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The four types of incertitude – Tom Vladeck

The four types of incertitude – Tom Vladeck | Business Coaching | Scoop.it

This post was inspired by a recent tweet:

With uncertainty the underlying distribution of outcomes is undefined; with risk we know the distribution. http://t.co/rnUtv32YOg

— Tren Griffin (@trengriffin) March 30, 2014


Via Philippe Vallat
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:

Good point... look at the quadrates of outcome/probability and certitude/incertitude...:-))) that is it...

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Philippe Vallat's curator insight, April 7, 2014 8:24 AM

About risk - uncertainty - ambiguity - ignorance

Business Coaching
Professional coaching is a thought provoking & creative process inspiring clients to maximize their personal & professional potential
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GENERATION CHANGE

GENERATION CHANGE | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
The only Asia-focused English-language publication that brings you insights about business, finance, economic and political news, comments and analysis for Asia, by Asia on asia.nikkei.com
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Lots of insights how the Asian millenials (who are in majority in the this bracket of the world population) see and will contribute to the change in the world (of business, entertainment, everything)... very interesting...
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Why You Should Hire People With 'Slash Careers'

Why You Should Hire People With 'Slash Careers' | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
The next time you’re interviewing a candidate with pursuits outside of work, don’t write them off. You just might be interviewing your next rock star.
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Interesting new trend: it's not a problem, even it might be an advantage for the "day-job" as well if somebody - beside his basic day-job - is interested in another activity, profit-making or not, hobby, passion - especially if we are speaking about millenials...
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Are You a New Manager? Four Conversations You’ll Need to Master

Are You a New Manager? Four Conversations You’ll Need to Master | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
I invited several top leaders, authors, and bloggers to share their wisdom with Leadership Freak readers. Thanks to Scott Blanchard for contributing this insightful post on four conversations new managers need to master.
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Good basic points... and what if he doesn't only answering these question but, say, after the first some months he would ask those reporting to him/her to answer the same question about his/her performance...
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11 ways unsuccessful people mismanage their time

11 ways unsuccessful people mismanage their time | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
If you don't have time for fun, you're doing it wrong.
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Hmmm... one (at least me...) always can do (much-much long) way better...:-))) some advises...
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15 Ways to Create Effective PowerPoint Presentations

15 Ways to Create Effective PowerPoint Presentations | Business Coaching | Scoop.it

Want your next Powerpoint presentation look like it was constructed and delivered by a pro? Here are 15 ways to create effective PowerPoint presentations.


Via Daniel Watson
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
It could help: reiterate and go back to the basics... good summary...
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MIASHA's curator insight, July 6, 6:42 AM

 Strategic ways of Choosing  Car Insurance Company 

 

Planning 

 

To become the most efficient human being on earth one has to plan  his  or her own things through research  ,for example if you want to visit the Unite Kingdom,you have to start by  familiarise yourself with all the path and have a look at the current weather prediction. Program the path and measure the difficulties you could encounter.  You have to ask yourself trial questions  like , are you comfortable within your power to get about the other part of the trail? Is there tolls? Where will be the gas stations?

 

this the very question you have to ask yourself when choosing an car insurance company

 

Whether exploring inside the summertime take heed of the current weather situations in the united states you are currently going to. Water, glow or hail, prepare yourself. In France, they have a different speed-limit for damp climate.

 

In case you are unsure of any car and driving regulations, we advise you to test for furtherCar incidents will be the leading reason for damage and death among children of all ages inside the U.S. The lifesaving strength of seat belts and booster seats is properly-proven, but with protection recommendations and restrictions altering virtually yearly, it may be burdensome for parents to keep up.

 

Just how can parents recognize whenever a high-priced booster seat is worth it? When is just a -facing seat safer than a top-facing couch? Now as possible get booster chairs for kids who think about to 90  does that mean we really need to breaks down the most recent research in child automobile security and provides comprehensive courses for parents who need to find out more about utilising and choosing the booster seat that’s right due to their kid.

 

In case of an accident the way you suit and secure your car seat is than how many alarms it was included with critical. Sadly, as you’ll observe within the visual below, that numerous well-meaning turns out parents or caregivers aren’t basically the youngster seats correctly.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Orlando Delgado's curator insight, July 6, 8:04 AM
Better PowerPoint presentations!
Jeff Domansky's curator insight, July 6, 11:37 AM

Useful!

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A psychology professor debunks the myth of EQ

A psychology professor debunks the myth of EQ | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
EQ is not a psychometrically valid concept.
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Well, I'm neither a journalist (as Mr Goleman) or a psychologist as the author of this (somewhat angry) post, therefore, I do not want to cut the debate short but the argument in this post is an interesting one, let you consider it...
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The 7 Qualities Of Tomorrow´s Top Leaders

The 7 Qualities Of Tomorrow´s Top Leaders | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
Tomorrow´s leaders will - more than ever before - live, work, and compete in a highly fluid, disruptive, and sensitive world. And tomorrow has already started! To succeed and to live a fulfilled
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
To think about... ahead... or just for now...
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A Wharton professor recommends 7 recent books everyone should read

A Wharton professor recommends 7 recent books everyone should read | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
Watch for these new books.
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Some summer professional (self-development) reading tips...
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Millennials Don’t Want Fun; They Want You To Lead Better

Millennials Don’t Want Fun; They Want You To Lead Better | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
After more than a decade of effort, American businesses still have not figured out how to successfully motivate, inspire – and keep – millennial workers. According to a new and comprehensive Gallup
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Could be then that a whole generation will force the change of leadership's style for ever for better... In long-term there will be no alternative of the inevitable win of the coaching/mentoring style of management... and it will happen on the needs/demand of the Y- (and the following) generation... it will be a good thing which will transform the workplace to more liveable place... it's not the new Kanaan but it's definitely a good future trend... the days of the "old guard" leaders are started to be counted... "Remarkably, this is a generation of workers that rejects traditional ways, and fully expects their bosses and organizations to adapt to them. It’s a stunning fact that millennials already represent 40 percent of the American workforce – and that number will nearly double in just 10 more years. While some of us may have resisted changing how we lead in response to the demands of millennial workers, the conclusion of the research is that we must act now. Importantly, the most progressive organizations are already on their way."
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Can't compute the standard deviation in your head? Divide the range by four. - Decision Science News

Can't compute the standard deviation in your head? Divide the range by four. - Decision Science News | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
Suppose you divide the range by four instead of taking the standard deviation. How accurate will you be?

Via Alessandro Cerboni
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
({Largest number} - {Smallest number})/4 ...:-)))
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Multiple Intelligence Theory: Is It real?

Multiple Intelligence Theory: Is It real? | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
In 1983, psychologist Howard Gardner introduced his theory of Multiple Intelligences (MI), which has since been a central topic in the field of education, and a controversial one among psychologists.
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Real or not, it spots something very important in our life that there are different areas of "competition" and it's not limited to logical and verbal skills... like it...
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Rescooped by Miklos Szilagyi from Organisation Development
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Let Go of What Made Your Company Great

Let Go of What Made Your Company Great | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
How can an organization both exploit and explore? Managers, consultants, and academics around the world have long wrestled with this question. Some have responded by developing a concept known as “ambidexterity,” an organizational capability of fulfilling both managerial imperatives at once. But simultaneously managing today’s business while creating tomorrow’s goes beyond being ambidextrous. There is a third, even more intractable problem: letting go of what made you great.

Managers exploiting current businesses develop mindsets based on what they have experienced in the past. Such mindsets become further embedded in systems, structures, processes, and cultures that are self-perpetuating. It’s hard for managers, especially those who excel in the current system, to explore new unchartered terrain. And even harder for them to notice that many entrenched mindsets have lost relevance in changing circumstances that require exploring for new businesses. Bottom line: Before you can create, you must forget.

Via David Hain
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Yeah... complacency could be deadly...
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David Hain's curator insight, June 10, 3:04 AM

Unlearning - a hugely significant capability to foster for effective organisation development. Honour the past, but bin the unhelpful stuff!

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Scientists have worked out one really simple way to have a happier life

Scientists have worked out one really simple way to have a happier life | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
Scientists have revealed one of the most effective ways to increase how happy you are and it’s much simpler than you might think. Working for a charity, social enterprise or other not-for-profit organisation increases your happiness levels sharply, research has found.
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
On one side: good to know and what is possible should be applied in the other sectors (profit, state) as well. E.g. people satisfaction, self-fulfillment factor at work is more important than ever, OK, not really big deal/news we know that since relatively long (though mind too much complacency). 

What is IMHO missing here is that there are different types of people (I mean personal profile like basic motivation, behaviour, natural talent) and in my experience those chosing - à leur gré - the third (non-profit) sector are different to those chosing working e.g. for a profit making organization. They might differ par motivation, personal achievement/success orientation, you mean it, I think it is self-explanatory. 

Approached from an other angle (and referring directly to the title): if there would be (there will be once...) a really simple way how to make people happier at work and in home (and fortunately it would be the scientist bunch to determine it...) we would already be (we will be once) so happy that we do not need to write or read such articles...
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Do you need to back up?

Do you need to back up? | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
Several years ago a mentor of mine cautioned me – “You’re often way ahead of people in your thinking. You should consider slowing down a little.” Looking back on his advice, I’ve learne…
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Good... be clear, be patient... check it time to time that you are still the leader, I mean, there still are people who follow you...
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Shopping For An Executive Coach: How To Find A Good Fit - Jay McDonald

Shopping For An Executive Coach: How To Find A Good Fit - Jay McDonald | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
In today’s volatile times, an increasing number of business leaders are turning to the expertise of an executive coach to help them make better decisions, achieve greater results, and enjoy more rewarding personal lives.
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Excellent points/approach... underlines correctly that while a fit with the coach' experience and other skills are important, the basic content/action work is just to be done by him-/herself...
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7 Facebook-Friendly Words That Make You Sound Super Unprofessional

7 Facebook-Friendly Words That Make You Sound Super Unprofessional | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
It might seem OK on Facebook, that doesn't mean it's OK in business.
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
So, I agree, even thanks the author, to make me (a little bit) smarter, though - IMHO - some of them (exactly two points of them - I will not exclude of my communication because they (IMHO...) do have certain roles... e.g. you will not always use IMHO, only at times when you know very well that the question in issue is very equally handled by many for and against, so, by using this incriminated acronym you want to underline your opinion's whereabouts...
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Mi választja el a veszteseket a győztesektől? Meg fog lepődni!

Mi választja el a veszteseket a győztesektől? Meg fog lepődni! | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
Malcolm Gladwell nem állítja, hogy ismeri a siker biztos receptjét, csupán azt mondja: a szokatlan, új utak választásával növelhetjük esélyeinket a kiugrásra.
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A common job-interview question about money is a trap, and you should never answer it directly

A common job-interview question about money is a trap, and you should never answer it directly | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
One of the most awkward questions you ca
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Of course... and if you give your "inner" answer, you demonstrate that you are not thinking systematically... when you do not kow yet lots of things of the job you are running for which job is an integral part of several intertwining system (one of them is the salary/remuneration system of the organization), it's foolish to tell any definite number of range... it's true that it's not easy though to have the necessary information for a learned decision about your requirement suiting to the organization's renumeration framework... (on the other side, from the organization-s side, there also would be foolish to opputunistically down-negotiate the salary which is not really suited into the existing salary-table, it can cause unnecessary tension which is under-optimizing the relationship with the nw recruit...)
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The Learning Model Delusion

The Learning Model Delusion | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
I’ll warn you now, get a cup of tea, this may take a while; this is an unusual post, it’s a post for nerds, however it’s also a post for organisations to recognize that if you are going to entrust
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Well, take your time... worth it...
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A Systemic Perception of the English Brexit Vote.

A Systemic Perception of the English Brexit Vote. | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
There is a lot of media noise on the consequences that the Brexit vote may or will have on other EU countries.  Linear thinking favors what is called the domino effect: bets are open that other
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Interesting... this move may enforce the melting pot of Europe e.g. with a new member (Scotland), and a stronger old mrmber (Ireland + Northern Ireland... At the end of the day GB led by the English Londoner establishment has always been the weakest point of the community... always played the exit-cards (after a certain time it had actually left the monetary union), always was the leader, the focal point of any embryonic or more developed euroscepticism, always searched for and found some exceptionality in its member position (e.g. Mrs Thatcher's achievement on this area)... 

So, might be paradoxically that the Brexit might make Europe, the European community stronger... the first sign of this is that the result of the quick special gathering of the representatives of the 6 founding partners was: "OK, then, the Brexit is the result, let it be but then, it should be done as quick as possible in order that the community could focus strengthened on its own agenda..."
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Solutionfocused mentoring - the danish model

Solutionfocused mentoring - the danish model | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
Normally, I dont do this, write in english, but joining the SF-conference in UK the first days of June, gave me courage while presenting the danish model of Solutionfocused Mentoring. It's a flexible
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Voilà, SF is already in mentoring as well... actually, everything in human transactions could be made in a sokution focused way...
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Transformational Theory - Leadership Theories Series

Transformational Theory - Leadership Theories Series | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
Use transformational theory as a means of energizing your staff by aligning their goals with yours and those of the organization.

Via Dr. Susan Bainbridge
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Including coaching style of management, of course...
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Afraid Of Being 'Found Out?' How To Overcome Impostor Syndrome - Forbes

Afraid Of Being 'Found Out?' How To Overcome Impostor Syndrome - Forbes | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
Impostor Syndrome is the domain of the high-achiever. Those who often fear being "found out" have a tendency to attribute their success to external factors – like luck or a helping hand. Unsurprisingly, women tend to do this more often than men who are are more likely to attribute their successes to a combination of internal factors, such as grit, talent, brains and sheer hard work.
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
Well, as for me, all the time...:-)))
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A Human Resources Career is Not for “Nice” People

A Human Resources Career is Not for “Nice” People | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
Over the years I have often had young talent come to me asking for mentoring because they want to work in Human Resources. I love to mentor, but I like to do it for the right reasons. So I have
Miklos Szilagyi's insight:
“...we aren’t in the nice business, we’re in the fair business..." - fair to put it in that way...
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Rescooped by Miklos Szilagyi from Business coaching Budapest
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What Every Introvert Must Know About Leadership

What Every Introvert Must Know About Leadership | Business Coaching | Scoop.it
On any given day, being a leader requires the ability to be adaptable. Leaders do not have the luxury to retreat to their introverted or extroverted comfort zones, but must instead be “ambiverts” and have a flexible attitude depending on the situation.

I’m like a lot of executives, who, over the course of their careers have been “Myers-Brigg’ed” or the equivalent, numerous times. I think that I figured out that I was an introvert in kindergarten, when I was scared and shy to interact with the other kids. Girl Scouts? Forget it… I hated every second. Since then, I have had it confirmed over and over again through personality tests. But while I find it interesting that a test can determine my behavioral traits, it would be wrong to use this as a “crutch” during times of stress at work.

Via David Hain, Miklos Szilagyi
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David Hain's curator insight, June 7, 2:23 AM

If you don't challenge your comfort zones as a leader, how can you expect your people to do so?

Miklos Szilagyi's curator insight, June 8, 2:16 AM
Mint gyárilag introvertált, tanult extrovertált, szeretem a hasznos, introvertáltakról szóló írásokat. A lenti ilyen... lényege, hogy adott helyzetekben a vezetőknek, de tulajdonképpen mindenkinek, használnia kell egy kicsit ezt is, egy kicsit azt is, nem húzódhat be állandóan az elefántcsont-tornyába (mert ott fogják felejteni...), de nem lehet mindig előtérben sem, mert akkor meg megúnják... 

Well, you know, everybody is very colourful, and this "colourfulness" is always completely unique for the actual person. This colourfulness is equally true for the behavioural characteristic blend of a personage like the motivational profile of somebody... this post below is about the even necessary colourfulness of a leader's (but for that matter pretty much of everybody's) behavioural blend. E.g. nobody is only introvert or  extrovert, we have a blend in ourselves in this regard as well. And it is a good thing because we need something, traits from both of them... I used to say that I was made as an introvert but I am also a learned extrovert too...:-:)))