decisions, as well as for dealing with the dilemma at the heart of all strategic thinking: the future can't be predicted, yet we have to make choices based on what is to come."

Zan Chandler's insight:

While this is an old article, it's a good one for providing an overview of futures thinking or foresight.

 

Nuggets from the post:

-Futures thinking is perhaps better understood as an immune system for our civilization. By examining and testing different possible outcomes--potential threats, emerging ideas, exciting opportunities--we strengthen our collective capacity to deal with what really does transpire.

- Focusing only the challenges of the present may seem imperative, especially when those challenges are massive and frightening. But without a sense of what's next, a capacity for understanding connections and horizons, and a vision of what kind of world we want, our efforts to deal with today's problems will inevitably leave us weakened, vulnerable, and blind to challenges to come.

- Most futures projects, whether informal or professional, follow a similar pattern: Asking the Question; Scanning the World; Mapping the Possibilities; and Asking the Next Question.

 

 

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Brian David Johnson: Intel's Guide to the Future - Forbes

Brian David Johnson: Intel's Guide to the Future - Forbes | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
Brian David Johnson, Intel's resident futurist, discusses forecasting the future, getting ordinary people involved in building a better future, and how to remember the humans when machines talk to each other.

Via siobhan-o-flynn
Zan Chandler's insight:

A great insight into how futurists and foresighters can apply their skills and experience.

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siobhan-o-flynn's curator insight, January 26, 2013 7:14 AM

by Alex Knapp 10/13/2011:

 

"I was fascinated by the process, but given that Johnson has been at Intel for 10 years, I had to ask: has he ever been surprised by a trend?

 

“Yes,” he says. “This is embarrassing, but I’ll share it anyway. Back in 2004-2005, we were working on futurecasting for 2015. Not that long ago, right? But we were sure that the future of entertainment was going to be all about demand. On-demand movies. But when our researchers came back, we found that the number one thing that people wanted was access to the Internet. Because it afforded them more personalization and more than just on-demand. Basically, people were telling us, ‘It’s the Internet, stupid.

 

For us, this had huge implications. We realized we needed to work towards a computational platform that meaningfully combines TV with the personalization and choice of the Internet. That’s much more complicated than on-demand.”..."

Dr. Pamela Rutledge's curator insight, January 26, 2013 1:14 PM

Adaptive leadership recognizes that we're a complex system and that means, as Johnson says, that everyone needs to be involved.

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Despite Media Companies’ Best Efforts, ‘TV Everywhere’ Is Nowhere

Despite Media Companies’ Best Efforts, ‘TV Everywhere’ Is Nowhere | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it

People are streaming online video more than ever before but only 17% of pay TV subscribers have watched cable programming online using so-called “TV Everywhere” services, according to a new study. The study, from research firm GfK Media, is the latest bad news for big media companies’ TV Everywhere initiative, which is aimed at reinforcing the value of traditional cable subscriptions. But since its launch four years ago, the effort has been plagued by delays in launch as a result of difficult rights negotiations between various entertainment companies and pay TV operators – cable, satellite and phone companies.


Via Peter Rosenberg
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Peter Rosenberg's curator insight, January 22, 2013 1:07 PM

A key point from the article:  "...One of the main issues that has been separating entertainment companies and pay TV providers is the question of which will deal directly with consumers, traditionally the province of providers. While providers like Comcast have made a big push to make content available online through their own website or apps – in Comcast’s case, Xfinity — channels like ESPN, Time Warner’s HBO and CNN have their own individual apps and websites with TV programming content. Those give consumers a direct relationship with channels they haven’t traditionally had."

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Woody Wade Interview - FERN

Woody Wade Interview - FERN | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
Wiki for the Foresight Education and Research Network.
Zan Chandler's insight:

An interview with Woody Wade about his book on scenario planning - Scenario Planning: A Frield Guide for the Future.

 


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IBM: The Smartphone Of The Future Will Hear, See, Smell, Taste & Feel | Cult of Android

IBM: The Smartphone Of The Future Will Hear, See, Smell, Taste & Feel | Cult of Android | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it

Via Gary Hayes
Zan Chandler's insight:

This goes far beyond the idea of Star Trek's Tricorder. Very interesting potential future uses of smartphones.

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Jeni Mawter's curator insight, December 18, 2012 10:41 PM

Writers of stories for children and young adults will need to include hearing, smell, taste and touch in their narratives. 

Mattia Nicoletti's curator insight, December 19, 2012 11:04 PM

This prediction could have a strong impact on storytelling.

Roger Gorman's curator insight, December 28, 2012 8:39 AM

5 interesting predictions here. Although a more profound question is what is the potentual when you merge ALL 5 senses in a mobile phone application?? ("The whole is more than the sum of its parts").

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How Search Works - The Story – Inside Search – Google

How Search Works - The Story – Inside Search – Google | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
Zan Chandler's insight:

Great overview of how google's search actually works.

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The 12 Trends That Will Rule Products In 2013

The 12 Trends That Will Rule Products In 2013 | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
Near the end of 2012, a group of us at Ziba got together to review what we’d learned over the course of the year.
Zan Chandler's insight:

Short-term consumer trends to consider.

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The Virtues of Confusion

The Virtues of Confusion | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
Three ways that researchers have deliberately induced confusion, and how you can adapt them to your own learning.
Zan Chandler's insight:

Let chaos, confusion and uncertainty by your friends.

 

"It's better to allow that confused, confounded feeling to last a little longer—for two reasons. First, not knowing the single correct way to resolve a problem allows us to explore a wide variety of potential explanations, thereby giving us a deeper and broader sense of the issues involved. Second, the feeling of being confused, of not knowing what's up, creates a powerful drive to figure it out. We're motivated to look more deeply, search more vigorously for a solution, and in so doing we see and understand things we would not have, had we simply been handed the answer at the outset."

 

- See more at: http://www.creativitypost.com/psychology/the_virtues_of_confusion#sthash.4Mr5kIxr.dpuf

 

It's better to allow that confused, confounded feeling to last a little longer—for two reasons. First, not knowing the single correct way to resolve a problem allows us to explore a wide variety of potential explanations, thereby giving us a deeper and broader sense of the issues involved. Second, the feeling of being confused, of not knowing what's up, creates a powerful drive to figure it out. We're motivated to look more deeply, search more vigorously for a solution, and in so doing we see and understand things we would not have, had we simply been handed the answer at the outset. - See more at: http://www.creativitypost.com/psychology/the_virtues_of_confusion#sthash.4Mr5kIxr.dpufIt's better to allow that confused, confounded feeling to last a little longer—for two reasons. First, not knowing the single correct way to resolve a problem allows us to explore a wide variety of potential explanations, thereby giving us a deeper and broader sense of the issues involved. Second, the feeling of being confused, of not knowing what's up, creates a powerful drive to figure it out. We're motivated to look more deeply, search more vigorously for a solution, and in so doing we see and understand things we would not have, had we simply been handed the answer at the outset. - See more at: http://www.creativitypost.com/psychology/the_virtues_of_confusion#sthash.4Mr5kIxr.dpufIt's better to allow that confused, confounded feeling to last a little longer—for two reasons. First, not knowing the single correct way to resolve a problem allows us to explore a wide variety of potential explanations, thereby giving us a deeper and broader sense of the issues involved. Second, the feeling of being confused, of not knowing what's up, creates a powerful drive to figure it out. We're motivated to look more deeply, search more vigorously for a solution, and in so doing we see and understand things we would not have, had we simply been handed the answer at the outset. - See more at: http://www.creativitypost.com/psychology/the_virtues_of_confusion#sthash.4Mr5kIxr.dpufIt's better to allow that confused, confounded feeling to last a little longer—for two reasons. First, not knowing the single correct way to resolve a problem allows us to explore a wide variety of potential explanations, thereby giving us a deeper and broader sense of the issues involved. Second, the feeling of being confused, of not knowing what's up, creates a powerful drive to figure it out. We're motivated to look more deeply, search more vigorously for a solution, and in so doing we see and understand things we would not have, had we simply been handed the answer at the outset. - See more at: http://www.creativitypost.com/psychology/the_virtues_of_confusion#sthash.4Mr5kIxr.dpufIt's better to allow that confused, confounded feeling to last a little longer—for two reasons. First, not knowing the single correct way to resolve a problem allows us to explore a wide variety of potential explanations, thereby giving us a deeper and broader sense of the issues involved. Second, the feeling of being confused, of not knowing what's up, creates a powerful drive to figure it out. We're motivated to look more deeply, search more vigorously for a solution, and in so doing we see and understand things we would not have, had we simply been handed the answer at the outset. - See more at: http://www.creativitypost.com/psychology/the_virtues_of_confusion#sthash.4Mr5kIxr.dpuft's better to allow that confused, confounded feeling to last a little longer—for two reasons. First, not knowing the single correct way to resolve a problem allows us to explore a wide variety of potential explanations, thereby giving us a deeper and broader sense of the issues involved. Second, the feeling of being confused, of not knowing what's up, creates a powerful drive to figure it out. We're motivated to look more deeply, search more vigorously for a solution, and in so doing we see and understand things we would not have, had we simply been handed the answer at the outset. - See more at: http://www.creativitypost.com/psychology/the_virtues_of_confusion#sthash.4Mr5kIxr.dpuft's better to allow that confused, confounded feeling to last a little longer—for two reasons. First, not knowing the single correct way to resolve a problem allows us to explore a wide variety of potential explanations, thereby giving us a deeper and broader sense of the issues involved. Second, the feeling of being confused, of not knowing what's up, creates a powerful drive to figure it out. We're motivated to look more deeply, search more vigorously for a solution, and in so doing we see and understand things we would not have, had we simply been handed the answer at the outset. - See more at: http://www.creativitypost.com/psychology/the_virtues_of_confusion#sthash.4Mr5kIxr.dpuf";

Via Cameron Norman of CENSE Research + Design.

 

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Exploring and envisioning the future: Nik Baerten at TEDxUHasselt

"In this talk, future explorer Nik Baerten explains the value of stories and images of the future as tools and playgrounds for worldbuilding."

Zan Chandler's insight:

Futurist Nik Baerten talks about the importance of imagining the future from a diversity of perspectives. If you are interested in tangible futures, check this TEDtalk out.

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cognitive biases in futurist thinking

cognitive biases in futurist thinking | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
Futurist should be aware of cognitive biases that may distort our thinking. Authors Dan Gardner and Taleb describe the biases that futurists are prone to.
Zan Chandler's insight:

Add to these all the biases we have accumulated based on gender, religion, height, skin colour, weight, nationality, education, pastimes we enjoy and don't enjoy, sports we've played and avoided, food allergies, astrological sign we adhere to or don't, proclivity toward broccoli or brussel sprouts etc, etc.

 

Everything shapes the way we see the world. The clearer we are on this is better. We can't eliminate it but we can try to be conscious of its effects on our thinking.

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A Matter of Life and Death

A Matter of Life and Death | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it

"Why would the whole of the Universe be a complex, self-organising and interdependent system, and a business be a top-down, controlled machine?  Why would the entire Universe be subject to the laws of Nature, and business, not?"

Zan Chandler's insight:

Quantum Shifting is one of my favourite blogs about systems thinking. John has a great way of describing the system dynamics at play within organizational settings.

 

 

 

 

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Fab GOUX-BAUDIMENT's curator insight, March 15, 2013 6:14 AM

THAT is an interesting question! I have no answer, except maybe that business is following the rules of Economics instead of Mother Nature? ;-)

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Peer-to-peer lending platforms look to rival traditional banks - FT.com

Peer-to-peer lending platforms look to rival traditional banks - FT.com | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
"How well P2P companies are able to attract and manage the growing interest of financial advisers and institutional investors will be crucial for the nascent P2P industry, as it seeks to grow big enough to rival the traditional banks." 

 

Zan Chandler's insight:

No longer just a weak signal of change, the peer-to-peer model is making in-roads in to the financial services industry by promising lenders attractive rates of return and borrows lower rates than traditional banks. This P2P model looks to match lenders and borrows directly.

 

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/28247fe4-6597-11e2-a17b-00144feab49a.html#ixzz2JlAXOpnx

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How Can Futures Thinking Amplify Design Thinking? - Core77

How Can Futures Thinking Amplify Design Thinking? - Core77 | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it

"The business world has been quick to try and implement design thinking in hopes of stimulating sweeping organization change and innovation, only to abandon it and return to old practices when it doesn't "work." Is design thinking nothing more than a poorly defined gimmick, or are people just missing the big picture?"

Zan Chandler's insight:

"Perhaps a part of the problem is that design thinking is more than just a set of tactics to be carried out, but rather a new ecology of mind...Though there are many methods that can help develop this skill, I'd like to discuss an approach that may be unfamiliar to some: Futures Thinking.

 

Futurist Jamais Cascio described the future thinking process as: Asking the Question, Scanning the World, Mapping the Possibilities, and Asking the Next Question. It's an iterative process which helps you consider a range of possible, probable, and preferable outcomes. It's not predicting the future, but rather taking a structured approach to understanding the potential impacts of today's decisions and actions.

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THE STATE OF THE INTERNET [SLIDE DECK]

THE STATE OF THE INTERNET [SLIDE DECK] | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
The future is mobile.
Zan Chandler's insight:

This overview of the "State of the Internet" is a good resource for understanding the current operating environment and highlighting signals of change.

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How TV Could Be Transformed In 2013

How TV Could Be Transformed In 2013 | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
Tim Cook's interview frenzy last week stirred up a whole bundle of fun for future TV watchers.
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A Tiny, Fold-up Electric Car Will Hit Streets This Year

A Tiny, Fold-up Electric Car Will Hit Streets This Year | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
A Tiny, Fold-up Electric Car Will Hit Streets This Year
Zan Chandler's insight:

If three Hiriko Fold electric cars can fit in on standard parking spot, is this a signal that we are swinging back toward individualized transportation (versus public) or more toward less reliance on fossil fueled vehicles? Or both? Or neither?

 

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Tomorrow’s world: A guide to the next 150 years

Tomorrow’s world: A guide to the next 150 years | Chaos and Uncertainty | Scoop.it
Explore our graphical guide to the advances of the future, from 2013 to 2150.
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