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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Crisis, collapse and transition
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On the cusp of collapse: complexity, energy, and the globalised economy

On the cusp of collapse: complexity, energy, and the globalised economy | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
The systems on which we rely for our financial transactions, food, fuel and livelihoods are so inter-dependent that they are better regarded as facets of a single global system. Maintaining and operating this global system requires a lot of energy and, because the fixed costs of operating it are high, it is only cost-effective if it is run at near full capacity. As a result, if its throughput falls because less energy is available, it does not contract in a gentle, controllable manner. Instead it is subject to catastrophic collapse.

Via Philippe Vallat
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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Crisis, collapse and transition
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« La 'croissance verte' est une mystification absolue »

« La 'croissance verte' est une mystification absolue » | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
Auteur de L’âge des Low Tech. Vers une civilisation techniquement soutenable, l’ingénieur Philippe Bihouix alerte sur l’épuisement croissant des ressources de métaux. Et souligne que, en raison de leur besoin de métaux rares, les énergies nouvelles ne sont pas la panacée : une énergie illimitée et propre est un mythe, il faut... économiser, recycler, relocaliser. Un entretien énergisant.

Reporterre - Cinq ans après la sortie de votre livre Quel futur pour les métaux ?, votre diagnostic reste-t-il (...)

Via Philippe Vallat
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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Complexity & Systems
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[1601.06176] What is Information?

[1601.06176] What is Information? | CASR3PM | Scoop.it

Information is a precise concept that can be defined mathematically, but its relationship to what we call "knowledge" is not always made clear. Furthermore, the concepts "entropy" and "information", while deeply related, are distinct and must be used with care, something that is not always achieved in the literature. In this elementary introduction, the concepts of entropy and information are laid out one by one, explained intuitively, but defined rigorously. I argue that a proper understanding of information in terms of prediction is key to a number of disciplines beyond engineering, such as physics and biology.


Via Bernard Ryefield
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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Complex systems and projects
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Edgar Morin Face aux périls totaux, «nous devons changer de pensée»

Edgar Morin Face aux périls totaux, «nous devons changer de pensée» | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
Après "l’Aventure de La Méthode" (1), le philosophe et sociologue Edgar Morin publie "Penser global" (2). Notre rédacteur en chef d’un jour salue la naissance d’« une nouvelle conscience planétaire » d’une « Terre-patrie » appartenant à notre espèce humaine.

Via Philippe Vallat
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Philippe Vallat's curator insight, November 28, 2015 3:45 AM

Une pensée complexe dans un monde complexe #philosophie #complexité

Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Complexity & Systems
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Sociology and Complexity Science blog: New 2015 Version of Map of the Complexity Sciences

Sociology and Complexity Science blog: New 2015 Version of Map of the Complexity Sciences | CASR3PM | Scoop.it

Via Bernard Ryefield
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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Complex systems and projects
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"The Cynefin Mini-Book" by Greg Brougham

"The Cynefin Mini-Book" by Greg Brougham | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
We all recognise that world is inherently complex but what does this mean?

Via Philippe Vallat
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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Complexity & Systems
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Defining chaos

Defining chaos | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
In this paper, we propose, discuss, and illustrate a computationally feasible definition of chaos which can be applied very generally to situations that are commonly encountered, including attractors, repellers, and non-periodically forced systems. This definition is based on an entropy-like quantity, which we call “expansion entropy,” and we define chaos as occurring when this quantity is positive. We relate and compare expansion entropy to the well-known concept of topological entropy to which it is equivalent under appropriate conditions. We also present example illustrations, discuss computational implementations, and point out issues arising from attempts at giving definitions of chaos that are not entropy-based.

Via Bernard Ryefield
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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Complexity & Systems
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Using Chaos Theory to Predict and Prevent Catastrophic 'Dragon King' Events

Using Chaos Theory to Predict and Prevent Catastrophic 'Dragon King' Events | CASR3PM | Scoop.it

Stop a stock trade and avoid a catastrophic global financial crash. Seal a microscopic crack and prevent a rocket explosion. Push a button to avert a citywide blackout.

Though such situations are mostly fantasies, a new analysis suggests that certain types of extreme events occurring in complex systems – known as dragon king events – can be predicted and prevented.


Via Claudia Mihai, Complexity Digest, Bill Aukett, Jürgen Kanz, Bernard Ryefield
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Ali Anani's curator insight, November 9, 2013 3:54 AM

Can we control  the uncontrollable? 

Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Complexity & Systems
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Making Decisions in a Complex Adaptive System

Making Decisions in a Complex Adaptive System | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
This article explains how to make effective decisions when operating in a complex adaptive system.

Via Bernard Ryefield
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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Aesthetics of Research
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Narratives of Causation, Structures of Reasoning - h+ Media

Narratives of Causation, Structures of Reasoning - h+ Media | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
We are often capable of constructing an explanation of a causal sequence after an unexpected event has happened.

Via Emre Erdogan
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FOCUS: Complexity and the failure of quantitative social science

FOCUS: Complexity and the failure of quantitative social science | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
Photo: Walter Baxter - licensed for reuse CC BY-SA 2.0 Brian Castellani (Kent State University)   When I attended university in 1984 as a psychology undergraduate in the States, the pathway to...
Christophe Bredillet's insight:

I love this map (this one and previous versions) and use(d) it quite often

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How To Make The Whole Organization Agile - Forbes

How To Make The Whole Organization Agile - Forbes | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
Leadership storytelling inspires the culture shift to Agile
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The End of Social Science as We Know it | Brian Epstein | TEDxStanford - YouTube

Philosopher Brian Epstein warns that without significant changes, social sciences as we know it will become irrelevant and obsolete. His research on the meta...
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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Crisis, collapse and transition
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Meadows: les limites de la croissance – 2002

Meadows: les limites de la croissance – 2002 | CASR3PM | Scoop.it

Trente ans de perdus ! ANALYSE SUCCINCTE DU RAPPORT MEADOWS ( MISE A JOUR - 2002) "En conséquence nous sommes plus pessimistes concernant le futur que nous l'étions en 1972" (dans la préface de l'auteur) (extrait du premier article) Croissance de la population mondiale. Il y a 12 000…


Via Philippe Vallat
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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Crisis, collapse and transition
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Collapse des systèmes complexes

Collapse des systèmes complexes | CASR3PM | Scoop.it

Pourquoi parler d’effondrement et de collapse de notre civilisation ? Parce que le faisceau d’informations factuelles est très convergent, parce que cela a à voir avec les systèmes complexes, et parce que la résilience, individuelle et collective, commence par l’acceptation de la réalité telle qu’elle est.


Via Philippe Vallat
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Pierre Mongin 's curator insight, April 28, 2016 4:14 AM
juin excellente synthése du film Demain 
Jürgen Kanz's curator insight, May 1, 2016 11:57 AM
The authors are referring to the paper of Graham M. Turner "On the cusp of global collapse?". This document is available here: https://www.ethz.ch/content/dam/ethz/special-interest/usys/ites/ecosystem-management-dam/documents/EducationDOC/Readings_DOC/Turner_2012_GAIA_LimitsToGrowth.pdf
Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Business Innovation
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Why You Shouldn't Call It Innovation

Why You Shouldn't Call It Innovation | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
The first rule of innovation is, you do not talk about innovation. When all of those around you are claiming to innovate, you need to do something different.

Via Kasia Hein-Peters
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Emeric Nectoux's curator insight, December 10, 2015 7:33 AM

 The point is that innovation is only true after the fact.Innovation is a label you apply after the value creation has been achieved - not while you are attempting to create it.

Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Aesthetics of Research
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Network model for tracking Twitter memes sheds light on information spreading in the brain

Network model for tracking Twitter memes sheds light on information spreading in the brain | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
An international team of researchers from Indiana University and Switzerland is using data mapping methods created to track the spread of information on so ...

Via Emre Erdogan
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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Complex systems and projects
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Ce que l'uberisation révèle des peurs françaises

Ce que l'uberisation révèle des peurs françaises | CASR3PM | Scoop.it

Un spectre hante la France: le spectre de l'uberisation, transformation accélérée de secteurs entiers par la révolution technologique. La journée du 25 juin aura vu une profession entière, celle des taxis, prendre en otage un pays, et un gouvernement, terrifiée par la perspective proche de la fin-même de son existence. Cette peur de l'uberisation révèle,…


Via Philippe Vallat
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Alain de Botton: A kinder, gentler philosophy of success | TED Talk | TED.com

Alain de Botton: A kinder, gentler philosophy of success | TED Talk | TED.com | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
Alain de Botton examines our ideas of success and failure -- and questions the assumptions underlying these two judgments. Is success always earned? Is failure?
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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Complexity & Systems
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Modelling Tools for Dealing with Environmental Complexity

Modelling Tools for Dealing with Environmental Complexity | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
The nexus concept aims at extending ‘integrated management thinking’, which has been applied with varying success in diverse disciplines and has become especially popular in water resources management. UNU-FLORES developed an interactive platform, the Nexus Tools Platform, for inter-model comparison of existing modeling tools related to Water-Soil-Waste Nexus providing detailed model information and advanced filtering based on real-time visualizations.

Via Bernard Ryefield
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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Complexity & Systems
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Civilization Far From Equilibrium - Energy, Complexity, and Human Survival

Human societies use complexity -- within their institutions and technologies -- to address their various problems, and they need high-quality energy to create and sustain this complexity. But now greater complexity is producing diminishing returns in wellbeing, while the energetic cost of key sources of energy is rising fast. Simultaneously, humankind's problems are becoming vastly harder, which requires societies to deliver yet more complexity and thus consume yet more energy. Resolving this paradox is the central challenge of the 21st century. Thomas Homer-Dixon holds the CIGI Chair of Global Systems at the Balsillie School of International Affairs in Waterloo, Canada, and is a Professor at the University of Waterloo.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Vf-y3mv57U


Via Complexity Digest, Bernard Ryefield
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Forget Big Data hype, says Gartner as it cans its hype cycle - The Register

Forget Big Data hype, says Gartner as it cans its hype cycle - The Register | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
Even the nerdy kids understand it now, so it's time to move on to cooler stuff like 'smart dust'
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Group of seven major universities seeks to offer online microcredentials - Inside Higher Ed

Group of seven major universities seeks to offer online microcredentials Inside Higher Ed Tentatively dubbed the University Learning Store, the project is a joint effort involving the Georgia Institute of Technology, Northwestern University, the...
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Rescooped by Christophe Bredillet from Project and Portfolio Management (PPM)
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The marriage between PRINCE2® and agile – An ATO’s view

The marriage between PRINCE2® and agile – An ATO’s view | CASR3PM | Scoop.it
Blog post from CEO of Accredited Training Organization (ATO) p3m discussing the marriage of PRINCE2 and agile methods in AXELOS

Via Jaakko Kuosmanen
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Read the post, and the comment. And then, think about it!

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Chaos, Complexity, Homoclinic Tangles, and Big Data

The relationship of chaotic dynamics to Big Data.
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