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Cloud IT is expected to change dramatically by 2020. Market growth for cloud computing is projected to be $150 billion by 2020 as it becomes central to IT infrastructure. Increased demand will bring about new developments and cheaper products, while currently lagging technologies will find their way to market. By 2020 there will be new generations of decision makers who understand the full scope of cloud-based tools. Adapting will be intuitive to them.
1. Software and hardware changes
Cloud computing will ultimately render computing itself as “invisible.” Software will go through so many filters before it interacts with the hardware, it will be working in thebackground as computing processes take place.
2. Modular software
Individual software applications will become more complex because of the variation of scale. The software development process will place an emphasis on modular software — as in, large applications with components that can be modified without shutting down the program. Because clouds will interact with other clouds, different parts of applications will “float around” in and out of service providers. The challenge will be to provide reliable service agreements that can be met.
3. Social software
Along with the modular shift, software could take on traits currently found in social-media. The infrastructure and software of a data center will adapt to the task required. Developers will no longer need to worry about supplying storage, a server and a switch — it will all happen automatically.
4. Commodity hardware rules
By 2020 low-cost hardware will be the norm and servers and storage devices will look like replaceable parts. This form of commoditized infrastructure will be widely adopted by large businesses that operate giant data centers.
5. Low-power processors and cheaper clouds
Once low-power ARM chips come to market with a 64-bit capability, things will really accelerate and companies will be able to cut their electricity bills significantly. By 2020 it’s likely that low-power chips will be everywhere. ARM adoption is going to start in storage equipment, then broaden to servers.
6. Faster interconnects
The dual needs of widely distributed applications and a rise in the core count of high-end processors will converge to bring mega-fast interconnects into data centers. Information will be passed around data centers at a greater rate than before, and at a lower cost, letting companies create larger applications that circulate more data through their hardware.
7. Data centers as ecosystems
The dual technologies of abstracted software and commoditized hardware should combine to make data centers function much more like ecosystems, with an encompassing system directing equipment via software, with hardware controlled from a single point, but growing and shrinking according to workloads.
8. Merging of clouds
Because the Internet likes scalability, there will most likely be consolidation in the cloud IT provider market. There will be more diversity; more clouds suited to a specific purpose.
9. The new generation
With the next generation of CIOs coming into leadership roles by 2020, there will be an expectation that things are available “as-a-service”. This new generation may lead to a shake-up in how businesses bill themselves for IT.
10. Clouds in layers
Today there are cloud services in three categories: infrastructure-as-a-service, platform-as-a-service or software-as-a-service. By 2020 more specialized clouds will be part of the mix. Along with services such as storage and compute, there will also be a broad ecosystem of more specific cloud providers, allowing companies to shift workloads to the cloud.
New York Times (blog) A Closer Look Inside IBM's Cloud Challenge New York Times (blog) IBM is the largest supplier of technology to corporate data centers, but the growth of Sean Gallup/Getty ImagesIBM is the largest supplier of technology to...
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